Saturday 11/4/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20541

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $38500 Class Rating: 90

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 4, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 4, 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 LOOSE GOOSE 4/1
    # 5 SAGRADA RAY 6/1
    # 1 COACH ADAMS 2/1
    LOOSE GOOSE is the best wager in this race. Posted a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. The average class rating of 79 makes this one tough to beat. This colt has a good win percent in dirt route races. SAGRADA RAY - Capuano has shown excellent profits (+37 return on investment ) with horses in dirt route events. COACH ADAMS - Has run admirably when moving a dirt route race. With a decent 84 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this race.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

      Gulfstream Park - Race 3
      $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
      Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Age 2 CR: 60 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 1:41P
      FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GRAND TOWER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRAND TOWER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TEXAS AIR FORCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      7
      GRAND TOWER
      7/5
      3/1
      4
      TEXAS AIR FORCE
      9/2
      7/2

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      7
      GRAND TOWER
      7
      7/5
      Front-runner
      0
      0
      67.3
      42.8
      37.3
      2
      DECISIVE WARRIOR
      2
      10/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      0
      0
      50.0
      41.3
      30.3
      8
      BEE A SKY BEAM
      8
      4/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      0
      0
      41.8
      38.4
      31.4
      4
      TEXAS AIR FORCE
      4
      9/2
      Trailer
      63
      50
      52.1
      47.4
      42.4
      5
      JAKE'S AFFECTION
      5
      10/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      0
      0
      40.8
      49.0
      39.5
      3
      CINZENTO
      3
      6/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      0
      0
      45.5
      45.5
      39.5
      1
      KINGY
      1
      12/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      64
      45
      30.8
      30.8
      20.8
      Unknown Running Style: TAPIT THREE TIMES (15/1) [Jockey: Meneses Marcos - Trainer: O'Dwyer Jeremiah].

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Aqueduct - Race #2 - Post: 12:12pm - Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 90

        Rating:

        #3 GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS (ML=9/2)
        #5 HANG TIGHT (ML=6/1)


        GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS - Is ranked totally number one in the field in earnings per race. A solid performance in this race can augment the lifetime total. The 78 most recent race speed rating looks mighty good in black and white. When a pony drops at least five lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but its possible this could make the difference. HANG TIGHT - Look for this gelding to show much better in this field. Last race at Belmont at the Big A finishing fourth on a sloppy track is no indication of his true talent.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JUMPSTER (ML=9/5), #1A DONTBELATE (ML=9/5), #4 DATESFREEDOM (ML=3/1),

        JUMPSTER - Awfully hard to bet on this pony when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. DONTBELATE - Showed very little in the last affair. Really can't expect any change today. The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued contestant.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Skip

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #19
          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.



          Race 1 - Post: 4:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$10000 - FILLIES & MARES CONDITION/CLAIMER N/W 4 PM RACES OR $35,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 W/ALLOWANCES DAYTON RACEWAY 100% NET CARRYOVER SUPERFECTA
          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
          # 6 SEASIDE BABY 3/1
          # 1 FINAL DRIVE 8/1
          # 4 FEAR THE BEACH 6/1
          All signs point to SEASIDE BABY for the selection. Feel the need for speed, this fine animal has been turning in some stellar TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 77. Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the entrants she has faced. Many race players will recognize the great speed fig in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses. FINAL DRIVE - It's dangerous to consider on class alone, but this filly has among the most solid class stats of the field. Earned a 77 speed rating last time out. A duplicate affair here should get the ultimate prize in this event. FEAR THE BEACH - Have good vibrations this one might take in this race.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #20
            Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 8 - Post: 9:16 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$5300 - HORSES AND GELDINGS - CLAIMING $10,000
            CONSORTIUM CHOICES
            # 7 NO TIME AT ALL 4/1
            # 1 TALK TO ME ARTIE 10/1
            # 4 HES STALKING YOU 12/1
            NO TIME AT ALL has a very good shot to take this race. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 74 speed figure. Good for a win wager just off the amazing prior class ratings. Have to like this fine animal. This solid standardbred achieved a formidable TrackMaster SR last time out. Looks sharp to come right back. TALK TO ME ARTIE - Has a substantial shot for this race, if he can repeat his back class. Positive feeling - battling well enough to contend in this race. HES STALKING YOU - A good win percent has been achieved by race horses coming from the 4 hole.


