Service Plays Sunday 11/29/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Sports

7-Unit Play. Competition: EPL. Take Wolverhampton +0.5 (-140) over Arsenal (Sunday at 2:15pm). includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win, Wolverhampton must win or draw.

As per your selection on Wolves to get at least a point in their matchup with Arsenal, we believe they are in a good spot to do well here as they need a good performance to erase a run of two games without a win. They tend to play in low-scoring games and their defensive record is excellent so far this season. Throw in the fact that Arsenal have not scored from open play (corners, penalties, free kicks excluded) for five straight league games. That's not a recipe for success and as such they've scored just 9 times in 9 games. We expect this game to be a tight, cagey affair and we can see Wolves notching a goal or two and relying on their stout defense to hold Arsenal at bay. Take Wolves and let's finish November with a big winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SUNDAY MLS PLAYOFF SOCCER
ESPARZA

7 Unit Play. Take Columbus 'Pick -140' over Nashville (8:00p.m., Sunday, November 29) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time - if game ends in a DRAW we have a PUSH)
A trip to the MLS Playoff Semis is on the line tonight at MAPFRE Stadium and I'm all on the Columbus Crew. Columbus is coming off a big playoff win beating the New York Red Bulls 3-2 and the Crew were dominating at home and tonight home pitch holds. Nashville has playing some great soccer as of late but I see them giving up an early goal to the Crew and give me the experience of the Crew tonight at home. I know Nashville beat one of the MLS Cup favorites Toronto but tonight the Crew could be getting back some fresh legs and again experience wins this match.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Cleveland/Jacksonville over 48.5
10 Tennessee +3.5
10 Carolina/Minnesota over 51
10 LA Chargers/Buffalo over 52.5
10 Cleveland -7
10 Miami/NY Jets over 44.5
10 Carolina +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein

Buffalo -4
Las Vegas -3
Tennessee +3
Arizona -1

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Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)

Carolina +3.5/ML +140 (GOY)

Atlanta +4/ML +160

Jacksonville +8/ML +290

Indianapolis -2.5

New York Jets +8/ML +270

Tampa Bay +4/ML +160

*Play ML for half normal amount when listed

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Mti teasers
carolina
pittsburgh

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Tim Doyle

Richmond +280 ML

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Paul Leiner

3000 lac/buf over

[rocky57]

Rockdeman Sports
NFL Underdog of the Day - Denver Broncos +17

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4Deep Bets- Tommy G

NFL SUNDAY

• 13pt tease Saints -2, GB +4.5, Sea +7, Rams +7 (5u) MAX
• 10 pt tease Saints -5, GB +1.5, LV +7 (5u) MAX
• 7pt tease Saints -8.5, GB -1.5 (5u) MAX
• 7PT tease Rams pk, GB -1.5 (5u) MAX
• Parlay: LV ML, KC, ML, Minn ML +302 (3 to win 9.06)
• Parlay: Rams ML, KC ML, LV ML +252 (3 to win 7.56)
• 1PM Minn -175 (3u)
• 1PM LasV -180 (3u)
• 1PM Titans +3 (3u)
• 1PM Jags +280 (1u)
• 1PM Bengals +230 (1u)
• 4PM NO -13.5 -140 (3u)
• 4PM KC -180 (3u)
• 4PM rams -6 (3u)

[dawggy]

ASA

• ASAwins NFL Totals Titan! 70% Season!
  Game: (263) Los Angeles Chargers at (264) Buffalo Bills
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 52.5 (-110)
  
  #263/264 ASA PLAY ON 4* Over 52.5 Points – LA Chargers @ Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Chargers currently have the 4th ranked total offense in the NFL. That’s not a good sign for Buffalo’s defense. In fact the Bills have already faced 4 top 5 total offenses this year and in those games they given up an average of 31 PPG and 455 YPG. LA’s defense has been outright poor as of late allowing 28, 29, 31, 31, 29, 30, and 38 points over their last 7 games. What’s worse is 4 of those games were vs the Jets, Broncos, Jaguars, and Dolphins who all rank 23rd or lower in total offense. The Bills offense was playing outstanding early in the season but hit a lull about a month ago. They’ve gotten back on track scoring 24, 44, and 30 points over their last 3 games. They are also coming off a bye so we expect a solid game plan vs a weak LAC defense. LA will put up points as well. QB Herbert has been outstanding throwing for at least 300 yards in 5 of his 9 starts with 22 TD’s and just 6 interceptions. He is facing a Buffalo pass defense that ranks 23rd in opponent completion percentage and 22nd in yards per pass attempt allowed. Herbert is possibly getting back one of his main offensive weapons with RB Ekeler coming off IR and may play on Sunday. The total points scored in the last 7 LA Charger games look like this - 69, 57, 68, 61, 57, 50, and 62 for an average of 60 PPG. All of those games went OVER the total. Buffalo is 8-2 to the OVER this season. The weather in Buffalo can be a concern at this time of year but Sunday’s forecast call for sun and high’s near 50 degrees. With the Bills favored by 4.5 in this game and the total at 52 & 52.5, the projected score is right around 28-24. We think both teams have a great shot to get into the 30’s and we’d be shocked if at last one of them didn’t hit 30. Take the OVER in this one.
• ASAwins NFL Game of the Week! 67% RUN
  Game: (267) New Orleans Saints at (268) Denver Broncos
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 4:05 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New Orleans Saints -6.5 (-115)
  
