5-9-10

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

RW Sports
soccer: win/loss: 19-17-1, net profit: +4.28 units, yield: 11%
other sports: win/loss: 0-3, net profit: -5.00 units, yield: -100%

english premier:
bolton - birmingham, draw, 0.5 units, 3.45 @ Pinnacle
burnley - spurs, spurs -1, 1 unit, 1.91 @ Pinnacle
chelsea - wigan, 1st half over 1.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.80 @ bet365
everton - portsmouth, everton -1.25, 2 units, 1.63 @ Pinnacle
west ham - man city, draw, 0.5 units, 3.75 @ Pinnacle

english championship:
leicester - cardiff, leicester +0/dnb, 1 unit, 1.65 @ SportingBet

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

Sampicks

England - Premier League - 16:00
BURNLEY - TOTTENHAM take TOTTENHAM -0.5,-1
Best odds: 1,62

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

Protipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
09.05.2010 England Premier League Burnley - Tottenham Tottenham
09.05.2010 England Premier League Aston Villa - Blackburn Aston Villa
09.05.2010 England Premier League Hull - Liverpool Liverpool
Kick-off at 16:00 GMT

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

RW Sports
soccer: win/loss: 19-17-1, net profit: +4.28 units, yield: 11%
other sports: win/loss: 0-3, net profit: -5.00 units, yield: -100%

english premier:
bolton - birmingham, draw, 0.5 units, 3.45 @ Pinnacle
burnley - spurs, spurs -1, 1 unit, 1.91 @ Pinnacle
chelsea - wigan, 1st half over 1.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.80 @ bet365
everton - portsmouth, everton -1.25, 2 units, 1.63 @ Pinnacle
west ham - man city, draw, 0.5 units, 3.75 @ Pinnacle

english championship:
leicester - cardiff, leicester +0/dnb, 1 unit, 1.65 @ SportingBet

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

Red Dog Sports

2-0 in NBA. (won with this same play last Spurs game)

SA Spurs -1 (1st Quarter)

The Spurs lost at home Friday night due to an amazing 4th quarter by Goran Dragic. I was able to watch and enjoy it. However, the Spurs did lead 28-19 after the first quarter.

Surely, the Spurs will come out focused. Ginobili scored 27 points and Duncan was only 5-12 from the line (he continues to shoot flat shots from the line). Parker injured his shoulder and may be more focused on Desperate Housewives, which will be on at about the same time.

Steve Nash may help the Suns to jump out to an early lead but I like our chances for the Spurs to jump out early after their play on Friday. The Sun's bench is better but they don't start the game.

Spurs -1 (1Q)

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

Dave Cokin Comp
(923) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
(924) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(923) KANSAS CITY ROYALS"


JIM FEIST COMP
(905) FLORIDA MARLINS
(906) WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Take "Under"
It isn't too often that I look to play an UNDER in a Washington contest, but today is the day. I'm taking the UNDER tonight based on two very good pitchers taking the mound. The Nationals are having a good season, so far no longer the doormats of the NL East. The Nats are 16-14 and in third place in the division. In fact, they are just ahead of fourth place Florida. The Nats won on Saturday against the fish with a 5-4 victory as big dogs. But on Sunday I'm looking at the UNDER. Livan Hernandez has found the fountain of youth this season, his 13th in the league. Hernandez was singed to a minor league contract by the Nationals and now he's their best pitcher at 4-1 with a stingy 0.99 ERA. The Marlins toss an equally impressive Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez is only 1-2 with a 4.06 ERA this season, but he has a lifetime 3-0 and 2.87 ERA in nine starts against the Nationals. I fully expect a very good pitchers duel here on Sunday and therefore I'm siding with the UNDER.


