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Maddux
Added
Texas State +3.5
Added
Texas State +3.5
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Paul Stone
Alabama -4
Mississippi State +6.5
Temple -11Comment
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Chuck Edel
UCF/Memphis over 73.5
South Alabama -3 vs Texas State
Marshall-La. Tech under 49Comment
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Frank Patron
50,000 Unit Must Win CFB Release
Georgia Bulldogs +5 over Alabama
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MTI
4.5-Star Rays -120 over Astros - The Rays are 12-0 at home after a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 11-0 since July of 2019 as a favorite with Charlie Morton when they used five-plus pitchers yesterday. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Rays and starter=Charlie Morton and F and rest=0 and 5<=p:PU and date>=20190700
Lastly for the Rays, we see that they are 9-0 SU their last nine when they are off a home loss in which they held the lead.
As for the Astros, we find that they are 0-8 as a road dog in the last game of a series with no rest when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two, as long as they did not hit four-plus home runs in their last game. The SDQL text is:
team=Astros and LGS and AD and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and rest=0 and p:HR < 4 and season >= 2016
The Astros should be proud that they pushed this series to game seven, but we expect the Rays to avoid the embarrassment of losing a series in which they were up 3-0.
4.5-Star Dodgers -160 over Braves - Atlanta is 0-15 as a road dog off a game as a home dog in which they were homerless and had fewer than 12 hits. The SDQL is:
team=Braves and A and D and p:H and p
and p:HR=0 and p:hits<12
Also, Atlanta is 0-7 SU as a road dog off a loss as a home dog in which they held the lead and 0-6 in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.
The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 6-0 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which Mookie Betts had multiple hits and 8-0 at home off a road game in which they struck out at least ten times, winning every game by multiple runs. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>=10 and date>=20190426
Finally, the Braves are 0-9 as a plus-money dog when they are off a game as a dog in which Freeman had multiple hits and they left fewer than 20 men on base. The SDQL text is:
team=Braves and line > 0 and p and Freddie Freeman
:hits>1 and p:LOB<20 and date>=20180600
Note that every one of the nine losses was by multiple runs. Further, four of the eight games were vs the Dodgers and they lost each of those by at least three runs.
We make the Dodgers the play.Comment
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Zack Cimini
PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:04 PM
The Pittsburgh Panthers have lost consecutive games by a point, dropping them out of the Top 25. Derailment to the Panthers season has been caused by a plethora of key injuries. Yet, they’re starting to regain health, which should give them a boost on the field against the Hurricanes. Grab the near two-touchdown underdog as the Panthers play a competitive game against the Hurricanes.
9-3 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +570
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +290
2-1 IN LAST 3 PITT ATS PICKS | +90
SOUTH CAROLINA +3
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:02 PM
Last week South Carolina got its first win of the season in a blowout 41-7 victory over Vanderbilt. Now the Gamecocks host an Auburn team that has been unsteady in consecutive weeks. Grab the Gamecocks as small home underdogs to take advantage of a Tigers team that leaves the door open in games. Play South Carolina.
9-3 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +570
ARIZONA -2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
TUE 10/13
An old NFC East matchup will take place Monday night as the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Dallas Cowboys. This marks the third straight road game for the Cardinals, and their first with fans in the stands. Expect the Cardinals to amp up their offense against a poor Cowboys defense. Playing from behind will force the Cowboys to throw more with Andy Dalton versus sticking to a ground attack. Play Arizona.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +95
8-1-1 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +699
7-3 IN LAST 10 DAL ATS PICKS | +378Comment
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Micah Roberts
TENNESSEE -6
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:04 PM
Kentucky has covered just once in its last eight meetings with Tennessee and just once in the last six games at Knoxville. Kentucky has an incredible defense that was huge in its 24-2 win against Miss State and the Wildcats will be tough Saturday. But I like the bounce-back spot for the Vols after a terrible second half against Georgia last week. Vols win and cover with a balanced attack.
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 TENN ATS PICKS | +200Comment
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Josh Nagel
UCF -2.5
UCF @ MEMPHIS | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
10:21 AM
The Knights looked flat in their last outing, which resulted in an upset loss to an improved Tulsa club. Memphis fought back from numerous deficits to take SMU to the wire before another two-week hiatus, At this point. UFC appears to have the edge in continuity and experience, and it has been efficient in two road games thus far.
13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
5-3 IN LAST 8 MEMP ATS PICKS | +166
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:55 PM
There was already pretty decent value on this number, but even more so now with the news that Nick Saban could rejoin Alabama for the game should he have two more negative Covid tests. This adjusted number basically provides at least two free points.
13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
10-1 IN LAST 11 UGA ATS PICKS | +889
PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:46 PM
Pitt was overvalued early as a double-digit favorite in most of its games. We should see a correction from here on out, but this is the type of spot in which the Panthers historically thrived. They have dominated the series with Miami of late, and look for the Hurricanes to start unraveling after last week's blowout loss to Clemson. The only surprising outcome Saturday would be a Miami blowout win.
13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
10-4-1 IN LAST 15 PITT ATS PICKS | +551
8-3 IN LAST 11 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +462Comment
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Ben Burns
3*- fiu/charlotte over 55.5
3*- virginia -2.5
3*- bama/georgia under 58.5
2*- la tech +14
2*- fiu +7.5
2*- tenn/kentucky under 48.5
1*- texas am ml -199
2*- dodgers/braves under 8.5
3*- rays -110Comment
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Anyone interested in splitting Rob Veno?Comment
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John Rainey / The Rainman
5☆ Texas A&M -5, Liberty -3
3☆ Ga Southern -31, Temple -13
1☆ So Carolina +3, UAB -13'Comment
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R&R Totals
CFB
Top - UNDER 50.5 Army
MLB
Top - UNDER 8 Houston/Tampa BayComment
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PURE LOCK
CFB
Top - LibertyComment
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Bondi
7* South Carolina (Underdog Lock Of The Year)
4* UCF
3* Tennessee
3* LouisvilleComment
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Mike McClure
ALABAMA -5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
9:44 AM
Nick Saban has received two consecutive negative COVID-19 tests, meaning he's on track to be on the sidelines for tonight's game. Without Saban I make Alabama -5.6 points better, with Saban that number jumps to -7.2 favorite. I have a minor edge if Saban doesn't end up on the sidelines, and a very nice edge if he does. Lay it.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90
KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:47 PM
I know the Vols will get it figured out and be a really good team at some point this season, but -6.5 is giving a little too much respect against a strong Kentucky team. I make Tennessee just -2.5 in my simulations as I don't have very strong ratings on Jarrett Guarantano against this Kentucky defense. Take the points.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +190
SOUTH CAROLINA +3
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:41 PM
I like South Carolina as +3 home dogs against Auburn. The Tigers have been very shaky in consecutive weeks as they failed to cover against Arkansas and Georgia. Look for Collin Hill and Shi Smith to keep South Carolina within the number, and likely win the game.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 SC ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 AUBURN ATS PICKS | +90Comment
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