Thursday 9/3/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

733TORONTO -734 BOSTON
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

735DENVER -736 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 3

Toronto @ Boston

Game 733-734
September 3, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
125.405
Boston
128.300
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
214
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+1); Over

Denver @ LA Clippers

Game 735-736
September 3, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.779
LA Clippers
121.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

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TORONTO (57 - 21) vs. BOSTON (54 - 24) - 9/3/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 227-278 ATS (-78.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (50 - 30) vs. LA CLIPPERS (53 - 25) - 9/3/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-33 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 78-63 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, September 3

Trend Report

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games

Denver @ LA Clippers
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 1 Odds: Nuggets vs. Clippers
Michael Crosson

The second round of the NBA Playoffs in the Western Conference will begin on Thursday with the 2-3 matchup as the second-seeded Clippers face the No. 3 Nuggets in Game 1 of their best-of-seven series.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 1
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Thursday, Sept. 3, 2020
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

Doc Rivers and the Los Angeles Clippers advanced to the second round by defeating the Dallas Mavericks in six games. (AP)

It took every last second in Tuesday’s series finale between Denver and Utah to determine a winner, but a late-game Donovan Mitchell turnover led to a two-point Nuggets lead, which led to a Mike Conley missed 3-pointer at the buzzer, as the Jazz fall in a heart-breaker 80-78.

Denver will now face the ever so dangerous Los Angeles Clippers, who had a little more trouble putting away Dallas than originally anticipated, but lacks no confidence heading into the Western Conference Semi-Finals.

Even after the Maverick’s detrimental loss of Kristaps Porzingis in the middle of the opening round, it still took LA all of six games to put an end to the “Luka Doncic Show,” as the second year player out of Slovenia shattered playoff-debut records throughout the entirety of the series, but wasn’t nearly enough to butt a dent in the armor of Doc River’s team.

The Nuggets should pose as a tougher matchup for the Clippers on both sides of the ball as Dallas views Luka’s offense as its primary source of defense in most contests. We will see just how tough this young, Nuggets team can actually be in this second round series as their emotions their emotions are riding higher than ever coming off a thrilling Game 7 victory.

Western Conference Semifinal Schedule

All games to be played on one day of rest

Game 1 - Thursday, Sept. 3
Game 2 - Saturday, Sept. 5
Game 3 - Monday, Sept. 7
Game 4 - Wednesday, Sept. 9
Game 5 - Friday, Sept. 11
Game 6 - Sunday, Sept. 13
Game 7 - Tuesday, Sept. 15

Line Movements

The second-seeded Clippers opened Thursday’s Game 1 contest at most books as five and a half point favorites against Denver, but that number has climbed all the way up to Los Angeles -8, as tickets continue to come in on Doc River’s team like crazy.

The ‘over’ is 2-1 in the series matchup so far in this series, so the oddsmakers decided to lean towards the high-side for the total in this matchup, setting the line at OU 223 points.

The Nuggets got the benefit of the doubt from books in their first series, being listed as moderate -200 favorites against the Jazz, but Vegas is not giving them the same love with this series price, listing Denver as a +900 underdog to advance to the Western Conference Finals.

Spread: Los Angeles -8
Money-Line: Los Angeles -340 Denver +280
Total: 223
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -1600, Denver +900

Nuggets vs. Clippers Head-to-Head

2019-20 Regular Season

Aug. 12, 2020: Los Angeles (-5.5) 124 vs. Denver 111, Over 230
Feb. 28, 2020: Los Angeles (-7) 132 vs. Denver 103, Over 220.5
Jan. 12, 2020: Denver (+1) 114 vs. Los Angeles 104, Under 221

So far this season, the Clippers have been the superior team when these teams meet up, going 2-1 SU and ATS against Denver. The ‘over’ is also 2-1 in this matchup, with the only ‘under’ coming in the Denver victory in which Paul George did not participate in.

The only fair way to evaluate the upcoming matchup we have at hand is by diving into the games George and Leonard both played in, which Los Angeles won by a combined average of 21 points per game.

The Clippers and Nuggets play a similar style of basketball, but LA’s backcourt is just much better defensively and has exponentially more firepower on offense, led by PG13 who has averaged over 25 points per game in his two contests versus Denver.

