Sunday 2/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359649

    Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - February 6

    FAIR GROUNDS TIPS - SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 06, 2022
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #5 CHAPEL BARN
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 5 Chapel Barn J Loveberry
    PLACE 7-2 3 Will Knows R Diaz
    SHOW 9-2 6 Jack the Ripper M Murrill
    WILD CARD 4-1 2 Deano S Sanjur
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Murdo J Riquelme
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 The Gray Blur J P Vargas
    * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
    RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 3 Allocate M Murrill
    PLACE 3-1 4 Lady Maeve R Diaz
    SHOW 5-2 1 Bee Right D L Parker
    WILD CARD 6-1 5 Chaton Rouge A Green
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Sparkling Water A Suarez
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Wicked Wonder J Graham
    * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
    RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 1 Loneshilohspecial E Nieves
    PLACE 8-1 6 Joeys Sassy Shana A Green
    SHOW 5-1 8 Lucky Gone Sweet B Culp
    WILD CARD 9-2 5 Ronnies Peso C L Marquez
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1A Scarlett OHara J Graham
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 Mrs. Judy M Murrill
    * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
    RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
    7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 4 Your Times Coming B J Hernandez Jr.
    PLACE 6-1 6 Ranch Badge J Graham
    SHOW 5-1 5 Moment of Stardom D L Parker
    WILD CARD 4-1 10 Henning P L Cotto Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 12 Cypriano M Murrill
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Scoring Drive A Green
    * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX
    RACE #5 $54,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #3 CREOLE CHARLIE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 3 Creole Charlie J Graham
    PLACE 5-2 1 Swot Analysis B J Hernandez Jr.
    SHOW 7-2 7 Release the Beast M Murrill
    WILD CARD 5-1 6 Zion J P Vargas
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Pickens D L Parker
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Widdle Zee J A Monserrate Jr.
    * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
    RACE #6 $47,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 1 Kit Keller B J Hernandez Jr.
    PLACE 5-1 4 Trobairitz J Loveberry
    SHOW 4-1 2 Yin Yang M Murrill
    WILD CARD 6-1 3 Four Dawn M Pedroza Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 1A Boxing Day J Graham
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 8 Misthaven E Nieves
    * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
    RACE #7 $53,000 ALLOWANCE
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #1A BOX OF PICTURES
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 1A Box of Pictures S Laviolette
    PLACE 4-1 2 Elsie Girl M Pedroza Jr.
    SHOW 7-2 6 Sumitup J Riquelme
    WILD CARD 8-1 7 Philly Wins J Gilligan
    ALTERNATE 1 5-2 1 Rue Lala E Nieves
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Maw Maws Sophia B J Hernandez Jr.
    * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
    RACE #8 $25,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 8 Zippin Gigi B J Hernandez Jr.
    PLACE 7-2 3 Cause to Cruise M Pedroza Jr.
    SHOW 8-1 1 Excellency D L Parker
    WILD CARD 6-1 5 Stitched J Graham
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 12 Practice Squad O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Math Man O Mojica
    * EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
    RACE #9 $5,000 CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 4-1 3 Winning Quality M Pedroza Jr.
    PLACE 4-1 7 Time for a Song M Murrill
    SHOW 5-1 9 Cave Creek A Suarez
    WILD CARD 7-2 1 Sunday Scheming D L Parker
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Autumn Aspen O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 8 Altered Dream R Diaz
    * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 1/7/9 BOX
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359649

