Saturday 12/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cumberland Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 1 - Post: 10:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 64 - Purse:$4000 - NW $750

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 7 HERESLOOKNATYOU N 9/2
# 1 SUPREME MACH N 2/1
# 4 CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR 6/1

Hey, listen up! HERESLOOKNATYOU N is the educated wager if you like to win. The 72 average class figure may give this mare a distinct advantage in the grouping. SUPREME MACH N - His 67 avg has this gelding among the most compelling TrackMaster SRs today. The 68 average class figure may give this gelding a distinct edge in the field of starters. CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR - This harness racer may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise.

---

[ConleyPicks]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 23, 2023
Dec. 22, 2023

Race 6 at Turfway Park | Saturday December 23 | Post Time 8:25 PM Eastern

Gowell Stakes | Purse $125,000 | Six Furlongs | Fillies, Two Years Old


Analysis and top win contenders:

Trial (9) was extremely impressive in her debut on November 18, showing not only a lot of ability but the mental attitude of a horse with experience, although she had none before that race. Breaking eighth of 10 at the same six furlong distance of this race, Trial was about nine lengths behind after a quarter mile had been run when she began to lengthen her stride. Still fifth and six lengths behind the leader with a quarter mile to run, she began to pick up tempo and put in a very strong rally to win by almost two lengths at the end. She gets the same post position for this race and that will allow her to stay out of traffic trouble while at least five, and up to seven, of the other horses all try for the lead in the opening quarter mile, with at least a couple battling through the lead for the opening half-mile while those in a stalking position are forced to go too fast by pressing the pace. Since the race, Trial has put in two workouts on the all-weather surface at Turfway for a solid trainer in Tom Drury (18% wins on the year), the most recent the 11th fastest of 136 on the day for a half-mile, which is very strong for a two year old. As such, Trial is sending all the right signals to improve and win again.

Candi Girl has run four times, two on turf, one on dirt, and most importantly one on all-weather. That effort on all-weather came at Turfway Park just 15 day ago and was good enough for high percentage trainer Brad Cox to decide to wheel her back quickly in this stakes race. That effort on December 8 also came following nearly three months off so there’s room to improve as well second off the layoff. Jockey Concepcion had decided to make Turfway his home for the meet and has been quite impressive in winning 11 of 56 races (20%) so far, including three of five for Cox, one of those aboard this filly. She closed from fourth of 10 to finish second in her debut in July so even though she won after racing close up in second in the early stages two weeks ago, she may not get caught up in the likely hot and contested early pace scenario, making her a strong contender to win in this field.

Julias Dream (3) ships in from California for excellent trainer Mike McCarthy, off a win at five furlongs on turf. She won at the same distance on grass in her debut in August, with her only poor race on conventional dirt. Good efforts on turf often translate very well to similarly good efforts on all-weather, and in that last win on November 10, Julias Dream showed some mental fortitude in being passed after leading past the half-mile mark, staying second for another quarter mile, then asserting herself in the final strides. Red hot jockey Machado (24% wins at the meet to date) takes the mount and like Candi Girl, Julias Dream fits as a contender here if she doesn’t get involved in the likely hot and contested early pace.

With a slightly lesser chance to win than the three above, Pipit (8) can be considered a contender, at the least for any exacta and trifecta tickets we play in this race. She wanted no part of a two-turn race last month when seventh of eight in the Grade 3 Grey Stakes at Woodbine but her previous three starts, all sprints, were excellent efforts, particularly her only win to date in July. In that race Pipit sat last of four and about five lengths off a moderate early pace before moving up nicely on the turn to get the lead into the stretch before drawing off by four lengths. That effort came in a non-graded stakes just like this one, making her the ONLY stakes winner in the field and the cut back to one turn certainly helps her chances to run well.

The five horses I think will contest the early pace and get tired after battling for the lead are Baraye (1), who has to go from the rail as fast as possible so as not to let any horses get in front of her, Logistics (2), who also draws inside and has to be sent to the lead, Leslie’s Loot (6), Secret Glenda (10) and Pinotslilgirl (11).

Bets:

Win: I think if this race were run as-is 100 times, the three main contenders – Trial (9), Candi Girl (7) and Julia’s Dream (3) – would win around 75 of those hundred races.

Therefore each has a 25% chance to win and that equals 3 to 1 fair odds for win bets on any of the three. I would say if two of the three are 4 to 1 or more, then betting on both is a good idea.

