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Sunday 10/16/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
The books have set the bar too high Sunday between the Baltimore Ravens and New York Giants. I'm surprised this total has been pushed up above the key number of 45 after an opener of 43.5. I don't agree with the move, and I think there's a ton of value in backing the UNDER in this game Sunday. The Giants have scored 21 or fewer points in four of their five games this season. They have a terrible offense that relies heavily on running the football, which keeps the clock moving. The Giants rank 2nd in the NFL in rushing offense at 179.0 yards per game and 31st in passing offense at 152.2 yards per game. Only the Bears pass for fewer yards per game than the Giants.
Of course, the Giants have been forced to rely heavily on the run due to all their injuries at receiver. The Giants lost Sterling Shepard to a season-ending knee injury, and both Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney are out Sunday as well. RB Saquon Barkley is banged up with a shoulder injury that knocked him out of their last game, but he returned to lead the game-winning drive against the Packers. He won't be 100% this week. The Ravens also rely heavily on the run to move the football, which keeps the clock moving. They rank 7th in rushing offense at 144.6 yards per game and just 21st in passing offense at 207.8 yards per game. As you can see, the ball isn't going to hit the ground much in this game, which keeps the clock moving.
I think we can rely on both defenses to slow down both offenses as well. The Ravens have gotten a lot healthier on defense of late and the results have shown. They held the potent Bills to just 23 points and the Bengals to just 19 points in their last two games coming in. They will shut down this injury-ravaged Giants offense.
The Giants have allowed 23 or fewer points in all five games this season and are allowing just 18.6 points per game, ranking 9th in the NFL in scoring defense. Their improvement on defense is the biggest reason for their turnaround this season as they are off to a surprising 4-1 start. New defensive coordinator Don Martindale is a big reason why. He was with the Ravens the past four seasons, so if anyone knows how to stop Lamar Jackson and this Baltimore offense, it would be Martindale.
The UNDER is 33-16-2 in Giants last 51 home games. The UNDER is 22-6-2 in Giants last 30 games overall. The UNDER is 12-5 in Ravens last 17 road games. The UNDER is 9-1 in Giants last 10 games vs. AFC opponents. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.
Packers-7 1/2 Sunday Card has the NFC East Game of the Year on SNF and our Executive Level TIER 1, There is also a Top Total and an early 5* Side. In MLB we have a Never lost Playoff System with a TOP 6* Rating. NFL Comp play below.
The NFL comp Play is on the Green Bay Packers at 1:00 eastern. The Packers off a stunning loss to the Giants will look to rebound here at home vs the Jets. NY has pulled back to back upsets and pertains to a very rare system that plays against road dogs off a home dog win and prior road win, if they scored more 37 or more points last out and the opponent is off a loss. These 4 teams in this system have all lost and failed to cover and lose by an average 20 points per game. The Jets have failed to cover 6 of 8 off a win and 12 of 15 after scoring 30+ points. They have failed to cover 15 of 21 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Packers have failed to cover 12 of 15 off a loss, 10 of 14 vs a winning team and 9 of 12 in October games. They have a top 5 defense in total yards allowed. The Jets took advantage of a banged up Dolphins team using their 3rd string Qb a 7th round pick in Skylar Thompson. Now they get a motivated A-Rog. Could be a long day for gang green. We will BACK THE PACK Today. The NFC East Game of the Year Headlines on Sunday along with a an Executive Level Tier 1 Side a Top Total and a massive 6* MLB Undefeated Playoff System. NFL Top Ranked on multiple leader boards. For the NFL Comp play. Go with Green Bay. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
A lot of people are surprised to see the Giants off to a 4-1 starts, but I might be a little less surprised than most. I did pick the Giants to go over their season wins total, and I picked the Ravens to fall short of theirs. Both teams are in challenging spots. The Giants returning from London, and the Ravens coming off a big win over a division rival, with another big divisional game versus Cleveland next week. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these teams, and I have to take the home underdog getting a ton of points. GL, Jesse Schule
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