Sunday 10/16/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372290

    #31
    KRISTPICKS

    BELMONT AT THE BIG A - SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2022 // POST TIME - 12:35 P.M. EST
    Saturday, 15 October 2022 00:00 | Another one that I found

    - DAILY SELECTIONS FOR OCTOBER 16 -

    RACE 1: 9 - NARCISO DALI 50-1
    6 - FIRE BARON 5-1
    5 - DUDE N COLORADO 6-1

    RACE 2: 1 - MISS MIA LIA 4-1
    2 - SUPER CARO 6-1
    4 - MAGIC MISS 5-1

    RACE 3: 3 - PIANZI 3-1
    6 - QUICK RETURN 2-1
    2 - WINNING DRIVE 9-2

    RACE 4: 9 - GIANNI LAMBO 3-1
    6 - KING ANGELO 5-2
    4 - AFTER FIVE 8-1

    RACE 5: 1 - ZAPRUDER 10-1 - LONGSHOT
    2 - BOBBY THE TANK 7-2
    6 - LIAR'S POKER 3-1

    RACE 6: 2 - TRUANCY 5-2 - BEST BET
    6 - TROUBLESHOOTER 6-1
    3 - CURLIN'S WISDOM 8-1

    RACE 7: 9 - STRASBOURG 8-1
    7 - KINGSTOWN 10-1
    5 - TACO BEAN 9-2

    RACE 8: 3 - TOO SEXY 4-1
    2 - LADY EDITH 9-5
    4 - QUEEN SHEBA 30-1

    RACE 9: 2 - DECANTED 5-1
    6 - SCRAMBLE 4-1
    7 - SUMMER BEE 20-1
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372290

      #32
      TAMPA BAY (2 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 3) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TAMPA BAY is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
      TAMPA BAY is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
      PITTSBURGH is 94-63 ATS (+24.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
      PITTSBURGH is 70-40 ATS (+26.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
      PITTSBURGH is 80-47 ATS (+28.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      CINCINNATI (2 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      JACKSONVILLE (2 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2 - 1) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      JACKSONVILLE is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
      JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      NEW ENGLAND (1 - 3) at CLEVELAND (2 - 2) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ENGLAND is 288-227 ATS (+38.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 288-227 ATS (+38.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 95-58 ATS (+31.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 220-167 ATS (+36.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
      NEW ENGLAND is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
      CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      NY JETS (2 - 2) at GREEN BAY (3 - 1) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NY JETS are 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 279-230 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 279-230 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
      GREEN BAY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      BALTIMORE (2 - 2) at NY GIANTS (3 - 1) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
      BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      MINNESOTA (3 - 1) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 2) - 10/16/2022, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      CAROLINA (1 - 3) at LA RAMS (2 - 2) - 10/16/2022, 4:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      ARIZONA (2 - 2) at SEATTLE (2 - 2) - 10/16/2022, 4:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ARIZONA is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
      SEATTLE is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
      SEATTLE is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
      SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      BUFFALO (3 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 1) - 10/16/2022, 4:25 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      DALLAS (3 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 0) - 10/16/2022, 8:20 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372290

        #33
        NY Jets vs Green Bay

        NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
        Green Bay is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Jets

        Cincinnati vs New Orleans

        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games

        San Francisco vs Atlanta

        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
        Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco

        New England vs Cleveland

        New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
        New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing New England

        Jacksonville vs Indianapolis

        Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
        Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

        Minnesota vs Miami

        Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games on the road
        Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

        Baltimore vs NY Giants

        Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
        Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games at home
        NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh

        Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

        Carolina vs LA Rams

        Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games at home

        Arizona vs Seattle

        Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
        Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games

        Buffalo vs Kansas City

        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
        Buffalo is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
        Kansas City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

        Dallas vs Philadelphia

        Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372290

          #34
          Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know for Santa Anita - 10/16/22


          October 16, 2022
          “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
          by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst


          Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
          *
          For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

          *
          Grade Descriptions:
          Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
          Grade B=Solid Play.
          Grade C=Least preferred or pass
          Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
          Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Pacific States; 4-Take Charge Curly
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: Pacific States surfaces in a claimer for the first time and should be quick enough to establish the pace and keep on going. However, at 9/5 on the morning line and liable to go lower, he offers little in the way of value. Take Charge Curly closed a gap after a slow start in his debut at Los Alamitos and certainly has room for improvement. He’s probably not all that much (he was 27-1 in his first start) but in a soft field he’s worth at least some consideration.

