7-1-10

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Re: 7-1-10

BRETT ATKINS
Free play

You're free winner on the diamond tonight comes from Minnesota's new Target Field as I go with the Rays on the road against the Twins.

Jeff Niemann (6-2, 2.72 ERA) has been a stud on the road this season for the Rays. He’s 4-0 this season with a 3.02 ERA and the Rays are 7-0 in his last seven roadies and they’ve won eight of his last 10 starts overall.

Niemann held the Marlins to two runs in six innings in his last road outing and the offense definitely showed up to score the 9-8 victory.

He faces the Twins’ Carl Pavano who has allowed three runs or more to the Rays in six of the last seven times he’s seen them.

Minnesota has lost four straight series openers and they struggle against the A.L. East at 23-49 in their last 72 overall. Last season, Niemann shut down the Twins in Minnesota in a 7-1 victory and he’ll do the same tonight.

Let’s play the Rays behind Niemann in this one.

4? TAMPA BAY (on a 1? to 5?)

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Re: 7-1-10

TRACE ADAMS

THURSDAY'S FREE PLAY - St. Louis Cardinals

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Re: 7-1-10

JOEL TYSON COMP

Carl Pavano has pitched back-to-back complete games, and has a 4-game winning streak to show for his last 4 starts.

I expect Pavano to hook up against Jeff Niemann in a pitcher's duel, and out pitch the Tampa starter tonight at Target Field.

Tampa Bay did pick up a win at Boston last night, but they come into the Twin Cities having dropped 6 of their last 9 overall, and they are just 7-22 their last 29 played at Minnesota.

Minnesota has won their last pair of games to improve to 25-14 overall in the new ball yard, and I like them again tonight in the series opener.

3? MINNESOTA
(on a 1? to 5? basis)

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Re: 7-1-10

Consensus america

thursdays free play is the twins

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Re: 7-1-10

Gill Alexander
Free play

HOU (+215) vs SDP

Moehler is coming off 2 solid outings v the potent Texas lineup, 6IP, 2ER, 1H and 5IP, 2ER, 8H performances. We successfully backed him as a +275 dog in that latter outing. Garland is just off a 6.2IP, 1ER, 4H outing v Fla but before that got touched up for 4ER each in consecutive outings v Tor and Bal. Moehler has a 3.16ERA in 5 starts v SD while Garland has a 3.00ERA in 6 outings v Hou. So,pretty even. Sabermetrics bare that out, as well. Moehler has a 5.03FIP and 5.21xFIP but also has a .325 BABIP, meaning we should expect his fielding independent stats to come down as he has had a bit of a bad luck 2010 thus far. Garland has a 4.06FIP and 4.34xFIP this season, but also possesses a .278 BABIP, meaning he's had his share of good fortune up until this point in 2010. By the way, his 0.92ERA-FIP mark is the 16th widest discrepancy to the negative side in all of baseball, meaning we should be on the lookout for embedded line value whenever he takes the mound. And value is what we've found in this one. For all the perception of Houston being a bad club, they had a .500 June. This line has at least a half dollar of intrinsic value on the Astros. Let's seize the opportunity.

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Re: 7-1-10

Totals 4 U... They have sucked this week, But here they are ... Play at your own risk

Top Play Cards OVER 9-

Reg Plays Clev OVER 8-
Balt UNDER 8-
Colo UNDER 9-
Tx OVER 8

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Re: 7-1-10

Robert Ferringo
Free play

MLB - Take N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -120) over Seattle (1 p.m., Thursday, July 1)
This game is also going to go ‘over’ and I will likely have that as a rated selection. But this all sets up for a big Yankees win. They are one of the best teams in the league against left-handed starters and here they are going to get their licks in on Ryan Rowland-Smith. Rowland-Smith is awful, sporting a 6.80 ERA and a 1-7 mark in his last eight starts. The Yankees are going to tee off on him and after facing Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez in the first two games of this series RR-S’s weak stuff is going to look like prime rib. This play gets even bigger if the Yankees lose to Felix on Wednesday and the Red Sox beat the Rays at home that evening as well. That would put the Yanks and Sox in a tie for first place and that would really get the attention of the home team here. C.C. Sabathia has been dominating and I like it to continue. Yankees big in a “gimme”.