            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #21
              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at North Side Downs

              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 9
              5 5 ROTTEN RONNIE 3/1 Doucet, Redmond Kc - 17 530.21
              1 1 SOLID SILVER 9/2 Gillis, Rodney - 17 470.88
              3 3 KEEPEROFTHEREALM 5/1 Mullins, Zachary D - 17 470.83
              6 6 A BETTER MAN 7/2 Kennedy, John Gerard - 16 454.95
              4 4 EASTCOAST INVADER 4/1 Sutherland, Monica - 21 445.22
              2 2 DRESSEL HANOVER 5/2 Mofford, Ardon S - 23 387.27

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 9
                6 6 POINTS NORTH 10/1 Filion, Sylvain R - 13 635.84
                2 2 COLD CREEK QUESO 3/1 Jamieson, Jody C - 11 629.88
                1 1 EMMETTS BUDDY 2/1 Borth, Tyler J - 8 626.90
                4 4 ROLL WITH THE FLOW 6/1 Mcclure, Bob - 14 615.23
                7 7 FUNATTHEBEACH N 7/2 Henry, Trevor S - 11 608.84
                3 3 LIVINTHEBEACHLIFE 9/2 Drury, Jonathan L - 8 591.70
                8 8 CADILLAC BAYAMA 10/1 Macdonald, James A - 21 589.90
                5 5 MATAI LOUIS N 8/1 Jones, Tyler S - 7 586.84

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #23
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Century Mile

                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 12
                  8 8 VIRTUAL HORIZON 3/1 Campbell, J Brandon - 26 471.12
                  7 7 GENERAL CUSTARD 15/1 Kelly, David A - 20 429.02
                  1 1 BLUE STAR MERCURY 2/1 Hennessy, Michael R - 17 426.26
                  3 3 OVER THE HORIZON 5/2 Sobey, Nathan K - 18 422.94
                  5 5 MICKIE MANTLE 8/1 Mcnair, Douglas R - 18 413.47
                  9 9 TIN CAN TIMMY 20/1 Miller, Thomas Michael - 9 386.67
                  4 4 CATFISH JACK 12/1 Kelly, Colin - 18 377.61
                  6 6 THE DICKENS 20/1 Giesbrecht, Philip - 12 375.37
                  2 2 OPULENT DRAGON 30/1 Gillis, Logan - 6 358.58

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #24
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Meadowlands

                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 12
                    1 1 EUPHORIA N 3/1 Kakaley, Matt - 11 609.65
                    7 7 ART SCAPING 12/1 Bongiorno, Joe - 11 595.73
                    5 5 STRAIGHT TALK 6/1 Mccarthy, Todd - 12 594.47
                    3 3 MYSWEETBOYMAX 15/1 Bartlett, Jason - 13 591.91
                    2 2 CONTROL HEAVEN 5/1 Tetrick, Tim - 14 588.49
                    6 6 LYONS PEGASUS 12/1 Gingras, Yannick - 20 569.41
                    8 8 SANTAFE'S COACH 6/1 Lachance, Pat - 11 559.74
                    4 4 SPRINGSTEEN 4/1 Boyd, Braxten - 20 542.03
                    9 9 JK'S ON THE MOVE 15/1 Ginsburg, Vincent - 5 538.96
                    10 10 PASSA-GRILLE BEACH 8/1 Miller, David - 15 536.42