          Notable Workouts:

          Pacific States (Oct. 10, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h TT). Grade B-
          Decent training track drill outside Bluegrass Lute (same time) while finishing head-and-head with a final quarter mile in a smart :23.3. In good shape and will be double tough with a class drop.
          View Workout Video


          __________________________________________________ ___________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
          Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Atomic Drop; 4-Stone’s River
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: Atomic Drop is unproven around two turns but from the rail he’s likely to inherit the role as the controlling speed, and if he’s ever going to win over a distance of ground it will be under circumstances similar to this. He has a prior win over the local main track and is exiting a series of quick abbreviated sprints, so the front end should be his for the taking. Stone’s River projects to settle into a stalking position, and if ‘Drop can’t see out the trip he should be in a perfect position to stalk and go from the quarter pole home.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 3: Post: 2:04 PT Grade: X
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Tangledupingrey
          Backups/savers: 4-Clouseau

          Forecast: Tangledupingrey turns back to a sprint, lands the cozy outside post, and projects to be on or near the lead from start to finish. He’s 8/5 on the morning line and may go lower. Clouseau is a first timer bred for speed (Distorted Humor) and shows a work tab that indicates he has at least some ability. A little will go a long way in this six runner grass sprint for state-bred juveniles, so we’ll toss him in as a backup.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Smile for Glory; 1-American Cat
          Backups/Savers: none

          Forecast: We’re going to try to beat the 8/5 morning line favorite (Lemon Sushi) going two-deep in our rolling exotics. Smile for Glory displayed decent speed before weakening late in a turf dash for California-bred runners earlier this month in a race he had a right to need. The barn has super stats with the second-time starter angle, so from a comfortable outside post the son of Smiling Tiger could easily step forward in a big way. American Cat may be better than shown after finishing a troubled fourth in a similar dash at Del Mar in August. With just two starts, the American Freedom sophomore colt has plenty of room to improve, so if he leaves cleanly from the rail the Dean Pederson-trained gelding should be a solid contender.


          __________________________________________________ ___________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 5: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: C+
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Jibber Jabber; 4-Octane; 3-Lady Noguez
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: We’re not crazy about the extreme outside draw that Jibber Jabber must deal with in this starter’s allowance turf miler but the Irish-bred filly may be capable of winning again with a repeat of her most recent outing, a nice score over $40,000 sellers at Del Mar last month. Hopefully, she can fold over, get some cover, save some ground, and then kick home from the quarter pole to the wire. Octane was a race-shape aided third in the same race ‘Jabber exits, and while she’s never been big on winning (2-for-17) the N. Drysdale-trained Brazilian-bred mare has numbers that are rising and may be able to produce another forward move. Lady Noguez, away since last December, returns for clever trainer Vladimir Cerin. It may be significant that Umberto Rispoli jumps off Jibber Jabber to ride her, and both of her career victories (from 24 starts) were accomplished over the local turf course. Tread lightly here.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 6: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: C+
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Starship Defiant; 4-A Broken Breeze
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: Starship Defiant is a course specialist (three wins and two seconds in nine outings) and makes her first start for a barn that has strong stats with the first-off-the-claim angle. This drop from $16,000 to $10,000 normally isn’t a good sign, but if this daughter of Empire Way has at least one good one left she should be hard to handle. A Broken Breeze continues her descent on the class ladder and may finally have found her friends. She will be doing her best work late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play in a race that might be best left alone.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 7: Post: 4:05 PT Grade: B-
          Main ticket (in order of preference): Time to Party; 8-Wellswort; 10-Fllint Stroll
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: Time to Party shows up in a claimer for the first time and the class drop isn’t suspicious as this is where he belongs. The Peter Miller-trained gelding has been facing much better company than today’s group and in his first try around two turns the son of Kantharos should be comfortably placed in a pace pressing or stalking position, or maybe even as the controlling speed if they let him have it. Wellswort, away since January, could return a better type for the Phil D’Amato barn and recent works indicate he is fit and ready. A maiden claiming win over this course and distance when last seen, the Irish-bred gelding should draft into a stalking position and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on. D’Amato’s other entrant, Flint Stroll, represents the most dangerous of the closing types and with a good pace up front to compliment his style the son of Flintshire could make some serious noise late.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 8: Post: 4:35 PT Grade: B
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Lady Maryann 5-She’s Bulletproof
          Backups/savers: none