  #267 ASA TOP PLAY ON 4* New Orleans -6.5 over Denver, Sunday at 4:00 PM ET - Looking at this number we can compare it to the Miami/Denver game last week and we see the value with the Saints. Last week a pretender the Miami Dolphins were just favored in Denver by 4 and now the Saints who might be the 2nd best team in the NFL are only -6.5. Last week we felt the Broncos would be able to run on a Dolphins defense that is not good against the rush and they did it with 189yds. But Denver won't run here against the #1 ranked rushing D in the NFL allowing just 74RYPG and that puts the pressure on QB Drew Lock - who 2 weeks ago threw 4 INTS. On the season Lock has 7 TD’s and 11 INT’s. New Orleans defense has 11 INT's this season tied for 4th most and could feast on Lock and the Broncos offense. In fact, the Saints produced 8 sacks last week vs. Atlanta and are 4th in the NFL at 3.2 sacks per game. Just how dominant was the Saints defense last week against the Falcons? New Orleans just held Atlanta to 14 first downs and 52 rushing yards. Saints QB Taysum Hill answered a lot of questions last week with his performance by going 18/23 passing with 233 yards NO INT’s. He’s also a duel threat under center with 51 yards rushing and 2 TD’s. Consider this, last week the Saints averaged 6.8 Yards Per Play a FULL YARD more than their season average with Drew Brees. The Saints also average 10 Yards per pass attempt against the Falcons which is significantly better than their season average of 7.4YPPA. Denver leans on a defense that is 9th in overall defensive efficiency but that typical advantage gets nullified here against a Saints offense that is clicking. The Saints have averaged 30PPG on: Tampa (2nd DEFF), San Francisco (10th DEFF) and Chicago (4th DEFF). Just looking at raw data, New Orleans has a huge advantage offensively with the 5th most efficient offense compared to Denver who is last. New Orleans has the 3rd best Margin of Victory this season at +7.3PPG / Denver loss margin -6.1PPG 28th in NFL. We like the Saints laying under a TD here.
• ASAwins 5* Total Shocker of the Month
  Game: (271) Kansas City Chiefs at (272) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 4:25 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 56.5 (-110)
  
  #271/272 ASA TOP PLAY ON 5* Over 56 Points – Kansas City @ Tampa Bay, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - To hold Tampa’s offense in check, you need to have an elite pass rush. Brady is not great when under pressure but if he has time, he’ll pick you apart. Case in point, last week when the Bucs faced a top notch Rams pass rush, they were held to 251 total yards but still scored 24 points. A few week’s prior to that they faced New Orleans, who is top 5 in sack percentage, and the Bucs scored just 3 points. In their other meeting with the Saints they had 23 points. If we take away their games vs top 10 rush defenses (sack percentage) the Bucs are averaging 34.5 PPG. KC’s rush defense ranks 21st in the NFL. The TB has solid overall stats but much of that came early in the season. They have allowed 26 PPG over last 5 games and only 1 of those teams (Rams) ranked in the top 10 in total offense. Now they face a KC offense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in total offense, 2nd in YPP, and 1st in scoring. The Chiefs are rolling offensively scoring at least 33 points in 4 straight games. They’ve been held under 30 points only 3 times this season. Their defense is another story. They’ve been giving up points and yardage. The last 2 games alone, vs Panthers & Raiders, they’ve allowed 31 points in each and over 400 yards in each. They’ve allowed 30+ points in 3 of their last 6 games and 2 of the games they did not they were facing the Jets & Broncos, two of the worst offenses in the NFL. Both of these teams like to play at a fast tempo with TB 10th and KC 14th in pace of play. Those numbers are actually deceiving as they should both be ranked higher in pace of play. They are ranked 3rd and 4th in first half pace of play and because they have gotten out to some big leads, they’ve slowed down in the 2nd half which affect their overall pace. We don’t see either team getting out to a big lead here. We look for a back and forth game in perfect weather in Tampa (80 degrees and light winds) and we’ll grab the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo College Hoops

