Service Plays Sunday 9/27/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    locker room

    75 raiders
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358283

      vegas high rollers

      75 detroit
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358283

        texas insiders

        100 houston
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358283

          ultra sports nfl 9/27

          houston
          atlanta
          carolina
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358283

            worldwager

            strong rams
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            • Istandfortheanthem
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2017
              • 110

              Has anybody seen Paul Leiner’s 3000* for the one o’clock games today?! TIA

              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358283

                R.J. White

                ATLANTA -2.5
                CHICAGO @ ATLANTA | 9/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
                11:29 AM
                I understand why people want to back Chicago here with the way Atlanta has looked, but I'm going to give them a pass. There aren't many defenses that will look good if you make them play the Seahawks and Cowboys back-to-back, so I'm not writing off this unit's improvement in the second half of last season. The Bears are 2-0, but it took the Lions being down their top three cornerbacks for Mitchell Trubisky to finally start moving the ball in Week 1, and he didn't look particularly impressive last week either. We're getting less than a field goal in a Matt Ryan vs. Mitchell Trubisky matchup in Atlanta -- to me, it doesn't even matter if Julio Jones plays.

                15-6 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
                30-14-1 IN LAST 45 CHI ATS PICKS | +1492

                29-16 IN LAST 45 ATL ATS PICKS | +1125

                UNDER 55
                DETROIT @ ARIZONA | 9/27 | 4:25 PM EDT
                FRI 9/25
                This is a massive total for this matchup. The Lions have scored 44 points through two weeks, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Cardinals have given up just 35 points, the second-best mark in the NFL. Yes, Kenny Golladay appears on track to make his season debut, but I don't expect him near 100% as he's been limited in practice all week. Kyler Murray shouldn't have a ton of pushback against a Lions defense that's struggled, but this also seems like the type of game where Arizona takes the air out of the ball and churns up clock and yardage with Kenyan Drake, limiting the total amount of possessions in the game.

                15-6 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
                3-0 IN LAST 3 ARI O/U PICKS | +300

                DENVER +5.5
                TAMPA BAY @ DENVER | 9/27 | 4:25 PM EDT
                FRI 9/25
                The Broncos have battled a bunch of injuries each and every week, yet they've covered both their games despite starting 0-2 SU. Jeff Driskel did a good job in relief last week, keeping his team close against a strong Steelers defense. He should be able to use his legs more this week as Denver builds their offensive gameplan around him. The Bucs have been inconsistent defensively, while Tom Brady hasn't really impressed with his new team yet. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS as a home 'dog under Vic Fangio, and I like them to pull off another cover here, as I think this line is a couple points too high.

                15-6 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +840
                20-8-4 IN LAST 32 TB ATS PICKS | +1108

                6-4 IN LAST 10 DEN ATS PICKS | +154
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358283

                  MILLER LOCKS
                  Sunday 9/27/2020 Picks

                  1:00 PM EST NFL
                  CHICAGO BEARS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS

                  PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS -3 (+105)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  1:00 PM EST NFL
                  CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

                  PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-208)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  1:00 PM EST NFL
                  HOUSTON TEXANS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

                  PICK: HOUSTON TEXANS +4 (-102)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  1:00 PM EST NFL
                  LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. BUFFALO BILLS

                  PICK: UNDER 46.5 (-108)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  1:00 PM EST NFL
                  LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

                  PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -6.5 (-109)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  4:05 PM EST NFL
                  NEW YORK JETS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                  PICK: UNDER 44 (-108)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  4:25 PM EST NFL
                  DALLAS COWBOYS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

                  PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +4.5 (-104)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  4:25 PM EST NFL
                  DETROIT LIONS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

                  PICK: DETROIT LIONS +5 (-102)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS

                  8:20 PM EST NFL
                  GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

                  PICK: OVER 53 (-101)

                  RISK: 11 UNITS
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358283

                    Lenny Stevens
                    20 buff
                    20 gb
                    10 Seattle
                    10 Philly
                    10 Cleveland
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358283

                      Mike Tierney

                      UNDER 53
                      GREEN BAY @ NEW ORLEANS | 9/27 | 8:20 PM EDT
                      YESTERDAY 2:28 PM
                      The Pack cannot continue to score 40-plus per game, right? QB Aaron Rodgers is unlikely to have his favorite battery mate, WR Davante Adams (hamstring). Saints QB Drew Brees for sure won’t have his, WR Michael Thomas (ankle). Though Rodgers has announced loud and clear after the drafting of Jordan Love that he remains da man, Brees cannot disguise his decline, however slight. Both defenses rank among the top 10 for fewest yards allowed, and the Saints stand third in yards yielded per play.