Murray’s 10 days of fame was fun while it lasted, but I believe the writing is on the wall for Denver after seeing how routine thumping the Nuggets appeared to be for the Clippers in their previous meetings this year.

Denver Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 7-8 SU, 9-6 ATS, 13-2 O/U
Playoffs: 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 O/U

It appeared the Nugget’s season would be abruptly coming to a halt following their 129-127 Game 4 loss to the Jazz in first round of the Western Conference Playoffs.

However, Denver fans got to watch their young shooting guard blossom into a superstar before their very eyes as he averaged 40 points per game in the last four games of the series to bury Mitchell and the Jazz.

Jamal having the best stretch of games in his young career was barely enough for the Nuggets to put away Utah in seven games, they will likely need that kind of production out of Jokic AND Murray to pull off the upset against the second-seeded Clippers in this bout.

Los Angeles Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 9-5 SU, 10-4 ATS, 9-5 O/U
Playoffs: 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U

Los Angeles lucked out a little bit in its first round series in the Western Conference Playoffs as 50% of the Luka-Kristaps duo exited the bubble with a knee injury following the Maverick’s Game 3 loss to the Clippers, in which the Dallas Unicorn went for 34 points and 13 rebounds in his final contest in Orlando.

Despite dropping two games to the seven-seed in the West, concern never swarmed the Clippers like it surrounded the Lakers, as any struggles River’s team had was either accredited to Doncic or solely blamed on the shooting woes of George.

This series is supposed to be a tune-up for LA’s potential upcoming showdown with the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals. Let’s see if Denver makes them sweat a little bit in this series, like Luka and company did in the previous round.

Key Injuries

Denver

SF Vlatko Cancar: Foot - Game Time Decision
SF Will Barton: Knee - Out

Los Angeles

PG Patrick Beverley: Calf - Game Time Decision

Point-guard Patrick Beverley missed five of six games against the Mavericks with a calf injury, and is listed for Thursday’s Game 1 contest as a game-time decision. Coach Rivers said in a presser on Wednesday he expects Beverley to be ready to go for the series opener with the Nuggets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement September 3
Patrick Everson

Justin Turner and the torrid Dodgers go for a three-game sweep of the Diamondbacks on Thursday night. Caesars sportsbooks pegged Los Angeles -290 chalk, with Arizona +245.

MLB betting odds are up and grabbing bettors’ attention for a relatively light nine-game Thursday schedule. Among the highlights, Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers look to keep rolling through the shortened season in a prime-time tilt against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s games.

MLB line movement

Kershaw is tearing it up as always, with a 4-1 record and tidy 1.80 ERA over his five starts, heading into a 9:40 p.m. ET contest against the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers, looking to sweep a three-game set against visiting Arizona, are 17-3 in their last 20 games and lead the majors at 28-10 overall. Caesars books opened Los Angeles a hefty -267 and quickly moved to -290 Wednesday night, with Arizona +245.

The Philadelphia Phillies are riding an 8-1 run into a 4:05 p.m. ET start against the visiting Washington Nationals. Philadelphia, aiming to sweep this three-game set, opened -168 to Washington’s +154 at Caesars books, and there was no line movement Wednesday night.

The New York Yankees and New York Mets connect for one game at Citi Field, a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Most sportsbooks held off posting the moneyline Wednesday night, so check back Thursday.

MLB public betting

The Consensus not surprisingly showed that the Dodgers are the most popular pick on the Thursday docket. As of late Wednesday night, Los Angeles was landing 76 percent of picks against the Diamondbacks. The Phillies were drawing 61 percent of picks against the Nationals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901CHICAGO CUBS -902 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 21-41 SU (-26.4 Units) in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

903TEXAS -904 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 3-10 SU (-11.3 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

905WASHINGTON -906 PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON is 3-16 SU (-18.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

909SAN DIEGO -910 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 3-16 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

911TORONTO -912 BOSTON
BOSTON is 2-12 SU (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

913CHI WHITE SOX -914 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 19-8 SU (13.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

915ARIZONA -916 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 20-8 SU (11 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

917NY YANKEES -918 NY METS
NY YANKEES are 10-2 SU (9.4 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 3

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 901-902
September 3, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Mills) 17.306
Pittsburgh
(Brubaker) 13.727
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-150); Over

Texas @ Houston

Game 903-904
September 3, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lynn) 13.953
Houston
(Greinke) 15.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-160); Over