1-Unit Play. Take #801 Richmond (+8) over Kentucky (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

I think Richmond can play with Kentucky. The Spiders are one of the top mid-major teams in the country. They are just as good as St. Louis, a team that beat SEC foe LSU yesterday. Now I think that another one of A-10's finest can potentially take down another SEC team. Further, we've seen this in the past from Kentucky: early season struggles. Coach Cal always loads up on freshmen and new players and always has to develop chemistry on his squads. The result is usually an early season loss or struggle. I think that this will be it. Richmond's Princeton offense is going to test Kentucky's patience and I think that they will be able to execute well enough to keep this one competitive.

4-Unit Play. Take #806 Rutgers (-14.5) over Hofstra (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

This Rutgers team is legit. They have seven of their top eight starters back from last year's team and added stud freshman Cliff Omoruyi. Now, lead guard Geo Baker is hurt. But that just means that everyone else is going to raise their level of play to compensate. That exactly what happened in their 21-point win over Fairleigh Dickinson, with Ron Harper pumping in 30 points and Jacob Young adding 24. The won their first game by 23 and I see another blowout here. Hofstra has some issues. Head coach Joe Mihalich has taken a medical leave of absence, leaving them free of an excellent coach. Hofstra also lost two legit, ball-dominant guards, Des Buie and Eli Pemberton, who combined to average 36 points per game. Finding chemistry and figuring their roles is going to take some time. Last year a very good 26-win Hofstra team got blown out several times in nonconference play. This team is worse and it is playing against an NCAA Tournament-caliber opponent on the road. Should be ugly.

1-Unit Play. Take #814 Texas Tech (-2.5) over Houston (5:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

Houston is absolutely for real. They are one of the favorites to win the AAC and are a likely NCAA Tournament team. However, I think they are going to get put in their place in this one. Texas Tech is also very much for real. And now that they have transfers Mac McClung and Marcus Santos-Silva eligible they are set to again compete for a title in the best conference in college hoops. McClung is one of the most exciting players in the sport. And I think he'll be able to at least neutralize Houston's top gun, Quentin Grimes. I think that Tech's defense is going to be able to slow down Houston as well. We cashed against Houston with Boise State their last time out. And if Boise had shot the ball well at all - they were a comical 1-for-16 from 3-point range - they probably would've pulled an upset. As it was they were down just 59-52 with 2:30 to play. Tech isn't going to go 1-for-16 from deep today and I think they'll get a win.

NOTE: THE FOLLOWING GAMES ARE LOCATED IN COLLEGE EXTRA OR IN ADDED GAMES.

1-Unit Play. Take #7089 Boise State (-13) over Sam Houston State (2 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

I have to think that Boise State is a little irritated at how they played against Houston. I think that they will bounce back here and they should shoot the ball a bit better from deep. Sam Houston lost three senior starters and five transfers from last year's squad. They are working in a lot of new pieces. They also only have two guys on the roster taller than 6-6, which is a problem. SHSU lost its first two games by 30+ points. This one will be more competitive but I can still see Boise clearing them out by 15-18 points.

1-Unit Play. Take #7094 Georgia (-20.5) over Florida A&M (2 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

Last year Florida A&M played several nonconference games against major conference competition: USC, Seton Hall, Kansas State, Tennessee and Washington State. They lost those games by 29, 36, 18, 29 and 14 points. Florida A&M was No. 311 in the country in offensive efficiency and field goal offense. The year prior they were No. 347 and No. 245, respectively. They can't score. They already lost their first game, falling to UF-Gulf Coast by nine. Tom Crean is on the hot seat this year. He needs some positive momentum. They faced three teams rated No. 270 or worse last year. They won one by 9, won by 34 and won by 36. We've been watching major conference teams slaughter weaker sisters all week. Let's see if it can happen again here.