BIG AL COMP
(915) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
(916) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Take "(916) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS"
At 4:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee. It's been largely a case of "feast or famine" this year for the Brewers' offense. Yesterday, Milwaukee blasted the Diamondbacks 17-3, and that was the sixth time this season (including three of their last five) that the Brewers have scored double-digits in runs! Unfortunately, in six of their last nine games, the Brewers have scored three runs or less (including three shutouts). And in a staggering 14 games of their 30 this season, the Brewers have scored three runs or less. That's probably not going to get the job done against Ian Kennedy today, as he's really pitching well (3.65 ERA; 1.13 WHIP), including 2.38 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his last three starts. Chris Narveson will take the mound for Milwaukee, and he's been completely mediocre this season (4.91 ERA). The Brewers have won 12 of 16 at Arizona, including a 5-3 victory last season behind Narveson. Those facts are noted. But Arizona has been piling up runs vs. lefty starters this year (6.7 per game; .289 batting avg.), and we'll take the Diamondbacks this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Big Al McMordie.


Marc Lawrence MLB Free Play! - Sunday
Play On: San Francisco w/Lincecum vs Perez

Note: The Giants conclude a three game visit to New York when Tim Lincecum opposes Oliver Perez and the Mets at Citi Field. Aside from being in commanding KW form, Lincecum has cashed in five of his last six road starts in May. With Perez 2-7 with a 7.07 ERA in his MLB career team starts against San Francisco, look for more of the same here this afternoon.


Golden contender
On Sunday the free play is on the Boston Redsox. Game 930 at 8:05 eastern. The Sox have taken it on the chin the last 2 games vs the Yankees. Tonight they will look to salvage the last game of the series. They have solid lefty J. Lester making the start. He has a 3-1 record vs New york and has pitched to a 0.44 era over his last 3 starts. He faced the Yankees earlier in the season here when he wasn't pitching nearly as well. Tonight he will face AJ. Burnett for the Yankees. Burnett has struggled big time in previous 2 starts here allowing 13 runs on 16 hits and 4 home runs in just 10 innings. Boston is 65-32 at home in games where the total is 9 to 9.5 the past few years. Look for the Sox to avenge last nights 14-3 beat down. On Sunday I have the 2nd round NBA Goy from a 100% System that dates to 1990. I also have a double system play in the other NBA Game and a 5* MLB Diamond cutter MLB Side that wins by an average 3 runs per game. We cashed the Big NL total with Over AZ-Mil on Saturday and will end your week with the cash on Sunday. Jump on and recoup some of those Mothers day expenses. All games go after 3:30 eastern. For the free play take the Boston Redsox tonight. BOL GC


Black Widow

MLB | May 09

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics Tampa Bay Rays -138

Widow's MLB Free Pick Sunday:

1* on Tampa Bay Rays -138

Off a rare loss to the A's Saturday, we fully expect the Rays to bounce back Sunday behind James Shields. Tampa Bay still owns the best record in baseball at 22-8 and the Rays are 13-2 on the road this season. The Rays are 5-1 in Shields' 6 starts this year, as he has posted a 4-0 record with a 3.15 ERA. Shields recently beat Oakland on 4/28, allowing 1 earned run on 6 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings of a 10-3 victory over the A's. He faced Dallas Braden, the same starter he'll take on Sunday. Braden gave up 6 earned runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings, giving his team no chance. Shields is 4-1 with a 3.59 ERA in nine career starts against Oakland. The Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Tampa Bay should be more heavily favored considering this is the same pitching match-up that resulted in a 10-3 victory over the A's less than two weeks ago. Take Tampa Bay on the Money Line

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

Derek Mancini
Free play

10-3 with NBA Playoff Free Plays! Riding the Cavaliers Sunday, as they look to take the 3-1 series lead in Boston. Celtics are overrated, and the Cavaliers helped prove my point in Game 3. They had trouble with a medicore Heat team (don't just look at the boxscore, if you saw the games, you know what I mean), and when Lebron is aggressive, they are totally overmatched in this series.

Pierce simply cannot guard Lebron and play offense. Simple as that. And the Celtics have no one else to step and guard him, so Rivers can try and mix and match his defenses, but its the same result. With Jamison finally picking up his play, and O'neal and Perkins equalizing each other, there's little the Celtics frontcourt can do.

Of course, the Celtics only real edge comes with Rondo, but he can only do so much, especially against an excellent defensive team like Cleveland. Anything less than a perfect game from the Celtics point guard, and they don't stand a chance in hell of winning this game. With Ray Allen doing nothing for long stretches of this series, its almost like Boston's big 3 has aged 100 years since the regular season ended.