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #25
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 5 - Post: 6:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$11250 - NON-WINNERS $6,000 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 AE: NON-WINNERS 7 EXT. P-M RACES OR $70,000 LIFE
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 8 TO THE HUNT 9/2
                      # 5 ARTFUL WAY 6/1
                      # 2 HOT JOE 4/1
                      TO THE HUNT could be our best wagering option in this contest. Might be there at a fairly reasonable price tag. Definitely one to keep in your exotics. This pick will feel the medication change - with second time Lasix today. Loved this gelding's last race. Ran a solid 86 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. ARTFUL WAY - Worth considering in here if only for the really strong speed rating recorded in the last outing. The panel of smart guys happens to know that when you put Randall and Greene together really good results are not far behind. HOT JOE - When starting from the 2 hole, a well above average win percentage has resulted. This horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 85 average class number. Should play well in here.


                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #26
                        SANTA ANITA RACING DUDES PICKS
                        1 #3 SISKANY 8-5 C Appleby W Buick
                        2 #11 MONDEGO 10-1 C Clement J Rosario
                        3 #3 CODY'S WISH 9-5 W I Mott J Alvarado
                        4 #6 INSPIRAL 5-2 J H Gosden L Dettori
                        5 #1 GOODNIGHT OLIVE 6-5 C C Brown I Ortiz, Jr.
                        6 #10 SONGLINE 5-2 T Hayashi K Tosaki
                        7 #9 CLAIRIERE 4-1 S M Asmussen J Rosario
                        8 #9 MOSTAHDAF 5-2 J H Gosden J Crowley
                        9 #3 WHITE ABARRIO 4-1 R E Dutrow, Jr. I Ortiz, Jr.
                        10 #1 BIG INVASION 15-1 C Clement J Rosario
                        11 #8 ELITE POWER 9-5 W I Mott I Ortiz, Jr.
                        12 #5 ALVINA 8-1 P D'Amato G Franco

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #27
                          Kenneth Strong Santa Anita Picks

                          Santa Anita Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

                          RACE 1
                          1. Salesman
                          3. Time for Trouble
                          3. Kiss Today Goodbye

                          RACE 2
                          1. Silver Knott
                          2. Webslinger
                          3. Seal Team

                          RACE 3
                          1. Cody’s Wish
                          2. Zozos
                          3. National Treasure

                          RACE 4
                          1. Warm Heart
                          2. Inspiral
                          3. In Italian

                          RACE 5
                          1. Kirstenbosch
                          2. Goodnight Olive
                          3. Yuugiri

                          RACE 6
                          1. Songline
                          2. Master of the Seas
                          3. Mawj

                          RACE 7
                          1. Clairiere
                          2. Idiomatic
                          3. Le Da Vida

                          RACE 8
                          1. Mostahdaf
                          2. Auguste Rodin
                          3. King of Steel

                          RACE 9
                          1. Ushba Tesoro
                          2. White Abarrio
                          3. Arabian Knight

                          RACE 10
                          1. Nobals
                          2. Motorious
                          3. Live in The Dream

                          RACE 11
                          1. The Chosen Vron
                          2. Elite Power
                          3. Dr. Schivel

                          RACE 12
                          1. Irish Patsy
                          2. Madha
                          3. Gem Mine

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #28
                            GUARANTEED TIPSHEET SANTA ANITA PICKS

                            1 8-5 3 Siskany PENDING
                            2 6-1 7 Seal Team PENDING
                            3 9-5 3 Codys Wish PENDING
                            4 8-1 9 Didia PENDING
                            5 6-5 1 Goodnight Olive PENDING
                            6 6-1 11 Kelina PENDING
                            7 4-1 5 Adare Manor PENDING
                            8 5-1 8 Up to the Mark PENDING
                            9 4-1 8 Ushba Tesoro PENDING
                            10 5-1 3 Caravel PENDING
                            11 5-1 6 The Chosen Vron PENDING
                            12 7-2 7 Gem Mine PENDING

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #29
                              Horsebettingnews Santa Anita Picks

