Wednesday 11/29/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Colorado State-3

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* NBA - Rockets/Nuggets Free Pick

PLAY ON: Rockets/Nuggets UNDER 217

I'm on the UNDER 217 in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Nuggets hosting the Rockets. I'm expecting a snail's pace in this game. Houston has transformed into a completely different team under Udoka. The Rockets are 4th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and 28th in pace. They don't figure to have anything left in the tank after last night's game at Dallas and how difficult it is to play on the road in Denver on the second of a back-to-back. Nuggets didn't have Jokic or Gordon in their last game and both are questionable. Murray is also banged up. All 3 are listed as questionable. With 3 big road games at Phoenix, Sacramento and Los Angeles (Clippers) on deck, I would be shocked if they play much in this game, if at all. All this should lead to a very low scoring game. Give me the UNDER 217!

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Duke-5 -114

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Duke-5.5

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Northern Colorado+4.5 -108

[ConleyPicks]

ASA

#728 ASA PLAY ON UC Santa Barbara -13 over Northern Arizona, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - UCSB is an unassuming 3-2 on the season but they are better than that. Their 2 losses vs UTEP & Portland State came with starting PG Mitchell on the bench with an injury. Mitchell was the Big West Player of the Year last season and is considered a potential 1st round NBA draft pick. Since Mitchell returned to the lineup, the Gauchos are 3-0 including a win on Monday @ Fresno State as an underdog. The Big West reigning champs (27-8 record last year) have one of the top backcourts on the West Coast with Mitchell, Pierre-Louis, and Anderson, all averaging double digits and combining to put up almost 50 PPG. They are a high scoring team averaging 82 PPG on the season and ranking 11th nationally in eFG%. UCSB ranks in the top 30 in both 2 point % and 3 point % making them really tough to guard. They also make 77% of their FT’s. Northern Arizona will have a tough time keeping up in this game. The Lumberjacks struggle to score (62 PPG), they are poor shooting team making only 41% of their shots (288th), and they are terrible at the FT line making only 55% as a team. NAU can’t score from deep hitting just 25% of their 3’s on the season (344th). They have only 2 wins vs Seattle & VMI and all 4 of their losses have come by at least 9 points vs Hawaii, IPFW, Grand Canyon, and UConn. NAU is small team that struggles on the boards facing a solid rebounding UCSB team. We don’t see how Northern Arizona can keep up here so we’ll lay the points with Santa Barbara at home.

[ConleyPicks]

ProSportsPicks

PSP's Data Driven NBA Free Pick: Kings+1.5 -105

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the home team. The Kings are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.