Service Plays Saturday 10/17/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358404

    #91
    Bill Marzano

    OVER 56
    TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
    10:35 AM
    Despite all the numbers pointing to a low scoring game at home for Mississippi State, I think this game has all the makings for a high scoring shootout and could easily see both teams scoring in the mid to high 30s. These are two solid QBs that have great arms and like to stretch the field and so do their head coaches. The Aggies shredded the Gators' top-ranked defense and should have a big day through the air. KJ Costello set an SEC passing record in his season opener but has since struggled. Costello will get a chance for redemption because he will be throwing it a ton here.

    KENTUCKY +6.5
    KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
    10:32 AM
    The Tennessee Vols come into this game with their tails between their legs after playing a great first half vss Georgia only to collapse in the second half and now could have questions at the QB position. Kentucky is a dangerous football team despite their record and I think they have a great chance to win this game let alone cover the number. Terry Wilson has been up and down at QB as well for the Wildcats. However, his scrambling ability always gives him a chance to make a play. Tennessee is just 5-11-1 their last 17 as a favorite and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games.

    CLEMSON -27
    CLEMSON @ GEORGIA TECH | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
    10:26 AM
    The Clemson Tigers will have to avoid any "letdown" here after thumping the Miami Hurricanes last game and they come into this game as a huge road favorite. Look for Dabo Swinney to put his foot on the gas pedal here and lay the wood to GT. Trevor Lawrence should have a big day throwing the football and already has 10 TDs with 0 INTs. The Tigers have won 25 consecutive games vs ACC opponents. Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.

    4-1 IN LAST 5 GATECH ATS PICKS | +290

    OVER 58.5
    DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
    10:21 AM
    The Wolfpack have seen the Over cash in all four games this year while Duke has seen the Over post a 3-2 record. The way these two teams matchup vs. one another, we should see some points and now that the number has come down to under 60 from when it first opened, time to jump in. Despite these two teams' close proximity, they don't meet on a regular basis and that is an advantage for both teams offensively. The Pack are averaging 34 points per contest on offense and allow the same on defense. Duke allows over 30 per contest.

    BOSTON COLLEGE +12
    BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
    10:16 AM
    This is a very intriguing matchup and quite frankly this spread is moving in the wrong direction in my opinion. The Hokies are not the same team they have been over the years defensively allowing 37 points per game while their offense is averaging 42. The Eagles have played well at 3-1 and have a defense that allows just over 20 points per contest which is 16th in the nation. The Eagles have done a great job not beating themselves and have committed just one turnover. Eagles only loss was by four points to UNC, a game they could have easily won.
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    • dawggy
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2017
      • 1770

      #92
      DR. CHUCK


      ame:(115) South Florida at (116) Temple
      Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Temple Total Over 33.0 (-110)

      View Analysis

      We had this play circled as a likely 5% Saturday afternoon hammer play, but pegged it right at the 30 to maaaaybe 31 range for value-wise and therefore I would take just a bit off the gas on this play, despite liking it a TON compared to what college football is offering on a Covid Saturday. Temple only has gotten 1 game under their belt so far, and succumbed to Navy missing a 2 point conversion at the end of the game to potentially get to OT. However, on offense (admittedly not against a stellar defense) they had 7 drives and scored 4 TDs and a FG, threw an INT at the Navy 5 yard line, and one punt. They now rank right at the top of the nation with regard to OAY with 84% on those 7 drives and USF, who does have 3 games under their belts, rank RIGHT AT THE BOTTOM of most all offensive categories, a particularly offensive offense....with a 76th, 74th, and 70th (out of 76 teams) with regard to OPD/OAY/OPP metrics...but not much better AT ALL on defense against the Owl offense and senior QB Anthony Russo!
      I think the Owls can get to 40 points with rather ease, but we shall simmer down on the HUGE numbers we'd planned to bet just needing 4 TDs and a FG a la last week

      Comment

      • dawggy
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2017
        • 1770

        #93
        Originally posted by dawggy
        DR. CHUCK


        ame:(115) South Florida at (116) Temple
        Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
        Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
        Play Rating: 4%
        Play: Temple Total Over 33.0 (-110)

        View Analysis

        We had this play circled as a likely 5% Saturday afternoon hammer play, but pegged it right at the 30 to maaaaybe 31 range for value-wise and therefore I would take just a bit off the gas on this play, despite liking it a TON compared to what college football is offering on a Covid Saturday. Temple only has gotten 1 game under their belt so far, and succumbed to Navy missing a 2 point conversion at the end of the game to potentially get to OT. However, on offense (admittedly not against a stellar defense) they had 7 drives and scored 4 TDs and a FG, threw an INT at the Navy 5 yard line, and one punt. They now rank right at the top of the nation with regard to OAY with 84% on those 7 drives and USF, who does have 3 games under their belts, rank RIGHT AT THE BOTTOM of most all offensive categories, a particularly offensive offense....with a 76th, 74th, and 70th (out of 76 teams) with regard to OPD/OAY/OPP metrics...but not much better AT ALL on defense against the Owl offense and senior QB Anthony Russo!
        I think the Owls can get to 40 points with rather ease, but we shall simmer down on the HUGE numbers we'd planned to bet just needing 4 TDs and a FG a la last week
        Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts
        Game:(907) Houston Astros at (908) Tampa Bay Rays
        Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 8:37 PM EDT
        Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
        Play Rating: 4%
        Play: Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts

        View Analysis

        Just a simple paint by numbers HAMMER that Vegas continues to offer OVER....AND OVER....AND OVER AGAIN.....not that I'm complaining, but I sure do wonder what the hell is the deal with this...sure it is a lot of juice but it's a stone cold winner...maybe as easy as last night with Framber. This time we're working with a starter in a game 7 where the pressure sure as SHIT is on the rogue, unknown who's who Rays lineup....against an opponent who is on a free roll. The Astros were the only team in with a sub-.500 record, are on a shame tour after the cheating scandal, and with a bevy of guys who no longer knew the garbage can pitches coming and hit barely above the Mendoza line...well that seems to have changed and I would think the Stros complete the 0-3 comeback tonight...but the pressing Rays hitters sure will look silly again against McCullers, who K'ed 11 in game 2!
        If you would rather eliminate juice you can get a 6.5 for likely + money, and I still like that value as I have McCullers at 8 for this start...and yes I know it is game 7 and pull out all the stops is the fear here...but nothing in this series screams any sort of serious danger....and Dusty is likely to stick with the guy who went 7 strong on just 100 pitches in game 2 and struck out 11 but for the defense behind him this series might have ended last night!
        I am personally playing this Over 5.5 Ks number at something way way north of 5% if you're interested....similar to Framber last night...worth at least a 5% maybe crush it for a 10% like last night!

        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358404

          #94
          Adam Silverstein
          FLORIDA FAVORITE
          10:48 AM

          ALABAMA -5.5
          GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
          Missed the best lines (-4, -5) on this game following Nick Saban's positive COVID-19 test, but I'm still getting it under the key number as it looks like Saban is progressing toward actually coaching in this game. No matter, I'd have chosen Alabama either way and up to a full touchdown. Georgia's defense has appeared other-worldly at the start of the season, but it's worth putting in perspective that it dominated Arkansas and a stuck-in-the-mud Auburn and let Tennessee score 21 first-half points before shutting out the Vols in the second half. Alabama's offensive weapons are unstoppable for four quarters. Yes, the Crimson Tide torn through by Ole Miss last week, but that was an aberration -- and despite Georgia's ability, it does not have the offensive playmaking might (or quarterback talent) of Ole Miss.
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          • rocky57
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2019
            • 5479

            #95
            Tom Frankln Sportsmasters (The Swami CFB) - 10* Top Play Wake Forest +2

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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358404

              #96
              Indian Cowboy

              3*'s on Tenn- Alabama and Arkansas
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              • rocky57
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2019
                • 5479

                #97
                Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
                MLB
                Houston Astros +110 (ALCS Game #7)
                Walker Buehler Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (+105) (NLCS Game #6)

                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358404

                  #98
                  Northcoast
                  4* UAB (-12/-12.5) WKU 1:30pm
                  4* West Virginia (-21.5) Kansas Noon
                  3* Temple (-13) USF Noon
                  3* South Carolina (+3) Auburn Noon
                  3* Texas A&M (-5) Mississippi St 4pm


                  4* Over 64.5 North Carolina/Florida St 7:30pm
                  3* Under 49.5 Army/UTSA 1:30pm
                  3* Over 58.5 Duke/NC State 3:30pm
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                  • rocky57
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2019
                    • 5479

                    #99
                    Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
                    CFB
                    Boston College +380 (Moneyline)
                    Boston College +13
                    Navy -3
                    Mississippi State/Texas A&M Over 56
                    Clemson Team Total Under 45

                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358404

                      SDQL Situational Plays

                      Mississippi 88.0%
                      UNDER Arkansas / Mississippi 59.3%
                      UNDER South Alabama / Texas St. 65.6%
                      UNDER Tulane / SMU 59.2%
                      UNDER Florida St. / North Carolina 59.2%
                      UNDER Wake Forest / Virginia 60.9%
                      OVER Troy / Eastern Kentucky 70.1%
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358404

                        Dwayne Bryant

                        3% Clemson -16.5 first half
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358404

                          Doc Sports mlb 10-17

                          6 under-8-houston
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358404

                            Vegas Sports Informer mlb 10-17

                            3 Tampa bay-115
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358404

                              Executive

                              300 East Carolina +3 1/2
                              250 Texas St +4
                              250 Kentucky +6 1/2
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                              • Hombre de Burro
                                Member
                                • Sep 2017
                                • 87

                                Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
                                Ole Miss @ Arkansas > 76
                                Boston College +12 @ Virginia Tech
                                Miami -13 vs Pitt
                                Bama vs Georgia > 56
                                North Carolina -13 @ Florida St
                                South Carolina +3 vs Auburn

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