Boston has cost their backers all season at home (15-29-1 ATS), and I see no reason for that trend to change today. Cleveland is also 20-8-2 ATS in their L30 meetings with the Celtics (8-3 ATS L11 in Boston). Celtics get exposed once again Sunday. Lay it with the Cavaliers in Game 4.
3? CLEVELAND


Derek Mancini
Free play

Line on this game speaks volumes, as the we've seen the number plummet for a couple reasons. Of course, just looking at the respective starters ERA, and Hernandez is the favorite here. But be careful about overestimating a pitcher with a 5+ ERA the last 2 seasons, just because he's off to a hot start. His career ERA against the Marlins is nothing special (3.60 ERA in 28 starts) and I'm not ready to start flashing the "buy" sign on this Nationals team just yet.

Anibal Sanchez is coming off three straight quality efforts (2.37 ERA), and has been great vs the Nationals throughout his career, going 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 starts. He battled Lincecum in his last start to virtual draw, before his pen blew it. For as good as Hernandez has pitched this season, he's coming off a poor effort against a bad Braves team, where he threw 123 pitches... It's only going to get tougher this afternoon.

No question these two teams are closer than in recent years, but I've seen enough of Hernandez to know to be careful when he pitches against his former team (last start against Florida: surrendered 6 runs on 8 hits over 5 innings on September 5th). With Sanchez finding his rythmn of late, the value here lies with the visitor. Florida (Sanchez) over Washington (Hernandez) Sunday.
2? FLORIDA


Karl Garrett Comp

G-Man with a Saturday comp play winner on the Magic-Hawks staying under the posted total.

For Sunday, going to the ball yard for a play on the Nationals over the Marlins.

Washington fought back on Saturday to take a 5-4 decision over Florida, and now they have the reborn Livan Hernandez on the hill to look to secure the series win.

All Hernandez has done is win his last pair of starts, working 12 innings while allowing just 2 earned runs to score. For the season, Hernandez is now 4-1 with an ERA under 1.

Anibal Sanchez is just 1-2 this season with an ERA over 4.

The Nats are now 16-14 through the first 30 games this year, and better still is the fact they are believing they can win games.

I like the attitude I am seeing in D.C. this year, and I like the Nationals to take this one on Sunday.
4? WASHINGTON


Chuck O'Brien Comp

Sunday’s complimentary selection comes from the National League, and I’ll play the Padres-Astros game UNDER the posted total.

Obviously, the Astros’ offense is beyond pathetic. Houston has scored one run in the first two games of this series (losses of 7-0 and 2-1), meaning this team has now scored a total of 81 runs in 30 games, including 21 runs during a current 1-11 slump. The Astros have now tallied two runs or fewer in 17 of 30 games, including one or no runs 12 times.

Hard to believe the Astros offense is going to come to life tonight against Kevin Correia, who has given up three runs or fewer in four of his last five starts (3.54 ERA), and in two career starts at Minute Maid Park, Correia has allowed just five earned runs in 12 2/3 innings (3.55 ERA).

Meanwhile, the Astros are going with ace Roy Oswalt in this one, and all he’s done is pitch exactly seven innings in four straight starts, and all six of his outings this year have been quality. Oswalt has a 2.48 ERA on the year, but only a 2-4 record to show for it (including 1-4 at home). Why? Because he can’t get any run support. The Astros average 2.8 runs per game behind their ace, including 1.8 runs in five home starts. The final scores of Oswalt’s six starts: 5-2, 2-1, 4-3, 4-3, 4-2, 1-0. That makes the under 5-0-1 when Oswalt toes the rubber.

Finally, the under has hit in the first two games of this series and it is 19-7-2 in the last 28 Padres-Astros battles. The under is also 9-3-1 in San Diego’s last 12 road games and 19-9-2 for low-scoring Houston on the season.
3? PADRES-ASTROS UNDER


Bobby Maxwell
Free play

Scored the FREE winner on Saturday when the Rockies crushed the Dodgers in Los Angeles. That win improves my comp play run to 92-72-3 as I give out another baseball winner tonight on the Red Sox wrapping up a three-game set against the Yankees at Fenway Park.

