7-1-10

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Re: 7-1-10

Arthur Ralph Sports

472 - 346 run 58 %
Free play Thurs Oakland A's -140

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Re: 7-1-10

Dave Cokin Comp
(969) TAMPA BAY RAYS
(970) MINNESOTA TWINS
Take "(969) TAMPA BAY RAYS"

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Re: 7-1-10

TRENDS

TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Toronto

SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing NY Yankees
Seattle is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing Seattle

CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 24 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets

OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing Oakland
Baltimore is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Oakland

PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
St. Louis is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Francisco

HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Houston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Diego is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 14 games when playing at home against Houston

TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Texas

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Re: 7-1-10

Revelation sports

Toronto Blue Jays ML
Houston Astros ML

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Re: 7-1-10

DUNKEL MLB

San Francisco at Colorado

The Giants look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is 0-5 in Aaron Cook's last 5 starts during Game 1 of a series. San Francisco is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 1
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 15.286; Cubs (Silva) 14.353
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120); N/A

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.118; Pittsburgh (McCutchen) 14.137
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.280; Washington (Hernandez) 14.808
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Under

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.536; St. Louis (Hawksworth) 14.567
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+115); Under

Game 959-960: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.150; Colorado (Cook) 15.029
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under

Game 961-962: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 15.451; San Diego (Garland) 16.039
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-240); Under

Game 963-964: Toronto at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.035; Cleveland (Masterson) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Under

Game 965-966: Seattle at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.452; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.669
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-320); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-320); Over

Game 967-968: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 14.403; Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.490
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Under

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.311; Minnesota (Pavano) 16.058
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 971-972: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 16.887; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.261
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Over

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Re: 7-1-10

The Sharp Side

Oakland A's (-136)

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Re: 7-1-10

Matt Fargo
Free play

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays
Reason: Tampa Bay was able to salvage a split with the Red Sox with a win last night and it looks to carry that into Minnesota for the start of a big four-game series. The Rays have hit a rough patch and it all came to the forefront with the dugout fracas between B.J. Upton and Evan Longoria but like was said then, that can actually bring a team closer together than send it further apart. Tampa Bay owns a 25-13 record on the road which is still the best in baseball. Minnesota won two of the final three games against the Tigers to reclaim the divisional lead after Detroit moved into first place briefly for just a day. Minnesota continues to be strong at home with a 25-14 record but after a 20-9 start, the Twins are just 5-5 at home in their last 10 games. Jeff Neimann was on the wrong end of Edwin Jackson’s no-hitter last Friday so he was hit with just his second loss of the season despite another great outing. He has been the best pitcher for the Rays on a team filled with great pitchers so it shows the season he is having. He has a 2.72 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through 15 starts, 12 of which have been quality outings and he has been spectacular on the road. He is 4-0 with a 3.02 ERA in seven road starts this season with Tampa Bay going a perfect 7-0 in those games. Minnesota goes with Carl Pavano and he is having a solid season as well but no quite the same as his counterpart. He has a 3.33 ERA though 15 starts, 11 of which have been quality performances so he is right there as well. The problem is that he has tossed four straight quality outings and the last time he did that, he imploded in his fifth straight attempt as he allowed six runs on 10 hits in only four innings against Toronto. The Rays also fall into a solid situation. Play on American League teams that are hitting .265 or less and starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or less over his last 10 starts going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better. This situation is 60-26 (69.8 percent) since 1997. 3* Tampa Bay Rays

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Re: 7-1-10

Golden contender

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On Thursday the free MLB Play is under the total in the Mariners at Yankees game. Rotation numbers 965/966 at 1:05 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has 11 of 13 times. What we want to do is play the under for home favorites of -200 or higher if they lost as a home favorite at -140 or higher and had 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off a road win and scored 5 or more runs. The Yankees big 7-0 loss which saw them get 2 hits sets up this totals play. They have their horse today on the mound in CC Sabathia. Sabathia has allowed just 1 run in his last 15 innings vs Seattle and he has been lights out in his last 3 starts with a 1.57 era. Seattle counters with Rowland- Smith today. Smith has been decent vs the Yankees in his 2 lifetime starts. The Yankees have gone under in 6 of their 8 Thursday games and Seattle has trouble with left handed pitchers scoring just around 3 runs per game. Look for this one to play Under. On Thursday I have a Double MLB Power system Parlay and a Big MLB Totals system that averages 13 runs per game. Those with me on Wednesday cashed the Big MLB Dog play as Tampa cashed easily. More damage on Thursday. For the free play today take the under in Seattle at New York game. GC