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 905-906
September 3, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 14.189
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 17.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-170
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-170); Over

NY Yankees @ NY Mets

Game 917-918
September 3, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 17.144
NY Mets
(Gsellman) 15.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-110); Over

San Diego @ LA Angels

Game 909-910
September 3, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Clevinger) 14.299
LA Angels
(Heaney) 15.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-165
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+145); Under

Toronto @ Boston

Game 911-912
September 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Walker) 17.509
Boston
(Perez) 14.426
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-125); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 913-914
September 3, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 15.850
Kansas City
(Duffy) 13.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-135); Over

Arizona @ LA Dodgers

Game 915-916
September 3, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Weaver) 14.465
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 17.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-270
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-270); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

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CHICAGO CUBS (22 - 14) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 24) - 1:35 PM
ALEC MILLS (R) vs. J.T. BRUBAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1896-1924 (-274.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-41 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-29 (-16.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 956-945 (-167.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1410-1437 (-209.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 933-958 (-200.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 241-232 (-55.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 921-840 (-157.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 32-61 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 34-76 (-30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ALEC MILLS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

J.T. BRUBAKER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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TEXAS (13 - 22) at HOUSTON (20 - 15) - 2:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 43-9 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 156-85 (+46.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 75-28 (+33.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 6-10 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 87-61 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 19-23 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LYNN is 5-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.6 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. TEXAS since 1997
GREINKE is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.099.
His team's record is 6-9 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+6.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (12 - 22) at PHILADELPHIA (17 - 15) - 4:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-22 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-20 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-26 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 6-11 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.434.
His team's record is 9-16 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-13. (-2.0 units)

ZACH EFLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EFLIN is 3-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.609.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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SAN DIEGO (23 - 15) at LA ANGELS (12 - 25) - 7:10 PM
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CLEVINGER is 4-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.159.
His team's record is 5-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

ANDREW HEANEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HEANEY is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.682.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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TORONTO (19 - 16) at BOSTON (12 - 25) - 7:30 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 12-25 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 7-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-55 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-19 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 67-72 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-61 (-17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-56 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-55 (-31.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. BOSTON since 1997
WALKER is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
PEREZ is 2-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.449.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.8 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (22 - 15) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 23) - 8:05 PM
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DUFFY is 10-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUFFY is 8-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 94-104 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-46 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-47 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-58 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 329-459 (-112.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-1 (+3.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DYLAN CEASE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CEASE is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DUFFY is 10-6 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 15-9 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-10. (+3.1 units)

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ARIZONA (14 - 23) at LA DODGERS (28 - 10) - 9:40 PM
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-123 (-51.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 49-47 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1005-846 (-94.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 44-38 (-23.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

LUKE WEAVER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WEAVER is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.161.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KERSHAW is 18-10 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 20-15 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 19-15. (+2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (20 - 15) at NY METS (16 - 21) - 4:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. ROBERT GSELLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. NY METS since 1997
HAPP is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

ROBERT GSELLMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GSELLMAN is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 3

National League
Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Cubs (22-14):
Mills is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 3.46 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Cubs are 9-11 in their last 20 games.
— Chicago is 10-6 on the road this season.
— Over is 13-5 in their last 18 games.

Pirates (10-24):
Brubaker is 0-0, 6.00 n four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 2-1-1

— Pirates lost five of their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-11 at home this year.
— Over is 7-3-2 in their last 12 home games.

Washington @ Philadelphia
Nationals (12-22):
Sanchez is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 9.24 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: over 4-2

— Washington is 7-14 in its last 21 games.
— Nationals are 5-9 in their last 14 road games.
— Over is 14-6-1 in their last 21 games.

Phillies (17-15)
Eflin is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 3.71 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 4-1

— Philly won eight of its last nine games.
— Phillies won eight of its last nine home games.
— Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Diamondbacks (14-23):
Weaver is 1-1, 4.61 in his last three starts; he is 0-3, 8.22 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Arizona lost 12 of its last 13 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost their last seven road games.
— Under is 10-3 in their last 12 games.

Dodgers (28-10)
Kershaw is 3-1, 2.45 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: 2-2

— Dodgers won 10 of their last 12 games.
— LA won its last nine home games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.

American League
Texas @ Houston
Rangers (13-22):
Lynn is 3-1, 3.27 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 2.01 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: 4-4

— Texas lost 13 of its last 16 games.
— Rangers lost seven of their last eight road games.
— Over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games.