The Yankees have taken the first two games of this series, but they aren’t going to leave Fenway Park with a three-game sweep. I’m banking on the Sox and lefty Jon Lester to get this one tonight.

Lester has been pitching outstanding of late, going 2-0 in his last three outings with a 0.44 ERA, allowing just one run on 10 hits over 20.2 innings, striking out 23 as the Red Sox have won all three of those outings. In his last two home outings, he’s allowed the one run in wins over the Orioles and Angels.

His last two outings against the Yankees have been rough, but prior to that he delivered six straight strong starts. He opened the season this year by giving up four runs in five innings of a 6-4 loss, but he had a run where he allowed nine runs over six games and the Sox won 4 of the 6.

A.J. Burnett (4-0, 1.99 ERA) goes for the Yankees but he’s been very shaky when he goes opposite Boston. His teams have lost four of his last six outings and even in a win early this season, he allowed four runs on seven hits in five innings of a 6-4 victory. He’s allowed 25 runs in his five previous starts and that included a shutout last August, so it’s really 25 runs in four games.

The Red Sox are very good behind Lester, going 60-29 in his last 89 starts, 12-5 when he pitches on Sunday, 31-9 when he gets four days of rest, 28-6 when he pitches at home and 17-4 when he faces a winning team.

I’m playing Boston as Lester keeps rolling tonight against the rivals. Play the Red Sox.
4? BOSTON


Brett Atkins Free play

Just another free winner on Saturday as the Rockies crushed the Dodgers in Los Angeles, 8-0. Tonight's come play is in the Eastern Conference semifinal series as I play the Cavaliers on the road in Boston in this Game 4.

What a show the Cavaliers put on Friday night, outscoring the Celtics 36-17 in the opening quarter and never looking back as they wiped out Boston at home, 124-95 as a one-point underdog.

Cleveland’s LeBron James finished with 38 points, eight rebounds and seven assists and outscored the Celtics by himself in the opening quarter. They shot 59.5 percent from the floor and looked very comfortable.

Cleveland has dominated Boston lately, going 20-8-2 ATS in the last 30 clashes and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 visits to the Garden. They are also 8-2 ATS in the last 10 playoff games against the Celtics.

Boston has struggled all season at home, currently 12-27-1 ATS in front of the home fans. Today won’t be any better as Cleveland gets this one and takes a commanding lead in the series.

3? CLEVELAND (on a 1? to 5?)


TRACE ADAMS

SUNDAY'S FREE PLAY - NY Yankees

[kar261]

Re: 5-9-10

Steven Budin-CEO
SUNDAY'S PICK
The Costa Rica Connection has a 25 Dime play on San Antonio in the 1st Half of tonigho's game against Phoenix. As this play is releasead at 9:15 AM Eastern, the Spurs are -2 points in the 1st Half of this conteot both in Las Vegas and offshore.

[spook]

Re: 5-9-10

SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, MAY 9

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Cleveland (6-2, 4-4 ATS) at Boston (5-3 SU and ATS)