Exactas:

Box Trial (9), Candi Girl (7) and Julia’s Dream (3)

Box Trial (9), Candi Girl (7) and Julia’s Dream (3), Pipit (8)

[ConleyPicks]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - December 23

Dec. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:49 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 BEAST BUNNY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	Beast Bunny	R Feliciano
PLACE	7-2	8	Sheza Rajun Cajun	A A Gallardo
SHOW	9-2	3	Lil Annie Rose	M Meneses
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Dance Step	S Marin
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Shezanarcticqueen	J L Castanon
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	5	R Love On the Run	A A Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	11	Cadillac Black	S Spanabel
PLACE	6-1	3	Garys Flying Lion	J C Ferrer
SHOW	5-1	6	General Command	M Iorio
WILD CARD	5-2	9	Sentir Zuliano	S Marin
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Jest Above	K Mendez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	The Golden One	G Maldonado
* EXACTA: 11-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/11 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Gun Right	A A Gallardo
PLACE	5-2	4	Two Minutes Apart	S Camacho
SHOW	15-1	2	Ragman	S Marin
WILD CARD	9-2	8	Spanish Noble	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	9	Mintenon	M Meneses
ALTERNATE 2	2-1	14	Timo	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
RACE #4 $54,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:19 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ADIOS BABY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	1	Adios Baby	J C Ferrer
PLACE	3-1	4	Night Cap	J A Vargas Jr.
SHOW	10-1	5	Mama Maria	S Camacho
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Shes Peachy Keen	L Sosa
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	7	Dreamster	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	3	Mercy Warren	M J Sanchez
* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #5 $23,500 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	10	Nelida	S Camacho
PLACE	7-2	6	Saratoga Gaze	A A Gallardo
SHOW	5-1	3	Cymbal Court	J L Castanon
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Profit Hunter	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Goodbetterbest	J E Morelos
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Shes a Joy	K Krigger
* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/10 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
RACE #6 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:19 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 COPPER BOUND
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Copper Bound	S Camacho
PLACE	6-1	9	Lady Khoz	M Meneses
SHOW	5-1	3	Country Economics	J L Castanon
WILD CARD	12-1	6	Belly Dance	S Marin
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Three Run Bolt	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	8	Cali Cruiser	K Gomez
* EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
RACE #7 $53,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	13	Possiblemente	S Marin
PLACE	8-1	5	Flawless Bourbon	H Villa-Gomez
SHOW	9-2	4	Willow Wood	M J Sanchez
WILD CARD	6-1	10	Initforthelove	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Conversing	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Seven Bridges Road	A A Gallardo
* EXACTA: 13-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/13 BOX, 4/5/10 BOX
RACE #8 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	5	Secret Treasure	H Villa-Gomez
PLACE	5-1	3	Bang a Rang	C Marquez
SHOW	6-1	9	Anger Rising	M J Sanchez
WILD CARD	10-1	1	Admiral Curl	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Valiant West	A Santos
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	4	Over the Surface	A A Gallardo
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
RACE #9 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	10	Princess Britni	J L Castanon
PLACE	5-2	4	Sirius Light	D Centeno
SHOW	8-1	1	We Shall See	R D Allen Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Diamonds Joy	M J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	2	Roulas Revenge	M Fuentes
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Miss Ten K	F Jara
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 23

Dec. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 WISH CAREFULLY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	6	Wish Carefully	J A Torres
PLACE	8-1	8	Brittanys Dream	J A Guerrero
SHOW	20-1	9	Regatta Bay	E Morales
WILD CARD	12-1	1	Razor Crest	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	Kickin Chip	C McMahon
ALTERNATE 2	2-1	3	Autie	J Rosario
* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
RACE #2 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 EL MAGNIFICO
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	El Magnifico	J Rosario
PLACE	7-2	8	Phantom Speed	C J Lanerie
SHOW	5-1	3	San Siro	D Cannon
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Cathys Boy	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Popweiser	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Ethan Energy	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	3	Lovely Princess	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	4-1	7	Creative Cairo	F Geroux
SHOW	6-1	1	Colors of the Wind	R Gutierrez
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Danas Beauty	J A Torres
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Join the Dance	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Yankee Dollar	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	4	Legalize	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	7-5	3	Agoo	D Cannon
SHOW	7-2	6	American Rascal	J Rosario
WILD CARD	10-1	1	Triple Trea	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	The Donegal Clan	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Malibu Rain	J Riquelme
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
RACE #5 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 BOURBONS FAULT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	3	Bourbons Fault	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	7-2	2	Justifreak	J Loveberry
SHOW	6-1	9	Funnyflame	J A Guerrero
WILD CARD	12-1	8	Ice Wolf	J Graham
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Mosaico Man	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	King Anthony	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX
RACE #6 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	9	Cabernaydo	F Geroux
PLACE	4-1	12	Le Gris	C J Lanerie
SHOW	9-2	5	Ocean Victory	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Double Neat	B Curtis
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Greers Ferry	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	Bayou Magic	E Morales
* EXACTA: 9-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/9/12 BOX, 1/5/12 BOX
RACE #7 $100,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	6	Brunch Punch	J Graham
PLACE	2-1	3	Halinas Forte	M Garcia
SHOW	4-1	5	Twirl Around	E Morales
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Deboisblanc	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Mixer	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Leslies Loot	J A Torres
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	10	Evan Sing	C J Lanerie
PLACE	8-1	11	High Limit Room	R Gutierrez
SHOW	3-1	6	Private Creed	J Rosario
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Minnesota Ready	B Curtis
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	5	Went West	D C Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Just Might	J A Torres
* EXACTA: 10-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/10/11 BOX, 6/8/11 BOX
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Legadema	M Garcia
PLACE	5-2	6	West Omaha	J Rosario
SHOW	8-1	2	Band of Gold	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	3	Sistina Chapel	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Fibber	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	1	Alpine Princess	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #10 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	12	Two Emmys	J Graham
PLACE	6-1	9	Rising Empire	J Loveberry
SHOW	8-1	13	Law Professor	F Geroux
WILD CARD	6-1	11	Harlan Estate	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	10	Beatbox	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Fair Dinkum	B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 12-9 BOX, 9-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/12/13 BOX, 9/11/13 BOX
RACE #11 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	8	Brigadier General	J Rosario
PLACE	5-1	6	Five Star General	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	5-1	4	Stage Raider	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Happy American	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Confidence Game	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	7	Pioneer of Medina	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #12 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	6	Nash	F Geroux
PLACE	7-2	8	Track Phantom	C A Torres
SHOW	6-1	7	Snead	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Catching Freedom	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	1	Next Level	D Cohen
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Risk It	J Rosario
* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 23

