Tuesday 1/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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AAA Sports - NBA - Tue, Jan 05 at 9:05 PM
AAA'S FREE TWOLVES-NUGGETS WINNER

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Under 225.5 (-110) (BetOnline)

This is a free play (1*) on UNDER These teams just played Sunday. The Nuggets won 124-109 as 8.5 point favorites. The game went Over, but that was with hot shooting from both sides. They combined to make over 50% of total field goal attempts and Denver hit 19 three pointers. Minnesota still doesn't have Karl-Anthony Towns and thus probably won't put up much of a fight on the road. Denver won't score 124 again, but their defensive numbers are due to improve. Play on UNDER

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Will Rogers - NBA - Tue, Jan 05 at 10:35 PM
FREE

Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers -10 (-104) (BookMaker)

The set-up: Chicago is dealing with several injury and COVID issues, including to: SG Tomas Satoransky, PF Lauri Markkanen, SF Chandler Hutchinson, and PG Ryan Arcidiacono. Portland's been a disappointment in the early going as well after a great end to the Bubble format last year, but I think its asking a lot of these undermanned Bulls to keep pace in this difficult non-conference road venue. Chicago averages 114.2 PPG and it allows 121.9. The pick: Portland averages 115.3 PPG, and it concedes 119.3. The Blazers recent form of late though will have them anxious to turn things around and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Chicago was already struggling in every facet of the game, but with so many key players out due to COVID, it's hard to imagine where any sort of production will come from the visiting side tonight. Consider the home side in this one. This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the BLAZERS.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $9,300 • Post: 3:33P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE JANUARY 5. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ECRU: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CONDUCIVE: Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. STARLIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SUPER VISION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OPEN OUT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	ECRU	5/2	7/2
10	CONDUCIVE	3/1	8/1
7	STARLIN	10/1	8/1
2	SUPER VISION	20/1	9/1
3	OPEN OUT	7/2	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	EARLY RETIREMENT	6	20/1	Front-runner	77	71	78.6	57.4	38.9
5	ECRU	5	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	86	77	78.6	72.8	70.3
10	CONDUCIVE	10	3/1	Stalker	81	80	55.6	70.8	61.8
2	SUPER VISION	2	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	62	67.0	69.0	61.0
3	OPEN OUT	3	7/2	Trailer	80	77	56.0	68.8	62.3
7	STARLIN	7	10/1	Trailer	83	80	49.0	75.0	67.0
8	B DUBYA	8	8/1	Trailer	80	66	45.2	62.2	46.7
9	WAR AT SUNRISE	9	6/1	Trailer	80	77	36.2	65.8	48.8
4	TARNISHED JUSTICE	4	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	73	46.6	66.4	54.4
1	MANEUVERED	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	74	53.8	59.6	48.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

Event: (615) Kansas State at (616) Texas Tech
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Texas Tech -16.0 (-110)
There are several college basketball mismatches on the Vegas rotation tonight. Easily the biggest among the Power 6 programs finds the Wildcats leaving the Little Apple and visiting hostile territories in Texas's great state (or that is what they tell me about the state).
I am not and never have been a big fan of Bruce Weber, but his current roster options are limited. The 'Cats are trying to run a 41 scheme offensively, and it isn't working. The "one-in" 41 needs to be much better than an 8 and 7 players for your team to succeed.
Tech was upset on this same court by the Oki State, overrated Oki State Cowboys last weekend. Tech finds revenge in the form of this meek Kansas State club.
Lay the wood and feel confident as the Red Raiders win in a romp.

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Tony Mejia

Event: (224601) Palmeiras at (224602) River Plate
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: River Plate -119
With UCF/Memphis canceled due to COVID-19, let's look to pull a winner out of South America for Tuesday's free winner instead. River Plate and Palmeiras makes for a really entertaining matchup but the first leg of any semifinal typically starts slowly. Both have averaged nearly three goals per game but with this first leg being in Argentina and Jorge Carrascal and Rafael Santos Borre shining, we'll ride with River Plate as a 3-way money line favorite 2% play.

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (501) Utah Jazz at (502) Brooklyn Nets
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Total Under 229 (-105)
Brandon is on a 26-15 (63.4%) all sports run, get his Korean basketball play for only $10, 2am Pacific time start. An all-day access pass for only $19 is also available.
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My numbers have this Jazz / Nets game total at 221.5. That just barely qualifies for an under bet for 2%. Bet Under 229. If the line moves buy points to 229.