          Forecast: Lady Maryann appears to have found a proper spot to regain her winning form, so we’ll put her on top, her low percentage connections notwithstanding. She returns to the main track and gets an extra furlong to work with, so we’re expecting the daughter of Curlin to Mischief to fire her best shot. Her front-running maiden win over this main track in June would, if repeated, handle this assignment, so let’s hope she runs back to it. She’s Bulletproof lacks early speed but with some help up front could cause some damage in the final furlong. Her numbers are nothing special and she’s burned money as the favorite in her last pair, but we’ll toss her in for protection as a backup.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          __________________________________________________ ____________________________

          RACE 9: Post: 5:07 PT Grade:
          Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-The Chosen Vron; 7-Hail Freedom
          Backups/savers: 7-Hail Freedom

          Forecast: The Chosen Vron is bred for grass and his one prior outing on the sod produced an excellent third place finish (beaten a head) in a state-bred stakes at Del Mar in August. Furthermore, while he has shown he can handle any distance, we suspect he’s most effective sprinting, so this downhill Hillside Turf Course should bring out his best. Successful against open company (he’s beaten Defunded and Laurel River), the son of Vronsky had a nice easy breeze over the training track last week to indicate he is primed and ready for a major effort. As a backup, we’ll include the tough and genuine Hail Freedom on our ticket. A winner of his last four starts, most recently with a career top speed figure, the Doug O’Neill-trained son of Box Score has won over this course in the past and will be tough to catch if not pressured early.

          Notable Workouts:

          The Chosen Vron (Oct. 8, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.1h TT). Grade: B
          Just breezing in solo training track drill, never asked, and finishing with plenty left. Looks sound and happy and should fire a big shot in the California Flag Handicap.
          View Workout Video
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372290

            #35
            Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


            October 16, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia
            Northfield Park has 15 races set to go this evening. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

            Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

            Race 11

            1-Live And Let Di (2-1)-Takes a meaningful drop in class, regular pilot Davis Jr returns, likes to race on the point and draws the rail for the 1st time in 3 months. Looks like a main player at a small price.
            7-Smothastenesewisky (5/2)-This mare has the speed to take a picture. But will need to find live cover and could be pace compromised.

            Race 12

            5-Future Ex-Wife (7/5)-Here's another short price who should handle the field, although not confident enough to single. Merriman should be able to hop on the engine and may need to be leading turning for the wire to win.
            6-Bonita Jo (7-1)-Davis Jr takes the lines, that's a positive driver change and should offer a solid price. Could stalk the chalk and with a sharp steer be the best down the lane.

            Race 13

            3-Cinderella Delight (7/5)-Not in love with the short price coming off a sick scratch on 10-8 but knows how to win at Nfld
            (21-7-5-2). Davis may try to get the top and not look back.
            5-St Lads Gidget (5/2)-Took the long way around after blasting out from the 8-hole on 10-9 and the trip took its toll. Wrenn sticks and should be in the hunt with this post draw. Having 1 win in 25 starts this year is cause for pause but may have found a beatable field.

            Race 14

            3-Sweet Talker (2-1)-Drops after getting parked the mile and now Wrenn gets the assignment. Has beaten better than this in July at Nfld and now makes the 3rd start after a judge's scratch. Looks like all systems are "go".
            6-Mytsical Virgin (5-1)-Steps-up off a win and should fit nicely with this group. Made a rare break on 9-24 as the chalk, came back and wired the same kind on 10-9. Looking for a clean trip and another strong effort.