The Cavaliers, coming off a blowout Game 3 victory, look to take full control of this best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinal series when they face the fourth-seeded Celtics at TD Garden in Game 4. LeBron James racked up 21 of his 38 points in the first quarter Friday night, helping top-seeded Cleveland plow to a 124-95 rout as a one-point road underdog and regain home-court advantage as fast as the Cavs lost it in Game 2. James, who also had eight assists, hit 14 of 22 from the field, and Mike Brown’s troops shot a scorching 59.5 percent (44 of 74). Antawn Jamison added a double-double of 20 points and 12 rebounds. In suffering its worst home playoff loss in franchise history, Boston shot 42.7 percent (35 of 82), going just 4-for-17 from 3-point range (23.5 percent), and no Celtic reached 20 points, with Kevin Garnett scoring 19 and Rajon Rondo 18. The Celts hit a decent 21 of 29 from the free-throw line (72.4 percent), but they sent the Cavs to the charity stripe a whopping 34 times, and Cleveland knocked down 31 (91.2 percent). In addition, Doc Rivers’ squad got drilled on the boards, 45-30. Cleveland is 28-16 SU (24-19-1 ATS) on the road this year (2-1 SU and ATS in the playoffs), averaging 102 ppg on 47.7 percent shooting while allowing 97.0 ppg (44.5 percent). Boston is 27-18 SU but just 15-29-1 ATS in Beantown, where it averages 99.9 ppg (48.7 percent shooting) and gives up 96.4 (45.9 percent). Cleveland has owned this rivalry lately at the betting window, going 20-8-2 ATS in the last 30 meetings (4-3 SU and ATS this season), including 8-3 ATS in the last 11 contests at the Garden. The Cavs, who prior to Friday hadn’t won a playoff game in Boston since 1992, are on an 8-2 ATS run in postseason games against the Celtics (7-1 ATS last eight), having covered in six of seven during a second-round meeting two seasons ago. Also, the SU winner has cashed in 10 straight series clashes in this rivalry, including all seven this season. The Cavaliers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 second-round playoff games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 starts against Atlantic Division foes, but they remain on pointspread slides of 6-12 overall, 0-4 after a day off, 0-4 after a spread-cover and 2-8 following a SU win. The Celtics are on pointspread purges of 12-27-1 at the Garden, 5-15 in second-round playoff contests, 1-6-1 on Sunday and 7-18-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, though they are also on a 6-1 ATS roll following either a SU or an ATS setback. The under is 18-7 in Cleveland’s last 25 conference semifinal contests, but the Cavs are otherwise on “over” surges of 5-2 overall, 13-3 against Atlantic Division foe, and 6-1 on the highway. Likewise, Boston is on “over” sprees of 12-5 overall, 7-2 at the Garden, 8-2 against the Central Division and 35-16 following a SU loss.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total hurdled the 193½-point posted price of in Game 3, giving the over a 6-1 mark in this season’s seven meetings. Furthermore, the over is 6-0 in the last six Cavs-Celts contests at TD Garden (4-0 last four).

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


WESTERN CONFERENCE

Phoenix (7-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)

The streaking Suns look to finally slay their playoff nemesis when they go for the four-game sweep of the reeling Spurs when this best-of-7 series resumes at the AT&T Center. Phoenix overcame an 18-point first-half deficit, then got 23 points fourth-quarter points from little-known Goran Dragic in a 110-96 rout Friday night as a seven-point road pup. Dragic went 5-for-5 from beyond the arc and finished with 26 points, while Jason Richardson added 21, and Steve Nash had 16 points, eight rebounds and six assists. The Suns shot 53.2 percent (42 of 79), including a torrid 57.7 percent from long range (15 of 26). Manu Ginobili had 27 points to lead San Antonio, but none of his teammates even approached 20, with Tim Duncan coming closest at 15 points, to go with 13 rebounds. The Spurs shot a respectable 45 percent (36 of 80), including 8 of 16 from three-point range, and outrebounded Phoenix 43-37 (11-6 on the offensive end). But San Antonio’s struggles from the free-throw line continued as it hit just 57.1 percent of its foul shots (16 of 28) after going 15-for-22 (68.2 percent) in Game 2. Phoenix is 25-20 SU (26-19 ATS) on the highway this season (3-1 SU and ATS in the postseason), averaging 107.2 ppg on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 ppg (45.6 percent). With Friday’s defeat, San Antonio fell to 32-13 SU (26-17-2 ATS) at the AT&T Center this year (3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS in the playoffs), putting up 104.5 ppg (49.0 percent shooting) and yielding 96.8 ppg (46 percent shooting).
Phoenix has cashed in all six meetings this season in this rivalry (5-1 SU), though Friday’s affair was only the second time the teams played in San Antonio. Phoenix is 6-2-1 ATS on its last nine trips to the Alamo, the favorite and the home team are both 5-2 ATS in the last seven clashes, and the SU winner is 16-1-1 ATS in the last 18 Spurs-Suns matchups. These foes have met four times in the postseason since 2003, with San Antonio winning all four series. However, no team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series in 90 opportunities. The Suns are on a boatload of spread-covering sprees, including 32-11-1 overall, 15-6 on the road (4-1 last five), 10-3 as a road pup, 19-5 against the Southwest Division, 18-6-1 after a spread-cover and 35-15-1 after a day off. The Spurs are on ATS skids of 1-4-1 overall, 2-7-1 on Sunday and 1-3-1 after a day off, but they still carry positive pointspread streaks of 21-12-1 overall, 10-3-1 at home, 12-4-1 as a favorite and 21-7-3 as a playoff chalk. In this rivalry, the total has gone high in six of the last eight meetings overall, including five of six this season, though Friday’s game fell just a hair short of the 206½-point price. In addition, Phoenix is on “over” stretches of 11-5 against the Southwest Division (5-2 last seven) and 12-5 in second-round playoff games, but the Suns are also on “under” rolls of 5-2 overall, 7-0-1 on the road and 4-1 after a day off. Additionally, San Antonio is on “under” streaks of 7-2-1 overall, 4-0 at home, 6-1 after a day off, 8-3 as a playoff favorite and 8-2-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (17-12) at N.Y. Mets (17-13)