      Aqueduct Tip Sheet - February 6

      AQUEDUCT TIPS - SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 06, 2022
      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
      RACE #1 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
      7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-5 2 Diamond Collector K Carmouche
      PLACE 9-2 3 Continentalcongres T McCarthy
      SHOW 6-1 5 Flaca D Davis
      WILD CARD 10-1 6 Snow Loves a Fight J L Samuel
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Goodmorning Angel J Lezcano
      ALTERNATE 2 30-1 1 Rvalentina J Baez
      * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
      RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 6-5 1A Profusion M Franco
      PLACE 7-2 2 Mandatory Payout J Lezcano
      SHOW 8-1 3 Whats My Category J A Davis
      WILD CARD 5-2 4 Bourbon Bay K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 6-5 1 Blake B. J A Gomez
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Bingo John C Ramos
      * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
      RACE #3 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 6-5 4 Rational Choice M Franco
      PLACE 2-1 6 Mandatory D Davis
      SHOW 5-1 3 Comedic Timing T McCarthy
      WILD CARD 5-1 2 Bay Street Money K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Maximus Aurelius S Gonzalez
      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Everesting J L Samuel
      * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
      RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES
      7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 9-5 5 Morello J Lezcano
      PLACE 8-5 3 Life Is Great M Franco
      SHOW 5-2 2 Hagler J A Vargas Jr.
      WILD CARD 8-1 1 Beast Or Famine K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Dance Code D Haddock
      * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
      RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
      BEST BET: #5 ITS ALL RELEVANT
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 9-5 5 Its All Relevant J A Gomez
      PLACE 2-1 7 Direct Order M Franco
      SHOW 15-1 6 Binkster A Morrison
      WILD CARD 12-1 3 Big Mountain H K Harkie
      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 4 Musical America K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Threethehardway C Ramos
      * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
      RACE #6 $82,000 ALLOWANCE
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:22 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 7 Violent Vixen E Cancel
      PLACE 9-5 3 Ruvies in Time J A Vargas Jr.
      SHOW 7-2 5 My Roxy Girl J Lezcano
      WILD CARD 4-1 2 Kept Waiting K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Bastet T McCarthy
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Fight On Lucy B Hernandez
      * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
      RACE #7 $74,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET
      BEST BET: #3 BUSTIN BAY
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-1 3 Bustin Bay J Lezcano
      PLACE 7-2 8 Grudge M Franco
      SHOW 4-1 9 Wasp K Carmouche
      WILD CARD 6-1 1 Electric Youth T McCarthy
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Rossa Veloce A Morrison
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Prairie Fire J A Gomez
      * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
      RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
      7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET
      ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 RUTHLESS STAKES
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 3-1 1 Champagne Poetry D Davis
      PLACE 5-2 7 Shotgun Hottie T McCarthy
      SHOW 6-1 3 Jet Force J Rodriguez
      WILD CARD 3-1 4 Miss Interpret K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Lady Milagro E Cancel
      ALTERNATE 2 4-1 6 Knowing Glance M Franco
      * EXACTA: 1,3,4,7 Box
      * TRIFECTA: 1,3,7/1,3,4,7/1,2,3,4,7
      COMMENTS: CHAMPAGNE POETRY won her last, getting the maiden score with the highest, last race speed figure. SHOTGUN HOTTIE ships in from the Fair Grounds and Churchill, good works getting ready. JET FORCE is undefeated in two and improved nicely in race number two. MISS INTERPRET should be at/near peak performance in her third star after a layoff.
      RACE #9 $40,000 CLAIMING
      7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET
      BEST BET: #5 JAKE ROCKS
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-2 5 Jake Rocks M Franco
      PLACE 8-1 2 Dvinicris J A Vargas Jr.
      SHOW 4-1 6 Rocco Strong D Davis
      WILD CARD 2-1 7 Cousteau K Carmouche
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Quickflash T McCarthy
      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Olivers Fortune E Cancel
      * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359649

        Aqueduct Hotlist - February 6




        Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Sunday, February 6, 2022 at Aqueduct
        By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

        Hot List Key:
        A:
        A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

        1st race [Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (3) Continentalcongres (B) got pinched back at the start of his 2022 debut and then had to steady on the inside near the wire to finish third. (2) Diamond Collector has a pair of second-place finishes both on sloppy tracks. (5) Flaca was a $200,000 yearling purchase that will make her debut for trainer Rob Atras whose barn continues to win lots of races at Aqueduct including with a first-timer the other day. (4) Goodmorning Angel was a well bet 4-1 in his first start for the Asmussen barn and didn’t do very much running on a sloppy track.