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Re: 7-1-10

World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems" - 7/1
Today's Selections

MLB Baseball Betting System A

Today's Selection(S)


New York Mets Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) Chicago Cubs -145 2:20 PM

Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#4) Washington's game #4 plays on July 2

New Series Starts Today!
Selection#3 (Game#1) Toronto -145 12:05 PM

Cincinnati Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#4 (Game#1) Philadelphia -1.5/-130 7:05 PM

Run Line Bet!


Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#3) San Francisco's game #3 does not qualify for today!

Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE



Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.

Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.

Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.

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Re: 7-1-10

Bettors Best Friend

Lines off the board

Reds at Cubs: Total is off pending wind direction and speed.

Lines to keep an eye on

Suns at Sky (WNBA): Sky opened as a 2-point favorite but that line has been cut in half. The total has jumped from 154 to 155.

Silver Stars at Sparks (WNBA): Sparks opened as a 3-point favorite but that number has slipped to 2.5. The total has fallen from 155.5 to 154.

Mystics at Mercury (WNBA): Mercury opened as a 4-point favorite but have been bet down to 3.5. The total has climbed from 177.5 to 179.

Ly*x at Dream (WNBA): Dream opened as an 8.5-point pick but that number is up to 9. The total has slipped from 175 to 173.

Who's hot

Rangers have won 16 of their last 19.

Angels have won eight of their last 11.

Brewers have won seven of their last nine.

Athletics have won four in a row.

Who's not

Rays have lost nine of their last 12.

Pirates have lost seven of their last eight.

Blue Jays have lost seven of their last nine

Giants have lost six of their last seven.

Key stat

105 - Points margin Sprint Cup leader Kevin Harvick holds over four-time defending series champion and current runner-up Jimmie Johnson midway through the season despite the fact that Harvick has only one victory and Johnson has five.

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

Mets shortstop Jose Reyes was scratched from the lineup for Wednesday's game against Florida after injuring his lower back during batting practice. Reyes will be evaluated Thursday after what had to be an uncomfortable flight from Puerto Rico to Washington to face the Nationals. The Mets will likely lose Reyes for at least the first game of the four-game series. He is batting .277 with six homers and 32 RBIs this season.

Game of the day

Rangers at Angels (-125, 8)

Notable quotable

"I don't think (the Big 12) conference will last long because there is too much disparity between all the teams. In the SEC, for instance, Vanderbilt makes as much money in the television contract as Florida. ... That doesn't happen here in the Big 12. We have some teams that get a little bit more money and have a little bit more stroke than some of the other teams. And when that happens, you're gonna have teams looking for better avenues to leave."

First-year Texas Tech coach Tommy Tuberville in reference to the deal the Big 12 cut with Texas and other members to give them a larger share of TV revenues than other schools to keep them from leaving to the Big Ten and Pac-10.

Tips and notes

The White Sox were on a roll before closer Bobby Jenks was placed on the family medical emergency list Sunday and was expected to miss three to seven days. The Chi-Sox lost a couple of close ones without their regular closer, but he will be back for the weekend series against the Rangers. In 31 appearances this season, Jenks is 1-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 17 saves.

Brazil will be without Elano for its World Cup showdown against the Netherlands on Friday. Elano scored in Brazil's first two matches but suffered a bone bruise in his right ankle in the second match against Ivory Coast. He has missed matches against Portugal and Chile and cut short a practice session Tuesday, making him unlikely to return against the Dutch.

Many NASCAR fans are conspiracy theorists, and for good reason. Heart-warming stories always seem to happen whenever TV ratings start to fall, so watch out for Friday night's Nationwide race when Dale Earnhardt Jr. gets behind the wheel of his famous father's No. 3 as a tribute to the Intimidator. Remember when he won at Daytona shortly after his dad's tragic accident at the track? Junior has been struggling and a win would be just what he (and NASCAR) needs to get back on track. Reply Reply With Quote

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Re: 7-1-10

Sportrends (7/1)

MLB Take St Louis W/Hawksworth over Milwaukee W/Wolf NO PLAY if < -130 or > -175

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Re: 7-1-10

Sports Investment Group

Todays Plays - 1 MLB Play...