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Re: 7-1-10

JORDAN HAIMOWITZ
Free play

MLB | Jul 01
New York Mets
-130

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Re: 7-1-10

BLACK WIDOW

Widow's MLB Free Pick Thursday:

1* on Colorado Rockies -139

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Re: 7-1-10

Cajun Sports
Free play

The A’s look to rebound after losing Game 2 on Wednesday night in Baltimore 9 to 6 which tied the series at a game apiece. Oakland will send Trevor Cahill to the bump while the Orioles will hang their hopes on Jake Arrieta. Cahill and the A’s are 9-3 versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season and 16-3 when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Baltimore is 8-31 versus AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs per game this season, 4-20 when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season and 1-16 versus a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits per start this season. We will back the visitor here as they take Game 3 and the series in Baltimore on Thursday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Oakland A’s 5 Baltimore Orioles 2

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Re: 7-1-10

Info Plays Thursday MLB Free Play:

3* on Los Angeles Angels -121

Reasons the Angels win:

1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. This is a 44-9 ML System hitting 83% over the last 5 seasons. This system is 7-1 this season alone.

2.) Jared Weaver. The righty is 7-3 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.092 WHIP this season. Weaver is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA through 7 home starts this year as well. Finally, Weaver is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Texas while C.J. Wilson is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Bet the Angels at home.

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Re: 7-1-10

Chris Jordan
Free play

I have to play the Padres in this one, as it appears to be a pitching mismatch between Brian Moehler and Jon Garland.

Garland is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts versus the Astros, and has been lights out in scattering seven hits in 14 scoreless innings in the last two. He was stunning in giving up just two hits over seven innings of a 2-1 victory at Houston on May 8.

I am banking him scoring his fourth straight win over the Astros.

He should have the run support he'll need, as Moehler is 1-3 with a 6.37 ERA in six starts since joining the rotation in late May.

Take the Friars in a blowout win tonight at PETCO Park
1? SAN DIEGO RUN LINE (LISTING GARLAND AND MOEHLER)

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Re: 7-1-10

Bobby Maxwell
Free play

My FREE play run is at 115-100-3 with a winner coming tonight on the Cardinals as they host the Brewers in an N.L. Central showdown.

Both the Brewers and Cardinals are coming off losses Wednesday night, but I’m banking on the Cardinals bouncing back in a big way tonight when they send Blake Hawksworth (2-4, 5.11 ERA) to the hill at home against Milwaukee’s Randy Wolf (5-7, 4.92).

Hawksworth is making just his third start of the season, but he looked very good last time out on Saturday when he held the Royals to one earned run on two hits over five innings of a 5-3 victory. He only made 66 pitches I the start, so he should be well-rested when he takes the hill for this one.

Wolf is 3-4 on the road with a 4.59 ERA this season and his last start wasn’t so good. He allowed five runs in five innings of a 5-4 loss at home to the Mariners. Back on June 4 he took on the Cardinals in St. Louis and allowed five runs on six hits in 6.2 innings of an 8-0 loss to these guys. He’s not fared well in St. Louis in his career, giving up 13 runs in his three outings there in just 18.1 innings.

Milwaukee is on slides of 1-4 when Wolf faces division foes, 5-11 when they are road ‘dogs and 4-10 when they face a right-hander on the highway. St. Louis is on positive streaks of 41-13 in series openers, 9-4 as home favorites and 39-19 at home against teams with losing road records.

I like the way that Hawksworth battled in his last start and he’s learning how to be a starter in this league. He’ll put up a strong effort tonight and the Cardinals will light up Wolf and the Brewers. Play St. Louis in this one.
2? ST. LOUIS

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Re: 7-1-10

Stephen Nover
Free play

The San Francisco Giants have lost five in a row and seven of their last eight. Their lack of offense is really showing as they've scored only nine runs in their past five games.

Now they have to leave the Bay to come to the high altitude of Denver's Coors Field where they have lost in five of their last six visits.

The Rockies have won 67 percent of their last 97 home contests. They are swinging the bats well, scoring 19 runs in three games at pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

The pitching matchup favors the Rockies. The Giants are going with rookie Madison Bumgarner, making his second start of the season and first ever at Coors Field.

Bumgarner is the Giants' top pitching prospect, but he's got a ways to go. He gave up two homers to Boston at home in his first start this year this past Saturday.

Aaron Cook gets the start for Colorado. He's been terrible on the road, but brilliant at Coors this season going 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He's holding opponents to a career-best .278 batting average.

Cook is a sinkerball pitcher. The Giants have hit into more double plays than any National League team. Cook induced 17 ground ball outs in his last start against the Angels. That's a bad combination for the Giants.
5? COLORADO