If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
OVER 59
DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
7:48 AM
Duke has gone Over its last three games, increasing its scoring in those three games, but the defense has allowed 100 points. NC State is 4-0 Over because its uptempo offense has scored 45, 24, 30 and 38, with the last three being on the road against Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Virginia.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
OVER 57
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:45 AM
Virginia is playing fast on offense and is currently 3-0 to the Over. The Cavaliers' offense median numbers are 120 rushing yards and 270 passing yards. UVA QB Brennan Armstrong is very questionable, but backup Lindell Stone threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns last week. NC State is averaging 34.3 ppg. Go Over.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
7:43 AM
Western Kentucky is 0-4 ATS, but UAB is just 1-3 ATS. UAB is without starting QB Tyler Johnston, which accounts for a s solid 2-point drop. UAB is 3-1 SU with its best win against a very weak South Alabama team, 42-10. Western Kentucky will start Kevaris Thomas, a 6-4, 250-pound quarterback. Thomas is a dual threat and he played very well versus Marshall. The total is only 44.5, so we are all expecting a low scoring game.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
LOUISIANA TECH +13.5
MARSHALL @ LOUISIANA TECH | 10/17 | 6:00 PM EDT
7:40 AM
Marshall has been amazing in 2020 with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, highlighted by a win over Appalachian State. Marshall lost its starting QB before the season to the transfer portal and decided on rFr. QB Grant Wells. Wells has been slightly below average. The Thundering Herd won the turnover battle by three last week at Western Kentucky. I think Marshall is very overrated, and could struggle as it hits the road for the second straight week against a very well-coached Louisiana Tech team.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
TEXAS A&M -5
TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:37 AM
The Aggies are coming off a huge 41-38 win over Florida. With a loss already to Alabama, I am not expecting a letdown, especially when they are going out on the road. Texas A&M has better athletes than Mississippi State. The Aggies were 4-4 in the SEC last year and they return 10 players on offense and 13 players on defense with 7+ starts. Mississippi State's offense has just 14 points in its last two games against Arkansas and Kentucky. A&M's defense is better than both Arkansas and Kentucky.
TULANE +6.5
SMU @ TULANE | 10/16 | 6:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:17 PM
We learned earlier this week that SMU lost both its leading receiver Reggie Roberson as well as its leading ballcarrier T.J. McDaniels for the rest of the season. That's a lot of production to replace on offense, and while the Mustangs are still going to be able to move the ball on this Tulane defense, the explosive nature of the offense could be lacking without Roberson. That makes the Wave a lot more appealing here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
BOSTON COLLEGE +13
BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:13 PM
I get the sense that the books haven't caught up to Boston College yet. This team is a lot better than I expected it to be before the season, but it's still being disrespected on the spread. This week against a Virginia Tech defense that was torn to bits by the Tar Heels last week I expect the Eagles offense to do enough to stay within the number.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:11 PM
If I've learned anything about Miami the last few years it's that the program does not bounce back from crushing losses, it only digs itself in deeper in the hole. So I'm not ready to rely on a recovery this weekend with an early kickoff at home against a Pitt team that is always a pain in the butt to deal with. I think Miami wins, but I'm not convinced it does, so I'll take the Panthers and the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +489
UNDER 58
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:09 PM
There is nothing more dangerous in college football this season than taking an Under, but we're on it here anyway. Simply put, there is no reason for a total to be this high in a game with Virginia favored. The Cavaliers offense just hasn't shown any signs of life in 2020. If this total goes over, it might require Wake Forest to get 40 of the points on its own.
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAKE O/U PICKS | +90
NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
NORTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA ST. | 10/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:07 PM
The Florida State offense started to show signs of life against Notre Dame last weekend, but it was a Notre Dame team that hadn't played for a few weeks and had its life disrupted by COVID protocols. I'm not going to take that performance as a sign the Noles offense is capable of keeping up with North Carolina here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +89
KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
The best thing any bettor can do is learn from their mistakes, and I learned from one last week. What I learned is that I'm never going to trust Tennessee QB Jarrett Guarantano against a good defense again. That kid is just too fast and loose with the football. So, at home against a good Kentucky defense, laying nearly a touchdown, I'm going with the Wildcats.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
3-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +190
3-2 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +79
TEXAS ST. +3
TEXAS ST. @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:04 PM
I'll forgive you if you haven't been paying attention, but Texas State has been a much better football team than its 1-4 record suggests. In fact, it's a better football team than the South Alabama squad that it's playing here, so if I can get the Bobcats with points, I'll take them.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:02 PM
This play is all about my world-famous inevitability principle that I just made up right now. You see, Western Kentucky hasn't covered a spread yet this year, and it's bound to eventually. OK, so that's not really why I'm making this pick. The truth of the matter is that, as good as UAB has been in C-USA the last few years, it doesn't deserve to be this heavy a favorite in this matchup, so I'm taking the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 UAB ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 WKY ATS PICKS | +89
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:00 PM
So how many points is Nick Saban worth? I was already on Alabama before the Saban news broke and it was a 6-point favorite, now that the line has shrunk, I'm not backing off. Georgia's defense is phenomenal, but if there's been a lesson in college football the last few years it's that offense wins out over defense. I don't think Georgia and Stetson Bennett can do enough offensively to keep up with Alabama even if the Tide offense is slowed down a little.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
4-1 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +290
Comment