Toronto -140

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Re: 7-1-10

Joe Wiz Pay After You Win - Cleveland Over

Asian Executive Lock of the Month - Colorado

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Re: 7-1-10

ASIAn Executive Lock of the Month -
Colorado

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Re: 7-1-10

Big Al McMordie Guaranteed Selections Date: Thursday, July 01, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: Al McMordie was 1-1 on Wednesday, cashing his Division Total of the Month, and losing his Side play. Today, Big Al has an AWESOME 3-GAME PACKAGE for you in Major League Baseball! You get 2 Sides + 1 Total, and 2 of these 3 plays go EARLY on Thursday. Hit this 3-Game package HARD, and go for a 3-0 SWEEP today! 7/1/2010 Our 3 Selections on Thursday include the Yankees/Mariners Under, the Blue Jays and the Rockies.

At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Cleveland Indians. What started out as a dream season for the Blue Jays in quickly turning into a nightmare. They are on the verge of the unthinkable - a four game sweep at the hands of the lowly Cleveland Indians. Righthander Shaun Marcum will do everything he can tonight to make sure that doesn't happen. And he is in a good position to stop the bleeding. Not only is Marcum 2-0 with an excellent 2.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in his last three starts, but his opposing starter will be righthander Justin Masterson who is about as polar opposite in his last three as anyone can be. Masterson has really struggled lately, going 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his last three, and the Tribe are 0-3 in those games. That horrendous WHIP over the last three is actually slightly better than his number on the season (1.62) as Masterson's biggest enemy this season has been walks. He's averaging right around one free pass for every two innings and that many walks will certainly hound any starter through the course of a season. It's hard to imagine the Indians giving Masterson much run support without the services of two of their biggest offensive threats, outfielder Grady Sizemore, out for the season after knee surgery, and shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera, who is out until at least late July with a broken forearm. Toronto is 8-2 in Marcum's last 10 starts on grass. Take the Jays.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees 'under' the total. In the first game of this series on Tuesday, the Mariners broke from their norm and actually put seven runs on the board while beating the Yanks 7-4 in front of what was probably a stunned Bronx crowd. It was only the second time that Seattle had scored more than five runs in the entire month of June. Perhaps it was the way of the Mariners' hitters to give starter Cliff Lee a going-away present, as Lee likely won't be with this team much longer -- and ironically the Yankees are one of the teams who are very interested in the Lee's services. After duplicating the feat on Wednesday and blanking the Yanks 7-0 behind Felix Hernandez, expect Seattle to revert to its normal two or three runs of offense tonight, if it can even muster that much against a very tough customer in southpaw CC Sabathia. Sabathia is going for his sixth straight win tonight and the unfortunate starter on the other end of box score will be M's lefthander Ryan Rowland-Smith who at this point can't be considered much more than a place-holder for lefthander Erik Bedard who is on a rehab assignment and apparently doing well and very close to returning to the team. Even with the 11 runs scored on Tuesday, the under is still 9-3-1 in Seattle's last 13 games on grass. Take the 'under.'

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Rockies over the San Francisco Giants. The Giants called up top pitching prospect Madison Bumgarner from the minors and he got his first start of the season on June 26 and took the loss after giving up two homers early in the home game against the Red Sox. Despite pitching in four games in 2009, the loss against Boston was his first career decision. He takes on another tough opponent tonight in the Rockies but this time he has to travel to Denver for his first-ever start at Coors Field which is always a tough place, especially for young pitchers. Colorado will start righthanded veteran Aaron Cook who after logging winning records in 2007, 2008, and 2009 is just 2-5 in 2010 after his first 15 starts. Cook has been victimized and snake-bitten a bit this season, including his last start when he really only threw one bad pitch to the Angels. Unfortunately, that pitch was deposited in the seats by Hideki Matsui for a grand slam and although Cook went on to pitch flawlessly for seven more innings, his pitching line still shows the loss and four runs (three earned). Colorado is 65-32 in their last 97 home starts and they are also 6-2 in Cook's last eight trips to the mound at Coors Field. Take the Rockies. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

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Re: 7-1-10

Randall the Handle

Cincinnati +1.32 over CHICAGO
Play: Cincinnati +1.32 (Risking 2 units).

CLEVELAND +1.41 over Toronto
Play: Cleveland +1.41 (Risking 2 units).

Houston +2.15 over SAN DIEGO
Play: Houston +2.15 (Risking 2 units).