            $1.00 Late Pick 4

            1,7/5,6/3,5/3,6
            Total Bet=$16
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372290

              #36
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Keeneland - Race #3
              #2 Grand Jury He handled the move around two turns nicely last time out, and he's in for a tag for the first time in a competitive spot. Think he should be in line for another great forward trip with these.
              #3 Massai Warrior Dropper has been inconsistent through five starts, and he's almost sure to get bet off the board while dropping in for a tag for the first time. Capable forward player could romp today, but I'll try to beat him.
              #7 Ra's Al Ghul He's got a big hill to climb to land this, but I wonder if he has a little upside in this second start and might be able to turn another one-paced effort into an underneath share.
              Race Summary Grand Jury has the kind of tactical pace to get a first-over trip at this distance, and I think he's in a competitive spot while trying the locals for a tag.
              Keeneland - Race #7
              #1 Star Devine Price player is capable of something a bit better than that last one, and she might be able to find a good trip behind an honest pace. One of her best career efforts came here earlier this year.
              #10 Change of Control She's an obvious player with her best based on class and style to finish from just a touch off it, and she can bounce back today after the flat try over the synthetic at Presque Isle Downs.
              #3 Querobin Dourada Turnback player might get a decent finishing trip with these, and the price should be right on the class rise. Worth a look underneath or on spread tickets.
              Race Summary Star Devine gets the edge in a competitive race, as I'm hoping an honest pace develops with some forward players lined up with these. I'd want to have a few of these kinds of price types on my tickets in this race.
              Keeneland - Race #9
              #13 Beat the Estimates She made a mild move before flattening in the debut run, but I wouldn't be surprised to see her run much better here from a decent tactical spot.
              #9 Miss Peabody I wouldn't want to take too short a price here after the big effort at 42/1 in the debut try, and I'm a bit worried about her potential lack of pace. That said, she's getting around two turns, and that debut was a pretty solid finishing effort. Could be along late here.
              #7 Words of Praise Pace can probably stick around a bit better in this second start, and the flat course might benefit her as well. Capable here.
              Race Summary Beat the Estimates can probably settle and finish here, and I bet she has something a bit better to offer this time around for a capable team.
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              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20787

                #37
                Free play from Mike Wynn

                Free Pick: Cincinnati/New Orleans Under 43 Points

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20787

                  #38
                  Free play from Totals4U

                  Early Sunday's Free Selection: New England Patriots/Cleveland Browns under 43

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20787

                    #39
                    Free play from #1 Sports

                    Early Sunday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 9 1/2

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20787

                      #40
                      Free play from Easy Money Sports

                      Free Early Sunday Football Selection From Lee
                      SAN FRANCISCO -4 1/2

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20787

                        #41
                        Free play from Huddle Up Sports

                        Sunday Free Play
                        Indianapolis -1'

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20787

                          #42
                          Free play from Teyas Sports

                          FREE PICK 10/16 NFL ARIZONA UNDER 50 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20787

                            #43
                            Free play from Kenny Towers

                            Your Free Pick for Sunday - SF/Atl UNDER 45

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20787

                              #44
                              Free play from Hollywood Anthony

                              Your Free Play from Hollywood

                              Take Indianapolis -1 1/2

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20787

                                #45
                                Free play from Jim Feist

                                Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, October 16, 2022
                                10/16 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET

                                NFL (255) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS (256) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                                Take: (256) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                                Reason: The Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are playing game 2 of their season series. The Jags put a whooping on the Colts back in week 2, 24-0. They held the Colts to just 219 yards. And, after beating the Chargers handily in week 3, 38-19, the Jags lost to Philly, 21-29 and then last week lost at home to Houston, 6-13. I was high on this Colts team early in the season. But some questionable coaching decisions have held this team to just 2-2-1 so far this season. They did beat the Broncos last week, 12-9, though that isn't any feat so far this year. They have revenge on their mind here in week six, having been embarrassed by the Jags in week two. Matt Ryan is probable this week for the Colts with a wrist injury and Jonathon Taylor is questionable with a ankle injury. Despite those hurts, I like the Colts this week to use their very good defense to keep this score low and all they have to do is basically win the the game with the line at -2 or -1. Your free play is on the Colts.

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