        2nd race [Clm 25000 N3L, 1 mi] – (1) Blake B. was claimed two races back at Churchill Downs for $50,000 by Linda Rice and then was overmatched in a starter allowance in his first start at Aqueduct. He is back at a winning level. (6) The Big Grey won his N2L condition at Finger Lakes by more than eight lengths and then shipped to Parx to try a starter allowance a couple of weeks ago. (2) Mandatory Payout hit the board in several starts at the N3L level. (3) What’s My Category is likely to be ignored with the rider change to Jackie Davis who is a quality jockey.

        4th race [Jimmy Winkfield, 7F] – (5) Morello (A) was a debut winner for Steve Asmussen back in November at Aqueduct by more than four lengths over a horse that came back to win. (2) Hagler gets another chance after setting the pace in the Jerome and then fading on the sloppy track. The mile distance was a concern in that Kentucky Derby prep race and the cutback should suit him well. (3) Life Is Great popped his career best speed figure in his lone start at Aqueduct and that figure is actually the highest in the entire field. (1) Beast Or Famine will make his 2022 debut shipping up from Parx. Last year, he was an allowance winner there and then missed the win by a head in the JF Lewis at Laurel.

        6th race [Alw 82000, 6F] – (3) Ruvies in Time won the second-level NY-bred allowance last time and now moves to open company. Last year at Aqueduct, he was a stakes winner against open company. The veteran mare is an established winner. (7) Violent Vixen won her last two starts in a maiden special weight and then a starter allowance. (1) Bastet does her best running at Aqueduct where she ran seven times in 2021. Two races back she was a competitive fourth at this allowance level. (5) My Roxy Girl was claimed by Linda Rice two races ago for $45,000 and was moved to open company where she had the lead in the stretch. She will appreciate the cutback in distance.
        Best bets: Blake B. (2nd); Morello (4th). Best value: Continentalcongres (1st); Ruvies in Time (6th).
        No. Name Letter/
        last race
        Today's Race Comments
        (3) Continentalcongres B on 1/13 1 Pinched at start, steadied on the inside, and finished third.
        (5) Morello A on 11/27 4 After a slow start, won his debut by more than four.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359649

          Gulfstream Park Hotlist - February 6

          Today’s Gulfstream Park Hot List races to watch
          Sunday, Feb. 6, 2022

          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
          Hot List Key:
          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

          2nd race – (5) Long Beach Kid was claimed out of a third at this level and looks best here. (1) Tone Feelin takes a big class drop and could be a threat in this spot. (6) Plato drops to a level where he should be competitive. (7) Kitten Street has a nice turn of speed and could be a main factor. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-7.
          4th race – (7) North Carolina (B) cuts back in distance and should be tough to catch in this spot. (9) Kanaan rallied belatedly in his debut and should benefit from that effort. (6) Daddy Frank gets Jose Ortiz here and may wake up. (5) Khafre may welcome a switch to turf. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-9.

          6th race – (1) Arrobatic is an Arrogate firster trained by Chad Brown who looks best in this spot. (9) Sadie Bear is another firster who is training nicely for her debut. (2) Osiria also has worked out in solid fashion for her debut. (7) Ojeleye may fare better on dirt than turf. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-9.

          9th race – (4) Sayyaaf won easily in a race switched to Tapeta and now moves back to his preferred surface of turf. Should be able to handle this group. (1) Wora had a rocky start last time and figures to get a better trip from the rail. (5) Partner’s Hope steps up off the Dobles claim and merits attention. (2) Chinobe fits in well with this group. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

          11th race – (9) Fiery Heart tries claimers for the first time and seems to have an edge over these. (4) Streaming Tap makes his first start for Maker and should be a major factor. (7) Ghostinyou drops into a claimer and adds Lasix. Should not be overlooked. (1) Globes gets Jose Ortiz and will be a factor on his best try. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-9.
          No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
          (7) North Carolina B, 12/29 4 GP A shorter distance will help
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