                              R3: 9-4-1-2
                              R4: 5-1-2-3
                              R5: 3-6-2-5
                              R6: 2-4-6-11
                              R7: 6-8-9-5
                              R8: 1-4-9-11
                              R9: 3-6-8
                              R10: 11-13-8-10
                              R11: 2-8-7-4

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #30
                                RIBBIT RACING
                                Santa Anita Park
                                Saturday, November 4, 2023
                                PG PP Horse WP Jockey WP Trainer Pace ML
                                1 Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance Stakes; 1 5/8 Miles; 6 runners; purse $250000
                                3 3 Siskany Buick Appleby E 8/5
                                1 1 Time For Trouble Castellano Hiles M 4
                                5 5 Salesman Prat Mandella R 5/2
                                2 Twilight Derby; 1 1/8 Miles; turf; 13 runners; purse $250000
                                6 6 Webslinger Castellano Casse R 3
                                3 3 Reincarnate Saez Baffert F 8
                                7 7 Seal Team Rispoli Mandella M 6
                                3 Big Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile; 1 Mile; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $1000000
                                7 7 Algiers Doyle Crisford E 6
                                3 3 Cody's Wish Alvarado Mott R 9/5
                                5 5 Charge It Velazquez Pletcher E 5
                                4 Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf; 1 1/4 Miles; turf; fillies and mares; 12 runners; purse $2000000
                                6 6 Inspiral Dettori Gosden - 5/2
                                11 11 Lumiere Rock McMonagle O'brien - 12
                                2 2 Warm Heart Moore O'brien - 3
                                5 Pnc Bank Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint; 7 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $1000000
                                1 1 Goodnight Olive Ortiz Brown M 6/5
                                7 7 Society Gaffalione Asmussen F 5/2
                                4 4 Matareya Prat Cox M 6
                                6 Fanduel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By Pdjf; 1 Mile; turf; fillies and mares; 14 runners; purse $2000000
                                10 10 Songline Tosaki Hayashi - 5/2
                                11 11 Kelina Guyon Laffon-parias - 6
                                6 6 Mawj Murphy Bin F 4
                                7 Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff; 1 1/8 Miles; fillies and mares; 11 runners; purse $2000000
                                4 4 Idiomatic Geroux Cox E 5/2
                                6 6 Search Results Ortiz Brown E 5
                                8 8 Randomized Ortiz Brown E 6
                                8 Longines Breeders' Cup Turf; 1 1/2 Miles; turf; fillies and mares; 13 runners; purse $4000000
                                2 2 Onesto Guyon Chappet - 8
                                11 11 King Of Steel Dettori Varian - 4
                                9 9 Mostahdaf Crowley Gosden - 5/2
                                9 Longines Breeders' Cup Classic; 1 1/4 Miles; fillies and mares; 13 runners; purse $6000000
                                8 8 Ushba Tesoro Kawada Takagi - 4
                                3 3 White Abarrio Ortiz Dutrow M 4
                                12 12 Arabian Knight Prat Baffert F 3
                                10 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint; 5 Furlongs; turf; fillies and mares; 16 runners; purse $1000000
                                8 8 Aesop's Fables Moore O'brien - 12
                                2 2 Bradsell Morris Watson - 5
                                5 5 Live In The Dream Kirrane West F 9/2
                                11 Qatar Racing Breeders' Cup Sprint; 6 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $2000000
                                6 6 The Chosen Vron Berrios Kruljac E 5
                                2 2 Dr. Schivel Hernandez Glatt E 5
                                7 7 Speed Boat Beach Smith Baffert F 3
                                12 Allowance; 6 1/2 Furlongs; turf; fillies and mares; 15 runners; purse $100000
                                10 10 Madiha Espinoza Dollase M 8
                                7 7 Gem Mine Dettori Papaprodromou M 7/2
                                5 5 Alvina Franco D'amato M 8

                                Comment

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