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Thursday 9/3/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Event: (903) Texas Rangers at (904) Houston Astros
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 2PM EDT
Play: Total Under 7.5 (-110)
Texas starter Lance Lynn lost his first game of the 2020 campaign in his last start. The Rangers' right-hander fell to the Los Angeles Dodgers at new Globe Life after surrendering four runs on five hits across six innings. That loss to the Dodgers followed his fourth win when Texas took down first place Oakland when Lynn allowed two runs, on six hits and a walk, in six frames.
Former Cy Young winner and someday Hall of Famer Zach Grienke has allowed six earned runs in his last two starts (11 innings) -- this after giving up three runs in his previous four (26 innings).
Lynn won't wow anyone with strikeouts, but his 9.93 K/9 rate is above average, and he does an excellent job at limiting free passes (2.78 BB/9). Additionally, he is keeping the ball on the ground a lot more this season (-7.4% GB% in 2020 compared to career avg).
No sane MLB pundit will ever mistake Lynn for Grienke but tonight's matchup will be pitcher-heavy, and the pair that will do that lifting is Lynn and Grienke
Event: (903) Texas Rangers at (904) Houston Astros
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 2PM EDT
Play: Houston Astros -180
Cy Young award winner Zack Grienke is as good as he ever was. He may not have the 95 mph fastball he once could draw on. And he might not have home run power at the plate... which might surprise some, but HE DID. All things being equal, Grienke is still a consideration as a pinch hitter for the Houston coaching staff, and pitchers don't have to hit, likely ever again. Grienke vs. Lynn is a no brainer.
The Rangers' right-hander is 1-1 in his last two turns. He lost to the Los Angeles Dodgers at new Globe Life-giving up four runs on five hits across six innings pitched. In his start previous to his loss to LA found him winning a fourth time this summer, defeating the Oakland A's and working six frames.
Lynn is one of a handful of players that make my Comeback Player of the Year award. But Comeback Player and Hall of Fame Player are not equal.
Event: Spain at Germany
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 2PM EDT
Play: Germany (+140)
UEFA Nations League A
Bayern's team were given this international break off to rest, so no Gnabry, Neuer Kimmich and Goretzka. However, that opens the doors for guys like Timo Werner, Kai Havertz, and Leroy Sane, Bayern's newest addition.
Spain is in a time of transition and while they still have plenty of talent, their squad does not have a lot of international experience with just eight of their 24 players having played more than 15 international games.
At the end of the day I just think Germany has better players and at home, should win this match more often than not. I also like the Over in this match as inexperience spells action and mistakes. A good combo for scoring.
Event: (733) Toronto Raptors at (734) Boston Celtics
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 6PM EDT
Play: 1Q Toronto Raptors -0.5 (-110)
BET SIZE --> 3% of bankroll
NOTE: I released this play to my subscribers as well.
The Raptors can't afford to go down 3-0 in this series. So I expect them to come out with max focus and effort in this one. Interesting to note that since 2011, #1 or #2 seeds who are favored in Games 3, 4 or 5, and who are off back-to-back losses in the series, have gone 22-4 SU and 19-5-2 ATS (79% winners).
Having said that, Boston has had Toronto's number this season, going 5-1 SU and ATS. So I can't bank on the Raptors breaking through here, but I do expect them to be the more focused, higher energy team to start this game.
Event: (915) Arizona Diamondbacks at (916) Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 9PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
Event: (915) Arizona Diamondbacks at (916) Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: September 3, 2020 9PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
-Arizona’s Luke Weaver projects to give up 2.7 runs with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP
-Los Angeles’ Clayton Kershaw projects for 2.1 earned runs with a 3.13 ERA and 1.02 WHIP
-Diamondbacks lineup has hit just .197 (27-137) with a poor .652 OPS against Kershaw in his career
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