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Bryan Leonard

Event: (625) Iowa State at (626) Texas
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 8PM EST
Play: Iowa State +12.5 (-110)
625 Iowa State at Texas
The Cyclones are not up to the standards of Texas, but they have proven themselves to be a competent underdog. The only game in which they were not competitive was against the run and gun Iowa Hawkeyes. Coming off a contest with Baylor, we think the Cyclones can put up enough defensive might to keep this game under the number.
Texas is coming off its best game of the season, crushing Kansas by 25 points. That brought a lot of national eyes to this program and in turn raises expectations. But the betting markets agree that now is the time to fade them, with West Virginia and Texas Tech on deck.
PLAY IOWA STATE

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Tony Mejia

Event: (631) Memphis at (632) Central Florida
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Total Under 137.5 (-110)
Penny Hardaway is back in Orlando looking to improve to 2-1 in his old stomping grounds as a head coach after picking up a 59-57 victory last Jan. 29. Look for this get-together with Johnny Dawkins to continue a run of low-scoring games for both of these American Athletic Conference squads. The ‘under’ is 8-1-1 in Memphis contests this season and has prevailed in four of six involving the Knights. Both teams played South Florida last since Memphis had its Saturday game against Tulane postponed and escaped with different results since UCF struggled in its rivalry game. The Knights have averaged 74.7 points in their wins but only 57.0 in their three losses and are listing talented freshman Isaiah Adams as a game-time decision after missing him against the Bulls. Memphis edged USF 58-57 to avoid losing consecutive games for the second time this season after being held to just 49 points at home against Tulsa. It’s hard to recommend taking just 1.5 points without Adams’ availability becoming clear until closer to tip-off and not a great idea to lay it with a Memphis squad that has covered only one of its last eight contests so I would pull the trigger on the low side of 137.5 points if you’re going to touch this contest you can catch on ESPNU. Ride the under as a 3% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Event: (631) Memphis at (632) Central Florida
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Memphis -2.0 (-115)
Favorable matchup for Memphis, and the Tigers fit as a play on Dave's power ratings. Laying the small road spot here with Memphis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs

Event: (507) San Antonio Spurs at (508) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 10PM EST
Play: San Antonio Spurs +9.5 (-110)

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Gianni the Greek

Event: (507) San Antonio Spurs at (508) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 10PM EST
Play: San Antonio Spurs +9.5 (-110)

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NCAAB

Tuesday, January 5

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt (4-3, 0-1)
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #294
— Continuity: #113
— Vandy lost its SEC opener 91-72 at home to Florida.
— Commodores lost only true road game by 20 at Davidson.
— Vandy is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-20-19 points.

Kentucky (2-6, 1-0)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #339
— Wildcats lost six of their last seven games.
— Kentucky won its SEC opener in double OT at Miss State
— Kentucky scored 64 or fewer points in all six losses.

— Kentucky won last eight series games.
— Vandy lost its last 12 visits to Lexington, last four by 9 or fewer points.

Davidson @ Duquesne
Davidson (5-4, 1-1)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #41
— Davidson lost four of its five top 100 games.
— 46.6% of Wildcats’ shots are 3’s (36.3%, #84)
— Davidson won its only true road game, by 9 at Rhode Island

Duquesne (2-2, 1-1)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #12
— Third game in four nights for the Dukes.
— Duquesne split first two A-14 games, both were at GW.
— This is Duquesne’s first home game this season.

— Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
— Wildcats lost 71-64 here LY, their first loss in last four visits.

NC State @ Clemson
NC State (6-1, 2-0)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #66
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #99
— Wolfpack won first two ACC games, both 79-76 scores.
— State lost its only true road game, 80-69 at Saint Louis.
— Wolfpack is forcing turnovers 28.2% of time (#4)

Clemson (8-1, 2-1)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #96
— Clemson’s only loss was 66-60 at Virginia Tech.
— Tigers won their last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
— To this point, Clemson has played schedule #39.

— NC State won four of last five series games.
— Wolfpack lost last three visits here, by 4-16-11 points.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech
Kansas State (5-6, 1-2)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #270
— K-State lost four of five top 100 games.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#259)
— K-State won its only true road game, 74-65 at Iowa State.

Texas Tech (8-3, 1-2)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #277
— Tech’s two Big X losses were by 1-5 points.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 27.7% of time (#6).
— Tech has #10 eFG% defense in country.

— Texas Tech won five of last six series games.
— Wildcats lost their last six visits to Lubbock.

Toledo @ Kent State
Toledo (8-3, 3-0)
— ranked #87 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #191
— Toledo won its first three MAC games, by 17-23-11 points.
— Rockets are shooting 37.2% on arc (#54).
— Toledo held its last three opponents under 60 points.

Kent State (3-2, 0-1)
— ranked #148 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #309
— Kent State lost its only top 100 game, in OT at Virginia.
— Golden Flashes lost MAC opener, by 4 at Akron.
— Kent State has #21 eFG% defense in country.

— Kent State won last three series games, by 2-7-13 points.
— Toledo lost its last three visits here.

Florida @ Alabama
Florida (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #121
— Gators won first two SEC games, scoring 87 ppg.
— Florida’s only loss was by 12 at Florida State.
— Gators have #19 eFG% in country.