The Mets shoot for a three-game sweep of the Giants and their 10th straight home win, but they’ll have to face two-time N.L. Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum (4-0, 1.70 ERA), while New York counters with lefty Oliver Perez (0-2, 4.05) at Citi Field. One day after catcher Rod Barajas hit a walk-off, two-run home run in the bottom of the ninth inning to give the Mets a 6-4 victory Friday, backup catcher Henry Blanco smacked a walk-off solo shot in the 11th inning Saturday to secure a 5-4 win. New York has won nine straight home games for the first time since 2006, and it is on further positive runs of 13-5 overall, 9-3 against right-handed starters and 6-0 versus the N.L. West. San Francisco arrived in the Big Apple after scoring a three-game sweep in Florida to start the week, and despite suffering heartbreaking losses in the first two games of this series, the Giants are still 9-5 in their last 14 games. However, they’ve lost five of their last six in the third game of a series. The Mets have now won 12 of 15 against San Francisco, including eight of the last 10 battles in Queens. Lincecum is coming off back-to-back no-decisions in extra-inning games. On April 28 against the Phillies, he allowed two runs in 8 1/3 innings and took a 4-1 lead into the ninth, but the bullpen couldn’t get the final two outs and San Francisco lost 7-6 in 11 innings. Then on Tuesday in Florida, the right-hander surrendered three runs on five hits in seven innings, with the Giants prevailing 9-6 in 12 innings. Over his last two starts, Lincecum has logged 24 strikeouts while walking just two in 15 1/3 innings. Also, going back to the final weekend of the 2009 season, San Francisco is 6-1 in his last seven starts. Lincecum has made three road starts this year (all Giants wins), going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA (three runs, 13 hits, three walks and 27 strikeouts in 20 innings). However, he’s struggled in three career starts against the Mets, going 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA, with San Francisco losing all three games. Perez is coming off a strong performance at Cincinnati, yielding just two runs on six hits and four walks in six innings, but the Mets fell 3-2 in 11 innings. The southpaw has held his last four opponents to eight earned runs in 21 innings (3.43 ERA), yet the Mets have just one victory during this stretch. In fact, New York is 1-5 in his last six outings overall and 0-6 in his last six on Sunday, but the Mets have won seven of Perez’s last eight starts against N.L. West opponents. At home this year, Perez is 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA in three starts, and since Citi Field opened at the start of last season, he’s 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 home contests. Additionally, Perez is winless in nine career starts against San Francisco, going 0-5 with a 7.07 ERA. The Giants are 7-2 in those nine games. The Giants have followed up a 13-2 “under” run by topping the total in their last three games, but they still carry low-scoring trends of 5-2 against left-handed starters, 27-10-2 on the road against lefties, 30-12-2 in the third game of a series and 5-1 on Sunday. However, with Lincecum on the bump, the over is on stretches of 5-1-1 overall, 3-0-1 on the road and 4-0 in the third game of a series. New York is on “over” runs of 5-1-1 overall, 7-2 against the N.L. West and 5-1 in the third game of a series, and with Perez pitching the over is on streaks of 20-7-2 overall, 12-3-1 at home, 6-0-1 against the N.L. West and 9-2 in the third game of a series. Finally, eight of the last nine meetings between the Giants and Mets have gone over the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (21-8) at Boston (15-16)