Dec. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	10	Baytown Kitty Cat	J C Bealmear
PLACE	9-2	12	Scoot Along	J D Ramos
SHOW	5-1	2	Anoria	Y L Correa
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Canopy	J McKee
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Vino Mizel	O Villarreal
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	11	My Girl Ginger	A Lezcano
* EXACTA: 10-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/5/12 BOX
RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 ONEPARTICULRHARBOR
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Oneparticulrharbor	F De La Cruz
PLACE	7-2	6	San Marco City	E L Martinez
SHOW	4-1	3	Warriors Place	A Concepcion
WILD CARD	4-1	8	Amazing Justice	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Good Soul	I Ayala
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	King of Truth	S Hess
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Shear	A Concepcion
PLACE	9-2	9	Katie Got Lucky	J C Bealmear
SHOW	5-1	8	Megans Noel	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	20-1	1	In a Peach	R Aragon
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	6	Jacks Summer	F Peterson
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	3	Ana	G A Martinez
* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
RACE #4 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	7	Conure	A Achard
PLACE	8-1	3	Courting War	A Cedillo
SHOW	20-1	8	Blossom Diva	Y L Correa
WILD CARD	15-1	9	Amatterofprinciple	T Canuto
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	13	Maggie E	A Jimenez
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	1	Roundbball	L Machado
* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX
RACE #5 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/4 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Quadra Island	A Concepcion
PLACE	6-1	5	Sugoi	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	5-1	10	Avenue	L Machado
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Underdressed	O Mojica
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	6	Arturo Toscanini	D Carroll
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	11	Wow Whata Summer	J Rocco Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/10 BOX, 5/9/10 BOX
RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Candi Girl	A Concepcion
PLACE	5-1	9	Trial	J D Ramos
SHOW	7-2	1	Baraye	G Corrales
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Julias Dream	L Machado
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Logistics	A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	8	Pipit	T Conner
* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
RACE #7 $80,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 FLASHY GEM
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	6	Flashy Gem	A Concepcion
PLACE	5-2	7	Ravella	G Corrales
SHOW	10-1	1	Baby No Worries	W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	9-2	5	Static Fire	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Jungle Juice	T Conner
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	10	Polka Polenta	G Terraza
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 10:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 TASTERFOR THE KING
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	1	Tasterfor the King	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	6-1	11	Now That Ican Rock	C Orm
SHOW	10-1	6	Lord Falcon	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	3-1	2	Suncroft	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Zeca Diabo	A Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Zed	F Peterson
* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/11 BOX, 2/6/11 BOX
RACE #9 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 10:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Southampton Dock	T Conner
PLACE	5-1	13	Keep It Sexy	T Conner
SHOW	8-1	9	Bolts Babe	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Big Dig	G Lagunes
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Flurr	A Burgos
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	12	Noelani	G Corrales
* EXACTA: 8-13 BOX, 13-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/13 BOX, 2/9/13 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

Fair Grounds - Race #8
PICKS NOTES
#6 Private Creed There have been a lot of really deep turf sprint stakes here over the years, but I'm not sure this is one of them, and this guy has recent credentials that make him tough if he can just hold form.
#4 Just Might He's definitely not what he was a couple years back, but he can still show some sharp pace from time to time, and there is still a little punch in him -- he was only a length and change off the Breeders' Cup winner at Horseshoe Indianapolis this summer. Maybe.
#9 Sosua Summer Think those Saratoga tries from the summer would keep him in the frame, but that was really peak form that he hasn't quite duplicated elsewhere. Wouldn't argue much with anyone landing here.