                      11-5-1 IN LAST 17 NFL PICKS | +560
                      3-1 IN LAST 4 GB O/U PICKS | +190

                      UNDER 43.5
                      CAROLINA @ L.A. CHARGERS | 9/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
                      YESTERDAY 2:26 PM
                      With QB Philip Rivers gone from L.A., Anthony Lynn is an avowed run-first coach. The Chargers have kept the ball on the ground more than any team and will stay the course with QB Justin Herbert in his second start. Herbert, who learned he would start minutes before kickoff last Sunday, had no time to grow nervous. This week, anxiety could set in. No RB is more indispensable than Carolina’s Christian McCaffrey, who is out (ankle). His 403 touches last year led the league.

                      11-5-1 IN LAST 17 NFL PICKS | +560
                      9-4 IN LAST 13 LAC O/U PICKS | +460

                      ATLANTA -3
                      CHICAGO @ ATLANTA | 9/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
                      YESTERDAY 2:23 PM
                      Chicago is the shakiest 2-0 team, having been outplayed for three quarters by Detroit and barely dodging the sorry Jets. No way the Bears’ offense can keep pace with its potent counterpart. The Falcons can win without eventual Hall of Fame receiver Julio Jones (hamstring), but he would help. A game-time decision, Jones has often played in this scenario. Atlanta will be eager to distance itself from the onside kick debacle in Dallas a week ago.

                      10-4 IN LAST 14 NFL ATS PICKS | +570
                      7-1 IN LAST 8 ATL ATS PICKS | +591

                      6-1 IN LAST 7 CHI ATS PICKS | +491
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358283

                        11th: NFL: 6u: 465 HOU+3.5.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358283

                          Adam Silverstein

                          PITTSBURGH -3.5
                          HOUSTON @ PITTSBURGH | 9/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
                          12:22 PM
                          One needs to consider the opponents both these teams have faced thus far when making evaluations. For the Steelers, it's been the Broncos and Giants; for the Texans, it's been the Ravens and Chiefs. So despite the former being 2-0 and the latter 0-2, that's where you would expect both to be at this point. The problem is that Houston has looked relatively noncompetitive, while Pittsburgh seems to have found its groove again. WIth JuJu Smith-Schuster active, I have the Steelers as a 5.5-point favorite at home, giving me two points of value even despite the awful hook. Desperation is the only thing that could save the Texans in this one.

                          12-6-1 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +560
                          5-0-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +500

                          5-3 IN LAST 8 PIT ATS PICKS | +169

                          L.A. RAMS +1.5
                          L.A. RAMS @ BUFFALO | 9/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
                          11:58 AM
                          Thought this line go to 3 due to everyone's infatuation with Josh Allen and West Coast teams flying across the country, but instead, it went in the proper direction. Simply put, the Rams are the better team this game. The Bills' profile has been elevated thanks to their first two opponents, but Allen is going to face a lot of pressure from L.A.'s defensive front. Meanwhile, Buffalo's defense has not played nearly as well as it did last year. Sean McVay and Jared Goff have adjusted to the adjustments that were made to the Rams in 2019, and they should prove that on Sunday. Loved this at +2.5, but I have L.A. favored in this game, so I'll take it here.

                          12-6-1 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +560
                          8-4 IN LAST 12 LAR ATS PICKS | +347

                          5-2 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS | +266
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358283

                            Brett Anderson

                            BUFFALO -1
                            L.A. RAMS @ BUFFALO | 9/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
                            11:24 AM
                            This line has dropped by almost a field goal since last week, but I'm not so sure it's warranted. The Bills will see the return of linebackers Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Milano in this game, and we already know about Josh Allen's play now that he has a top target in Stefon Diggs. The Rams are getting a big bump for roughing up an Eagles team, but is Philly that good? Now L.A. has to travel back east again against a talented team with a good coach. Lay the point.

                            6-2 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +385
                            2-1 IN LAST 3 LAR ATS PICKS | +89
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                            Comment

                            • Duncan
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 514

                              5 STAR BALLER

                              NFL: New England Patriots -6.5

                              Comment

                              • Duncan
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 514

                                Profit On Sports

                                NFL: Atlanta
                                NFL: Arizona
                                NFL: Tampa Bay

                                NBA: Boston -3.5

                                MLB: Atlanta
                                MLB: Oakland

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