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MLBPredictions Kevin Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins – RED SOX TO WIN (-127) (Note: I’m risking 3.81 to win 3 units)
The Red Sox took the first meeting last night 8-6 beating Scott Baker who had been pitching solid at home. Look for Boston to come out with another victory tonight, as the keep their focus on their pennant race with their rival Yankees. Boston Erik Bedard on the mound, who will be making his second start since being traded to the Red sox from Seattle. Bedard got the no decision when he pitched 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs in his Red Sox debut. On the season Bedard is 4-7, but has better numbers than the record indicates. He has a 3.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .232 opponents batting average. Take note that back on May 25th Bedard pitched 6 shutout innings against the Twins while playing for Seattle. Francisco Liriano is on the mound for the Twins, and enters tonight’s game with a 7-9 record, 5.03 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .247 opponents batting average. Liriano gave up 10 hits and 7 earned runs over 5 innings of work in Los Angeles on Thursday. A bounce back start won’t be easy against the Red Sox for Fransisco. He is 1-3 with a 7.78 ERA lifetime against Boston. Note that the Red Sox are 41-17 in their last 58 overall, 28-10 in their last 38 road games, and 22-5 in their last 27 games vs a left handed starter. The Red Sox are also 39-14 in their last 53 games following a win, 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite, and 5-2 in their last 7 vs AL Central teams. On the other hand, the Twins have dropped 5 straight games, are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog, and 17-39 in their last 56 vs AL East teams. The Twins are also 3-11 in Liriano’s last 14 starts vs a team with a winning record, and 4-17 in his last 21 starts vs AL East opponents. The Red Sox have won 4 straight meetings against the Twins, and have 20 more wins than Minnesota on the season. Anytime the Red Sox have an edge in the pitching match up and are listed at -127 it is worth a look, and after looking into it further I think we have some solid value here against the Twins tonight. Take the American League’s top team with confidence tonight.
MLBPredictions Kevin Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins – RED SOX TO WIN (-127) (Note: I’m risking 3.81 to win 3 units)
The Red Sox took the first meeting last night 8-6 beating Scott Baker who had been pitching solid at home. Look for Boston to come out with another victory tonight, as the keep their focus on their pennant race with their rival Yankees. Boston Erik Bedard on the mound, who will be making his second start since being traded to the Red sox from Seattle. Bedard got the no decision when he pitched 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs in his Red Sox debut. On the season Bedard is 4-7, but has better numbers than the record indicates. He has a 3.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .232 opponents batting average. Take note that back on May 25th Bedard pitched 6 shutout innings against the Twins while playing for Seattle. Francisco Liriano is on the mound for the Twins, and enters tonight’s game with a 7-9 record, 5.03 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .247 opponents batting average. Liriano gave up 10 hits and 7 earned runs over 5 innings of work in Los Angeles on Thursday. A bounce back start won’t be easy against the Red Sox for Fransisco. He is 1-3 with a 7.78 ERA lifetime against Boston. Note that the Red Sox are 41-17 in their last 58 overall, 28-10 in their last 38 road games, and 22-5 in their last 27 games vs a left handed starter. The Red Sox are also 39-14 in their last 53 games following a win, 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite, and 5-2 in their last 7 vs AL Central teams. On the other hand, the Twins have dropped 5 straight games, are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog, and 17-39 in their last 56 vs AL East teams. The Twins are also 3-11 in Liriano’s last 14 starts vs a team with a winning record, and 4-17 in his last 21 starts vs AL East opponents. The Red Sox have won 4 straight meetings against the Twins, and have 20 more wins than Minnesota on the season. Anytime the Red Sox have an edge in the pitching match up and are listed at -127 it is worth a look, and after looking into it further I think we have some solid value here against the Twins tonight. Take the American League’s top team with confidence tonight.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury
Play: Phoenix Mercury +2.5
The Minnesota Lynx have proven to be the class of the WNBA this season, and they enter this one with a 16-4 mark on the season. Phoenix has played poorly of late, but has the talent here to pull off the upset. After beating the Lynx in Minnesota, Phoenix has suffered two straight losses against them. The Mercury have a high ceiling, especially with the league’s top player in Diana Turasi, and have been flying high on one day of rest where they are 7-1 ATS. The Lynx have often found the going tough in Phoenix where they have been grounded, winning just two of the last seven meetings here. Play on Phoenix in this one.
Tuesday, August 9th:
BIG: NY Mets -130 ov San Diego, 7:10pmET
BIG: OVER 9.5 Chicago Cubs/Washington, 8:05pmET
MED: Milwaukee +110 ov St. Louis, 8:15pmET
7:10 pm Ultra Sharp
***BEST BET
OVER 9.5
Colorado at Cincinnati
Rogers vs. Willis
One starter isn’t there yet, the other has been there, fallen off, and is trying to get back. Rockies’ young righthander Esmil Rogers has a high WHIP of 1.74, a 6.35 ERA, and hasn’t lasted longer than 5 2/3 innings since April 7, which was eight starts, one removal from the rotation and one trip to the Disable List ago. After Rogers, the Rockies’ manager Jim Tracy has a bullpen choice consisting of fellows who have a combined ERA of 4.23, second-highest in the National League, with a Batting Average Against of .271, which is highest in MLB. Meanwhile, Reds’ veteran lefty Dontrelle Willis has made five starts since his late 2011 debut and has a decent 3.41 ERA. But how long can the magic dust last? The Rockies who have faced Willis are hitting a collective .346 against him in 81 at-bats, with 17 walks and only 14 strikeouts.
7:05 pm
**PREFERRED
OVER 9
Oakland at Toronto
Harden vs. Cecil
In 6 starts totaling just 35 innings, A’s starter Rich Harden has already allowed 7 home runs. The Blue Jays have hit 70 of their 127 home runs (55%) in this ballpark. Bang-zoom. Oakland’s Hideki Matsui to Toronto starter Brett Cecil: ‘I own you.’ He has 5 hits and 2 homers in 8 at-bats against Cecil.
Pick of the day
Tuesday, August 9, 2011
ST LOUIS (E. Jackson) -120 over MILWAUKEE (Marcum)
The Brewers had a successful trip to Houston last weekend, but they've generally been a disaster on the road this year (-$1085 overall) so we expect to see their hot streak come to a close now that they're up against a serious team. The Cardinals are playing well at the moment (7-4, +$125 in their past 11, averaging 5.7 runs per game on offense). They've posted a modest profit in night games (+$285) and they desperately need to keep Milwaukee from adding to their lead in the NL Central. Look for the Cards to draw close with a victory tonight.
7:10 pm Ultra Sharp
***BEST BET
OVER 9.5
Colorado at Cincinnati
Rogers vs. Willis
One starter isn’t there yet, the other has been there, fallen off, and is trying to get back. Rockies’ young righthander Esmil Rogers has a high WHIP of 1.74, a 6.35 ERA, and hasn’t lasted longer than 5 2/3 innings since April 7, which was eight starts, one removal from the rotation and one trip to the Disable List ago. After Rogers, the Rockies’ manager Jim Tracy has a bullpen choice consisting of fellows who have a combined ERA of 4.23, second-highest in the National League, with a Batting Average Against of .271, which is highest in MLB. Meanwhile, Reds’ veteran lefty Dontrelle Willis has made five starts since his late 2011 debut and has a decent 3.41 ERA. But how long can the magic dust last? The Rockies who have faced Willis are hitting a collective .346 against him in 81 at-bats, with 17 walks and only 14 strikeouts.
7:05 pm
**PREFERRED
OVER 9
Oakland at Toronto
Harden vs. Cecil
In 6 starts totaling just 35 innings, A’s starter Rich Harden has already allowed 7 home runs. The Blue Jays have hit 70 of their 127 home runs (55%) in this ballpark. Bang-zoom. Oakland’s Hideki Matsui to Toronto starter Brett Cecil: ‘I own you.’ He has 5 hits and 2 homers in 8 at-bats against Cecil.
Pick of the day
Tuesday, August 9, 2011
ST LOUIS (E. Jackson) -120 over MILWAUKEE (Marcum)
The Brewers had a successful trip to Houston last weekend, but they've generally been a disaster on the road this year (-$1085 overall) so we expect to see their hot streak come to a close now that they're up against a serious team. The Cardinals are playing well at the moment (7-4, +$125 in their past 11, averaging 5.7 runs per game on offense). They've posted a modest profit in night games (+$285) and they desperately need to keep Milwaukee from adding to their lead in the NL Central. Look for the Cards to draw close with a victory tonight.
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