1-Unit Play. Take #7103 UMass-Lowell (+27) over Ohio State (Noon, Sunday, Nov. 29)

1-Unit Play. Take #7106 Miami (-23) over North Florida (6 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 29)

North Florida has the advantage of having played two games already. That's the only advantage they have. They have had to travel twice already and this is their third game in five days. Miami has the edge in size, depth and experience. If North Florida can lose to N.C. State by 35 they can lose to Miami by 30.

Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4-unit Play. #101041. Competition: English Premier League. Take Wolverhampton +0.5(-140) over Arsenal. (Sunday @ 2:15 pm et) (For this to Win, Wolves must Win or Draw, Regulation + Injury time).

Another great Winner in Soccer Yesterday with Bourdeaux +2, and now we are ona great 7-2 Run in Soccer and 11-5 Run and +3300 Run as well in Soccer. Don't forget, we have 5 NFL Plays that go off today as we are 2-1 on the Football Week so far and of course, we are still up in College Basketball for the year, let's keep rolling in Football, College Basketball, Soccer today (along with Golf +3000 and Tennis at +8600 Run as well). Arsenal will be without Pete on Sunday after a Red Card in their scoreless draw at Leeds last week. They proved the Europa League was no match for a above average Premier League side beating Molde 3-0 on the road Thursday night. The host are now 3-1-1 in their last five matches, but have lost two of their last for at home, both in the Premier League, 3-0 to Aston Villa and 1-0 to Leicester City. The Gunners have shown they can score in Europe, but have struggled in the Premier League this season as they sit in 14th place on 13 points with a -1 goal difference. They face an equally as stalled Wolves side that is coming off a 1-1 draw at home to fifth place Southampton. They are 2-1-2 in their last five matches, with a loss a Leicester City. On the road Wolves are very hot and cold, they have wins at Leeds and Sheffield United, but losses at Leicester, West Ham and Chelsea. The visitors sit in 10th place on 14 points, but have drawn the last three at Arsenal 1-1. We do not expect much from this match, Wolves are a strong defensive side, but can hurt teams on the counter. While Arsenal are lacking an identify and can find themselves switching off very easily.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

10* NFL *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos Over 35.5

Total of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Rotation #267 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints @ 4:05 ET - As long-time followers know I am a contrarian. That means when situations like this come up you know I'll be taking a look and, if I like the value going against the move, I am all over it. That is most definitely the case here. This total opened up around 45.5 and now is as low as 35.5 points. It is because the Broncos QB situation is a complete mess as all the QBs on their roster are out due to Covid and related contact tracing. That said, they have only a pair of options at QB as Hinton and Freeman would be the guys. Hinton started out as a QB at Wake Forest before converting to RB. Freeman would be more of a wildcat QB. Either way, I still love the value with this total because Denver most definitely will have some trick plays dialed up here and they catch the Saints defense off a dominating divisional win. On the road and after crushing the rival Falcons, don't be surprised if the New Orleans defense is a little flat here. Also, the weather is going to be very nice in Denver with light winds and clear skies and temperatures possibly reaching into the 40s. Keep in mind, long field goals have a better chance in the thin air of Denver when the weather is like this. I just feel this total is way too low. I know the Broncos defense had a strong game last week but Taysom Hill and the Saints offense are a much better combo than the over-rated Dolphins team that Denver just faced. Also, prior to holding Miami to just 13 points, the Broncos allowed at least 26 points in 7 of last 8 games including an average of 36 points in their last 4 games. Keep in mind that is roughly what the total is on this game for BOTH teams combined and I certainly do expect the Broncos to score some points. They will run some trick plays to keep the defense off balance and, again, you don't have to move the ball a whole lot to get into field goal range in Denver! Broncos kicker Brandon McManus is having a fantastic season as he has made 20 of 21 field goals this season including 14 of 15 from 40+ yards (6 of 7 from 50+ yards). The Broncos ran for nearly 200 yards last week and will find a way to move the ball some and get some points in this game but the Saints offense should light them up too. After all, why do you think New Orleans is favored by 15 points here? Yes that has to do with Broncos problems at QB for this one but also this Saints team can put up some points even without Drew Brees under center. Hill was 18 of 23 for 233 yards passing last week plus ran for 2 touchdowns. Considering all the factors as noted above, there is simply phenomenal line value here with this low total. Flat spot for the Saints defense in a divisional sandwich and the Broncos defense feeling a little too good about themselves after dominating Miami last week plus the Denver D has the hated division rival Chiefs on deck. Neither defense will be on top of its game here in my opinion and we have a very low total to work with in nice weather conditions. I will take it. 10* OVER the total in Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

100 DIME - Las Vegas