Jon Lester (2-2, 3.93 ERA) looks to continue his hot pitching and help the Red Sox avoid a three-game sweep when he matches up against unbeaten Yankees right-hander A.J. Burnett (4-0, 1.99) in a nationally televised contest at Fenway Park.
Mark Teixeira blasted three home runs and New York continued its dominance of the Red Sox with a 14-3 rout on Saturday. Since dropping the first eight meetings with the Red Sox last year, the Yankees are on a 13-2 roll against their archrivals, winning the last four in a row this season (all at Fenway). Also, the defending champs are 6-2 in their last eight contests in Beantown. New York is now riding a six-game winning streak, and it has won nine of its 10, with all nine wins being by multiple runs. In fact, all 21 of the Yankees’ victories this year – and 27 of their 29 contests overall – have been decided by at least two runs. Joe Girardi’s team is on further runs of 40-15 overall, 44-14 against divisional foes, 45-20 against left-handed starters and 50-23 on Sunday. Boston is still 11-7 in its last 18 games, going 8-4 at Fenway during this stretch. On the downside, Terry Francona’s troops are in ruts of 6-18 against the A.L. East (0-5 last five) and 3-19 versus opponents with a winning percentage higher than .600. Burnett is coming off back-to-back gems against the Orioles, allowing one unearned run on eight hits and three walks with 12 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings, rolling to wins of 4-0 (road) and 4-1 (home). The Arkansas native has yielded just six runs in his last five outings covering 35 2/3 innings (1.51 ERA). The Yankees are 5-1 in Burnett’s six starts this season, 12-2 in his last 14 against the A.L. East and 5-0 in his last five on Sunday. Four of his six starts this season have come on the road, and he’s 2-0 with a 3.08 ERA. His first road outing this year came on April 6 in Boston, and Burnett gave up four runs (three earned) in five innings, getting a no-decision in the Yankees’ 6-4 win. For his career, Burnett is 5-2 with a 4.30 ERA in 13 starts against the Red Sox, but since signing with New York last year, he’s allowed 26 runs (23 earned) in five starts spanning 25 1/3 innings (8.17 ERA). All 26 runs have been surrendered in four games (17 2/3 innings) at Fenway Park (11.72 ERA). Lester struggled in his first three starts, giving up 15 runs in 16 innings in losses to the Yankees (6-4), Twins (5-2) and Rays (7-1). However, in his last three trips to the hill, the left-hander is 2-0 with a 0.44 ERA, allowing just one run in 20 2/3 innings with 23 strikeouts against just eight walks. However, Lester is still just 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four home starts, with the Red Sox splitting those contests. With Lester starting, Boston is on positive runs of 60-29 overall, 28-6 at home, 21-7 in the third game of a series and 12-5 on Sunday. However, the Sox have lost three straight games to the Yankees behind Lester, who is 3-1 with a 4.19 ERA in nine career starts against the Bronx Bombers. New York is on “over” runs of 16-5-2 on the road, 10-4-1 versus the A.L. East, 5-1 on Sunday, 6-2 with Burnett starting, 6-1 with Burnett working on the road and 6-2-1 when he faces the A.L. East. Meanwhile, Boston has topped the total in six of eight at home and five of seven on Sunday, but behind Lester, the under is on runs of 5-0 overall, 6-1 at home and 5-0 on Sunday.
Finally, the over has cashed in four of five meetings between these teams this year (all in Boston), and eight of the last nine clashes at Fenway have climbed over the total. Going back further, the over is 40-19-1 in the last 60 Yanks-Sox battles at Fenway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER

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Re: 5-9-10

Anthony Redd:

25 dime play on the Celtics (1st Half)

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Re: 5-9-10

Bobby Maxwell:

500 units on the Cavs

100 units on the Suns

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Re: 5-9-10

Chris Jordan:

400 units on the Suns

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Re: 5-9-10

Chuck O'Brien:

30 dime on the Red Sox (Lester has to pitch)

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Re: 5-9-10

Dereck Mancini:

20 dime on the Dodgers

5 dime on the Suns

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Re: 5-9-10

Karl Garrett:

20 dime on the Celtics

10 dime on the Red Sox (both pichers must start)