Sunday 9/26/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359649

    #91
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 59

    Rating:

    #5 UNTAPPED ENERGY (ML=4/1)
    #10 NOMIRACLESNEEDED (ML=5/1)
    #2 UNIQUE GIRL (ML=7/2)


    UNTAPPED ENERGY - I like the case that this filly's last speed fig, 59, is tops in this field. This equine is tops in earnings per start. She looks strong in today's event. NOMIRACLESNEEDED - This filly is in fine form. Ran second on Sep 13th. UNIQUE GIRL - Faced tougher last time out at Mountaineer Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders. A repeat of that last effort on Sep 12th where she garnered a figure of 59 looks high enough to win in this affair.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MILLIE (ML=3/1), #3 HELLCAT WARRIOR (ML=5/1),

    MILLIE - You think this horse is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done frequently. Hard to recommend this one out of the one hole. Hasn't run well out of there. HELLCAT WARRIOR - Difficult to wager on any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 UNTAPPED ENERGY is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: 5 with [2,10]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,5,10] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359649

      #92
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 11 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 51

      FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 8 LAUGHING ROCKETT 8/1
      # 3 ARRANGED VOWS 7/2
      # 5 FEISTY HALO 10/1
      LAUGHING ROCKETT should be supported as the bet in here and is a very strong value bet given the line. Ought to compete quite well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group. Has to be given consideration - I like the numbers from the last contest. ARRANGED VOWS - With Negron getting the mount, watch out for this equine. FEISTY HALO - With a +58 ROI, this rider and conditioner duo has produced respectable returns as of late for bettors.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359649

        #93
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



        09/26/21, BEL, Race 10, 5.48 ET
        09/26/21,BEL,10,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 9 feet).
        . . . .
        Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 12 Back Channel 7/2 Castellano J Rodriguez Rudy R. S 83 32.53 2.08/$1
        098.3805 9 Theodora Grace 4/1 Davis D Albertrani Thomas 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        097.8014 11 Mazal Eighteen 12/1 Saez L Lee Joseph R. 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        097.6653 5 Lucky Latkes 6/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio FC 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        097.4561 6 Beyond Brown 20/1 Cancel E Broberg Karl TL 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        096.8415 2 High School Crush 8/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        096.7309 10 Appreciate 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Toscano. Jr. John T. 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        096.1650 1 Fort Drum 12/1 Hernandez B Lerman Roy S. 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        095.8742 7 Athena Dancer 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Potts Wayne J 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        095.1981 13 Happy Hill Lil 12/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        095.1222 14 Fifth Risk 9/2 Carmouche K Lawrence. II James L. E 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        094.4508 4 Ava K's Girl 15/1 Franco M Martin Carlos F. 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        094.0726 3 Adele Kat 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        092.9315 8 Proper Grammar(b+) 30/1 Samuel J L Pregman. Jr. John S. W 88 27.27 2.04/$1
        Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.07/$1
        Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6195
        [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
        [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today -with-
        [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)
        If Race Is Off Turf

        Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 12 Back Channel 7/2 Castellano J Rodriguez Rudy R. S 141 36.17 1.19/$1
        099.3789 13 Happy Hill Lil 12/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary F 90 43.33 1.37/$1
        098.6610 5 Lucky Latkes 6/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio C 141 36.17 1.19/$1
        098.2552 9 Theodora Grace 4/1 Davis D Albertrani Thomas 90 43.33 1.37/$1
        097.4915 11 Mazal Eighteen 12/1 Saez L Lee Joseph R. 82 37.80 1.26/$1
        097.2621 14 Fifth Risk 9/2 Carmouche K Lawrence. II James L. E 90 43.33 1.37/$1
        096.9947 2 High School Crush 8/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 141 36.17 1.19/$1
        096.4718 7 Athena Dancer 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Potts Wayne J 112 43.75 1.27/$1
        095.8941 4 Ava K's Girl 15/1 Franco M Martin Carlos F. 141 36.17 1.19/$1
        095.7677 3 Adele Kat 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 112 43.75 1.27/$1
        095.0423 10 Appreciate 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Toscano. Jr. John T. 141 36.17 1.19/$1
        094.9814 1 Fort Drum 12/1 Hernandez B Lerman Roy S. 112 43.75 1.27/$1
        094.8282 8 Proper Grammar(b+) 30/1 Samuel J L Pregman. Jr. John S. W 90 43.33 1.37/$1
        091.8886 6 Beyond Brown 20/1 Cancel E Broberg Karl TL 90 43.33 1.37/$1
        Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 42.53, ROI 1.35/$1
        Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6211
        [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
        [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today

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