Astros (20-15):
Greinke is 2-0, 2.01 in his last five starts; he is 2-0, 2.78 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-4
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: under 4-1 last five

— Astros split their last ten games overall.
— Houston won 11 of their last 13 home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Toronto @ Boston
Blue Jays (19-16):
Walker is 2-0, 1.89 in his last three starts; he threw six shutout innings in his first start for Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Blue Jays are 15-10 in their last 25 games.
— Jays are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Red Sox (12-25):
Perez is 0-3, 5.49 in his last four starts; he is 0-3, 7.98 at Fenway.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-2-1

— Red Sox are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— Boston is 3-9 in its last 12 home games.
— Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 home games.

Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (22-15):
Cease is 4-1, 3.21 in his last six starts; he is 2-2, 6.64 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 4-3

— Chicago won 13 of its last 20 games overall.
— Pale Hose are 11-0 vs lefty starters this season.
— White Sox won five of their last eight road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games.

Royals (14-23):
Duffy is 2-0, 4.02 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 5.00 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 4-2-1

— Royals lost 11 of their last 17 games.
— KC is 3-4 in its last seven home games.
— Under is 12-4-2 in their last 18 games.

Interleague
New York @ New York
Bronx (20-15):
Happ is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Bronx won four of its last six games.
— New York lost six of its last seven road games.
— Under is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games.

Mets (16-21)
Gsellman is 0-0, 5.87 in three starts (7.2 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Mets lost five of their last six games overall.
— New York is 6-10 at home this season.
— Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

San Diego @ Anaheim
Padres (23-15)
Clevinger was 1-1, 4.76 in four starts for Cleveland; this is his San Diego debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 3-4 Totals: under 3-0-1

— San Diego won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Padres are 6-1 in their last seven road games.
— Over is 11-4 in their last 15 games.

Angels (12-25):
Heaney is 1-1, 5.00 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 3.44 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 4-3

— Angels are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Halos are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 14-4-1 in Angel home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 3

Trend Report

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Texas
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Texas

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 14 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

NY Yankees @ NY Mets
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

San Diego @ LA Angels
San Diego
San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Angels's last 21 games at home

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 24-0 SU in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at L.A. Angels (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 0-11 SU since Aug 28, 2019 in the last game of a series after they held a multiple-run lead last game.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Houston (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 9-0 OU (2.94 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019 as a road dog after they scored in at most two separate innings.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Houston (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 0-8 SU since May 27, 2019 when Lance Lynn starts on the road coming off a quality start.


Twitter Submission of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- Teams that have been held scoreless two straight games and were favored in the last one win 62% of the time. Active on Washington.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 3
Patrick Everson

The Philadelphia Flyers and New York Islanders do battle Thursday night in Game 6 of their best-of-seven series. The SuperBook at Westgate has the Islanders a slight -112 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board for Thursday’s playoff games, with a pair of teams getting a second chance to punch their tickets to the conference finals. The New York Islanders aim to knock out the Philadelphia Flyers, while the Vegas Golden Knights hope to finish off the Vancouver Canucks, in a pair of Game 6s.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

NHL odds movement

The Islanders got two late goals in Game 5 to force overtime, but couldn’t seal the deal, losing 4-3 as the Flyers pulled within 3-2 in the best-of-seven series. The SuperBook opened New York a slight favorite at -110 and moved a pinch to -112 by Wednesday night, with Philadelphia +102 for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop.

Vegas also came up short in Game 5, with Vancouver nabbing a 2-1 victory and moving with 3-2 in that series. Still, the Golden Knights are a solid favorite for Thursday’s 9:45 p.m. ET faceoff, opening -220 at Caesars books and moving to -230, with the Canucks a +200 underdog.

NHL public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of public betting patterns, showed early support for both favorites. As of late Wednesday night, the Islanders were landing 70 percent of Consensus picks against the Flyers, while the Golden Knights were drawing 71 percent of picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

23VEGAS -24 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 34-23 ATS (15 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

25PHILADELPHIA -26 NY ISLANDERS
PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 ATS (16.6 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, September 3

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders

Game 25-26
September 3, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.784
NY Islanders
11.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+100); Under

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 23-24
September 3, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.782
Vancouver
11.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-225
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-225); Over