Race Summary Private Creed is an honest finisher who probably find a decent spot not too far off the splits today, but he can be placed almost anywhere out of the gate and owns a Grade I placing at this trip. Think he'll handle these.

Fair Grounds - Race #9
PICKS NOTES
#5 Legadema Wonder if she might be the real deal after a sharp debut run, and she looks to get a pretty positive race flow today while stretching out in a spot that doesn't appear to have a lot of other early burn.
#6 West Omaha She has enough pace to keep up with the top choice early, and they may end up in a cat-and-mouse game on the backstretch that could decide this one. The main worry.
#3 Sistina Chapel Honest finisher got around two turns nicely enough in those last couple tries, and that kind of baseline effort seems good enough to at least make her a late player if the top two hook up.

Race Summary Legadema has to stretch that 5 1/2-furlong sprint pace around two turns, but I think she can control the tempo in here and might still have some upside.

Fair Grounds - Race #12
PICKS NOTES
#4 Neat Little bit of intrigue here while trying the dirt for the first time, as he was sharp in the graduation run and backed it up with an easy score here on the turf last month. He's obviously a talented turf horse with a future, but I don't blame the barn for wanting to find out about him at this time of year on the main track. I'll take a chance.
#2 Catching Freedom It's a two-deep race for me with these two. This guy had a nightmare trip last time out at even money -- it was actually pretty dreamy up to the quarter pole, but he never found a way through and was on and off heels the rest of the way while seemingly full of run. There might still be a lot of upward trajectory here.
#6 Nash He's probably supposed to drill these if the November Churchill score was any indication of what's coming next, but I'm hoping the guy drawn widest will be breathing down his neck the whole way. I'm going to try to beat him, but I'm interested to see what he's made of on the rise.

Race Summary Nash will be the buzz here -- he rolled home to graduate last time out and might control this one throughout. Catching Freedom is a really obvious trip note horse off his last, and Neat tries the main off a sharp turf score for a sire whose runners are typically about 3% better on the dirt than turf. Worth a shot.

[ConleyPicks]

FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS

Turfway Park - Race #3
PICKS NOTES
#6 JACK’S SUMMER (4-1) Holds tactical advantage, can reward loyal backers in second try for $15k.
#3 ANA (7-2) Late runner finished third in all three allowances on the turf in second half of year.
#7 SHEAR (3-1) Steady numbers early in 3-year-old season, idle seven months since maiden win.

Race Summary JACK’S SUMMER, a beaten favorite in 3 of her last 4 starts going a route of ground, can make maximum use of her speed in this spot. She tracked the leaders into the far turn before making her move last out, but finished third on the class drop to this level. Bet to win and place and play a 3-6-7 exacta box.

Turfway Park - Race #4
PICKS NOTES
#3 COURTING WAR (8-1) Three seconds in last five starts at Turfway for higher tag, returns from layoff.
#9 AMATTEROFPRICIPLE (15-1) Close up a long way in route race before closers came calling.
#7 CONURE (4-1) Useful comeback try, should benefit from added ground, barn good with these types.

Race Summary COURTING WAR disappeared on the turf when last seen seven months ago, but his two previous tries on Turfway’s all-weather track make him worth a win and place bet on the cutback to a long sprint. He raced wide throughout when a 47-1 shot passed by him and dueled hard before the second favorite caught him, both at one mile.

Turfway Park - Race #6
PICKS NOTES
#8 PIPIT (4-1) No Lasix, no blinkers, but plenty of upside to notch second stakes win sprinting.
#2 LOGISTICS (6-1) Looks to continue steady improvement, adds value to gimmick wagers.
#1 BARAYE (7-2) Survived long duel to beat the boys at Churchill, working well since then.

Race Summary PIPIT, off slow and wide early from the outside post in his first route attempt, lands in an ideal spot to remain the field’s only stakes winner. She blew past the 4-to-5 favorite in a 5-1/2F stakes win on Woodbine’s all-weather surface and projects an ideal trip in a speed-laden field today. Bet to win and place.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Vanderbilt +17.5 over Memphis

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Mississippi State/Rutgers under 130 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 Sports

Early Saturday's Free Play: North Texas Mean Green - 8 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Easy Money Sports

Free Early Saturday Pro Basketball Selection From Lee
MILWAUKEE -2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye Sports

Early Saturday's Free Pick: Nashville Predators + 115

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from The Last Call

Saturday's Early Free Play: (531) Boston Celtics - 1 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + 10 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood Anthony

Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Rutgers +2.5