Alabama (7-3, 2-0)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #162
— Alabama won its first two SEC games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
— Crimson Tide scored 79.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Alabama is 4-3 this season in top 100 games.

— Florida won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Gators won their last eight visits to Tuscaloosa.

Iowa State @ Texas
Iowa State (2-5, 0-3)
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #273
— Cyclones lost first three Big X games, by 9-5-11 points.
— Iowa State is turning ball over 24.2% of time (#310)
— Cyclones’ two wins are over teams ranked #320/#349

Texas (8-1, 2-0)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #194
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #5
— Texas won its first two Big X games, scoring 80.5 ppg
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Sandwich game: Texas just beat Kansas, has West Virginia next.
— Texas has #6 eFG% defense in country.

— Texas won six of last eight series games.
— Cyclones lost their last five visits to Austin.

North Carolina @ Miami
North Carolina (6-4, 1-2)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #148
— UNC’s only ACC win was 66-65 over Notre Dame.
— Tar Heels lost four of their last seven games.
— UNC is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#255).

Miami (4-4, 0-3)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #227
— Miami lost its last two games, by total of 3 points.
— Hurricanes are 1-3 in top 100 games, beating Purdue 58-54.
— Miami is shooting 28% on arc (#303), turning ball over 21% of time (#235).

— North Carolina won last four series games, by average of 13 points.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Memphis @ Central Florida
Memphis (6-4, 2-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #28
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #58
— Memphis split its last four games.
— Tigers lost four of five top 100 games, beating Saint Mary’s by 17.
— Memphis won its only top 10 game, 80-74 at Tulane.

Central Florida (3-3, 1-2)
— ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #265
— Knights lost last two games, scoring 54-61 points.
— To this point, UCF has played schedule #5.
— UCF has forced turnovers 21.4% of time (#86).

— Memphis won three of last four series games.
— Tigers lost three of last four visits to Orlando.

Rutgers @ Michigan State
Rutgers (7-2, 3-2)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #31
— Rutgers lost two of last three games.
— Scarlet Knights gave up 80.3 ppg in last four games.
— Rutgers is shooting 39.3% on arc (#23).

Michigan State (7-3, 1-3)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #72
— Spartans’ only Big 14 win was 84-77 over Nebraska.
— Michigan State is giving up 80.5 ppg in league games.
— Spartans lost three of their five top 100 games.

— Spartans are 10-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play.
— MSU won its last four visits here, by 20-31-10-11 points.

UConn @ Marquette
UConn (4-1, 1-1)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #111
— This is UConn’s first true road game.
— Huskies’ only loss was 76-74 in OT to Creighton.
— UConn has #23 eFG% defense in country.

Marquette (6-5, 2-3)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #222
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #168
— Marquette lost four of its last six games.
— Golden Eagles lost five of seven top 100 games.
— Marquette is shooting 38% on the arc (#38).

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri (7-1, 1-1)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #6
— Tigers’ only loss was 73-53 at home to Tennessee.
— Mizzou won four of its five top 100 games.
— Tigers have #14 eFG% defense in country.

Mississippi State (6-4, 1-1)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #257
— MSU won six of last eight games, with both losses in double OT.
— Bulldogs is shooting 37.9% on arc (#41), only 60.4% on line (#324).
— MSU lost three of its four top 100 games.

— Bulldogs won last four series games.
— Mizzou lost its last four visits to Starkville.

Kansas @ TCU
Kansas (8-2, 2-1)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #118
— Kansas won its only true road game, 58-57 at Texas Tech.
— Jayhawks lost last game 84-59 at home to Texas.
— To this point, Kansas has played schedule #9.

TCU (9-2, 2-1)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #319
— Continuity: #120
— Horned Frogs won their last five games.
— TCU has #56 eFG% in country.
— TCU won three of five top 100 games.

— Kansas won last six series games.
— Jayhawks won their last seven visits to Fort Worth.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

603N ILLINOIS -604 OHIO U
N ILLINOIS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

607DAYTON -608 FORDHAM
DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

609VANDERBILT -610 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

611DAVIDSON -612 DUQUESNE
DAVIDSON is 57-31 ATS (22.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

613NC STATE -614 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

615KANSAS ST -616 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997.

617NEBRASKA -618 PURDUE
PURDUE is 93-64 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

621W MICHIGAN -622 BALL ST
W MICHIGAN is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

623FLORIDA -624 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

625IOWA ST -626 TEXAS
IOWA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501UTAH -502 BROOKLYN
UTAH is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.

503LA LAKERS -504 MEMPHIS
LA LAKERS are 214-269 ATS (-81.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

505MINNESOTA -506 DENVER
DENVER is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

507SAN ANTONIO -508 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 46-25 ATS (18.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

509CHICAGO -510 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, January 5

Trend Report

Utah @ Brooklyn
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

San Antonio @ LA Clippers
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Chicago @ Portland
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago