9-24-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

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Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[timbob]

PREDICTION MACHINE

TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
NFL - Atlanta Falcons
NCAA- East Carolina Pirates

[timbob]

Joseph D'Amico

Georgia vs. Ole Miss
Play: Georgia -9½

Both teams are 1-2 as Mississippi let a 13-0, 4th quarter lead result into a 14-13 loss to BYU in Week 1. The Rebels then beat Southern Illinois, 42-24. However, last weeks 30-7 loss to Vanderbilt as a 2 1/2 point favorite showed what they are made of. Ole Miss was 4-8 last season, allowing 35.1 PPG. In each of their first 3 games, they were outgained by over 100 plus yards. Their offense is horrible. Their OL has been manhandled, stifling their running game with only 109.3 YPG on the ground. QB, Stoudt was intercepted 5 times by Vandy and was then pulled for Mackey until he got hurt. Georgia hung in with Boise State in Week 1 and South Carolina in Week 2. Last week, the 'Dogs got a much-needed confidence boost in their 59-0 shredding of Coastal Carolina. QB, Aaron Murray has already tallied 672 YP, a 63.1% completion rate, and 9 TDs. RB, Isaiah Crowell has 316 total yards and 3 TDs. Georgia played two Top 20 teams and has an edge in talent on offense, defense, and special teams. They are salivating at the chance to exploit the out-of-sync Mississippi defense. Ole Miss just doesn't have the weapons on offense to challenge the adequate Georgia defense. The Rebels are 10-25 ATS their L35 games played in September, 1-4 ATS their L5 home games, and 2-7 ATS their L9 overall. Take Georgia.

[timbob]

Phil Steele-The Steele Trap Plays

Alabama - 11 1/2
Texas A & M -4

[timbob]

Northcoast
Tuesday comps....#3 underdog play....USC +2.5 and #9 powerplay newsletter 4*....IDAHO +the points

Wednesday comp...#2 economy club play....EAST CAROLINA

Thursday comp....#9 big dog play...COLORADO STATE

[timbob]

Maddux
20* Bowling Green

He gave out BG +6. He was 0-2 Last week on 20*

[timbob]

DCI

Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State 25, CLEMSON 23
GEORGIA TECH 29, North Carolina 28

Big 12 Conference
OKLAHOMA 39, Missouri 16
Oklahoma State 39, TEXAS A&M 33

Mid-American Conference
MIAMI (OHIO) 31, Bowling Green State 13

Pacific-12 Conference
ARIZONA STATE 26, Usc 25
Oregon 42, ARIZONA 22
OREGON STATE 31, Ucla 20
WASHINGTON 34, California 27
Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 30, Arkansas 25
Florida 30, KENTUCKY 14
Georgia 36, MISSISSIPPI 29
SOUTH CAROLINA 35, Vanderbilt 19

Sun Belt Conference
FIU 40, Louisiana-Lafayette 17
TROY 42, Middle Tennessee 29

Conference USA
EAST CAROLINA 49, Uab 33
Smu 36, MEMPHIS 14

Western Athletic Conference
Fresno State 31, IDAHO 29
SAN JOSE STATE 29, New Mexico State 21

FBS Non-Conference
AIR FORCE 48, Tennessee State 3
AKRON 25, Vmi 18
ARKANSAS STATE 35, Central Arkansas 18
Army 30, BALL STATE 17
AUBURN 55, Florida Atlantic 3
BAYLOR 53, Rice 33
BOISE STATE 49, Tulsa 28
BOSTON COLLEGE 20, Massachusetts 17
Connecticut 30, BUFFALO 10
DUKE 41, Tulane 22
HAWAI'I 38, UC Davis 20
HOUSTON 56, Georgia State 19
ILLINOIS 38, Western Michigan 18
Indiana 41, NORTH TEXAS 28
IOWA 37, Ulm 14
Lsu 28, WEST VIRGINIA 18
MARYLAND 28, Temple 17
MIAMI (FLA.) 31, Kansas State 17
MICHIGAN STATE 34, Central Michigan 12
MINNESOTA 27, North Dakota State 22
MISSISSIPPI STATE 43, Louisiana Tech 22
Nebraska 42, WYOMING 14
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 50, Cal Poly 24
Notre Dame 23, PITTSBURGH 22
OHIO STATE 36, Colorado 13
PENN STATE 38, Eastern Michigan 6
RUTGERS 26, Ohio 24
Sam Houston State 31, NEW MEXICO 20
San Diego State 35, MICHIGAN 33
South Alabama vs. KENT STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SOUTH FLORIDA 41, Utep 9
Southern Utah 36, UNLV 31
SYRACUSE 27, Toledo 26
TCU 62, Portland State 10
TEXAS TECH 39, Nevada 38
UTAH STATE 30, Colorado State 24
VIRGINIA 35, Southern Miss 28
Virginia Tech 39, MARSHALL 9
WISCONSIN 53, South Dakota 3

Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 29, Montana State 22
Montana 28, SACRAMENTO STATE 25
NORTHERN ARIZONA 36, Idaho State 26
Weber State 38, NORTHERN COLORADO 25

Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 38, Old Dominion 13
New Hampshire 22, RICHMOND 17
WILLIAM & MARY 16, James Madison 13

Ivy League
YALE 25, Cornell 12

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 24, Hampton 23
Morgan State 30, Howard 18
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 31, Savannah State 16
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 33, Delaware State 15

Missouri Valley Conference
INDIANA STATE 40, Youngstown State 35
NORTHERN IOWA 29, Western Illinois 17
South Dakota State 34, ILLINOIS STATE 29
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 34, Missouri State 25

Northeast Conference
BRYANT 28, Wagner 15
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 30, Monmouth 22
Duquesne 39, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 20

Ohio Valley Conference
Eastern Kentucky 36, AUSTIN PEAY 12
JACKSONVILLE STATE 31, Eastern Illinois 23
TENNESSEE TECH 31, Southeast Missouri State 21

Pioneer League
Drake 20, BUTLER 16
Jacksonville 40, CAMPBELL 25
San Diego 31, MOREHEAD STATE 22

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 32, Chattanooga 31
ELON 27, The Citadel 12
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 45, Western Carolina 10
WOFFORD 32, Samford 12

Southland Conference
MCNEESE STATE 36, Southeastern Louisiana 21
Northwestern State 25, NICHOLLS STATE 22

Southwestern Athletic Conference
Alabama State vs. JACKSON STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
GRAMBLING 30, Alabama A&M 9
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 43, Mississippi Valley State 9
TEXAS SOUTHERN 31, Alcorn State 18

FCS Non-Conference
Coastal Carolina 37, NORTH CAROLINA A&T 15
COLUMBIA 22, Albany 20
Dartmouth 32, SACRED HEART 12
Florida A&M 33, Southern 15
FURMAN 40, Presbyterian 18
Georgetown 20, MARIST 16
LEHIGH 31, Liberty 29
Norfolk State 29, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 24
PENN 24, Villanova 16
PRINCETON 21, Bucknell 18
RHODE ISLAND 27, Fordham 14
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 43, Texas State 26
STONY BROOK 26, Lafayette 20
TOWSON 26, Colgate 22

[Mr. IWS]

Geroge Pappas Investments

9/24

3* Georgia vs Mississippi OVER 54.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bettorsworld

1* Key Release San Diego State +10.5
1* San Diego State +6.5 1st half
1* San Diego State 1st qtr + anything you can get

San Diego State has legitimate offensive weapons. They have a QB playing in his 4th year of a pro style offense, they have a running back who will be playing in the NFL soon and they have 3 or 4 big tight ends to get the ball to. Michigan couldn't stop the only legitimate team they faced this year. They were sliced and diced for 500 yards by the Irish including 200 yards on the ground. They lost the first down battle 28/16, they were 3 for 9 on 3rd down, allowed 6 yards per rush and gave up over 300 yards through the air. Notre Dame once again shot itself in the foot with turnovers and penalties.

The 1st quarter and 1st half plays : Michigan hasn't scored in the 1st quarter all year and that's against Western and Eastern Michigan along with ND. San Diego State has scored 14+ points in the 1st quarter in 7 straight games going back to last year. Typically, a team like Michigan beating up on an opponent like San Diego State is a result of a lack of depth. Think of how many times you've seen lesser known programs hang with the big boys only to see the margin extended late.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer

5* #349 Notre Dame -6 ½ over Pittsburgh (12:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24 ABC)

4* #341 Under 49 ½ LSU at West Virginia (8:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24 ESPN)

3* #370 Virginia -3 over Southern Miss (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)

3* #333 Army -4 over Ball St (2:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)

2* #325 Temple +9 over Maryland (12:30p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
1 OF 9
Game: Nevada at Texas Tech (Saturday 9/24 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas Tech -17 (-110)

Nevada did the unthinkable last year when they took down Boise State. Unfortunately, this is a much different team, as almost all of the key players in that win have moved on. The Wolfpack aren't a graduate and instant-reload type of team. It takes time. They had to replace their best ever QB, and they return just 12 starters overall. Their success over the past couple years has kept this line lower than where it should be. They barely squeaked past a bad San Jose State team last week, and were beaten by seven TDs by Oregon. Texas Tech is again an offensive juggernaut having gone over 50 points in their first two games. I can't see Nevada slowing them down. Seth Doege has completed 82% of his passes, and should tear apart an inexperienced Wolfpack secondary. Under Chris Ault, the Wolfpack are 5-15 ATS on the road in non-conference games. Tech is 63-35 ATS in their last 98 home games including 47-26 ATS as a favorite. Play on Texas Tech here in a blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

Colin Cowherd

Arizona State
Notre Dame

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Youmans, Las Vegas Review Journal columnist...

CLOSING NUMBERS -- My college plays are paying off so far, at 4-2 last week and 10-5-1 for the season. Here are six for Saturday (home team in CAPS):Tulane (+10) over DUKE; Western Michigan (+13) over ILLINOIS; WASHINGTON (Pick) over California; Notre Dame-PITTSBURGH (Over 53½); CLEMSON (-2) over Florida State; Southern Cal (+2½) over ARIZONA STATE.

[Mr. IWS]

RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS (RAS)

Rotation: 344
San Diego St./Michigan (Under 59)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 9:00am PST
Released: 9/22 12:00pm PST

Rotation: 331
Bowling Green/Miami (OH) (Over 50.5)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 10:00am PST
Released: 9/22 12:03pm PST

Rotation: 365
Louisiana Tech/Mississippi St. (Over 57)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 4:00pm PST
Released: 9/22 12:06pm PST

Rotation: 362
Nevada/Texas Tech (Under 63.5)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 4:00pm PST
Released: 9/22 12:09pm PST

Rotation: 353
New Mexico St. (+10.5)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 1:00pm PST
Released: 9/20 10:00am PST

Rotation: 389
Middle Tenn. St. (+13.5)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 1:30pm PST
Released: 9/19 12:35pm PST

Rotation: 332
Miami (OH) (-5.5)
Rating: 1.00
Game Time: 9/24 10:00am PST
Released: 9/19 12:38pm PST

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastman Football

$$$$Play. Take #346 Georgia Tech (-6.5) over North Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 24)
Georgia Tech has the No. 1 offense in the nation right now for total yards and for scoring. Paul Johnson just continues to do excellent work and just like when he was at Navy he has one of the most underrated teams in the nation. Tech has won five of the last six meetings and have won 8 of 10 in this series. North Carolina is also leaving its home state for the first time this year after two unimpressive wins over Rutgers and Virginia. This is a step up in class for the Tar Heels and I don't think that this program is headed in as good a direction as Georgia Tech. Johnson's guys may not reach 50 points again this week but they will outscore an inexperienced UNC attack and pick up a sweet cash for us.

$$Play. Take #378 Utah State (-9) over Colorado State (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)
This is a perfect spot for Utah State. They gained a lot of confidence with their great game at Auburn, even though they lost a heartbreaker. They didn't have a letdown with a 37-point win against Weber State and then the Aggies got two weeks off to prepare for this clash with Colorado State. The Rams are coming off a very emotional game last week in a loss to in-state rival Colorado. It is always tough to bounce back after a huge Rivalry game like that. It is even tougher to do it by going on the road against a team that had a bye last week. This one should be all Aggies.

$$$Play. Take #360 Oregon State (-4.5) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)
The Bruins were blown out at home last week against Texas and so far this season has been a mess for UCLA. They lost to Houston, were blown out by Texas, and their only win was just a 10-point win over San Jose. Oregon State has had two weeks to prepare for this game and they want to bounce back from their embarrassing loss at Wisconsin. I think that Mike Riley will have his team ready to play more than Rick Nueheisel, who may not make it to the end of the year. Oregon State has revenge for a tough loss last year and the home team is 4-2 in the last six meetings. This number is on the move for a reason and I think as long as we grab it before it hits 6.0 we are getting good value.

$$Play. Take #352 Clemson (-2.5) over Florida State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 24)
It has to be nearly impossible for Florida State to pick itself up off the deck. They were playing in one of the biggest games of the year last weekend at home against Oklahoma. ESPN was there and FSU lost a close game late. Now they have to hit the road and take on a Clemson team that is fresh off a revenge win over Auburn. All of the momentum is on the home team here and I think that Florida State gets floored.

$$$$$$Play. Take #419 Arizona (-3) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System and it is my NFL Game of the Month.
I think that Seattle is one of the worst teams in football. I know that they have a big home field advantage. But even the best home field advantage is only as good as the players that are actually playing on the field. The Seahawks were shutout last week and they only managed 17 points against San Francisco in Week 1. Their offense is not moving with Tarvaris Jackson and they are starting to have a quarterback controversy. Arizona has double-revenge here after being swept by the Seahawks last season. They have already gotten a win under their belts and they went out and played Washington tough on the road last week. They put up a much better effort in a tough spot on the road than the Seahawks did. This play also comes down to quarterback play. The Cardinals have the better quarterback in Kevin Kolb and the best player on the field in Larry Fitzgerald. I think that Arizona is the best team in this division right now and here is a chance for them to make a statement.

$$$$Play. Take #421 Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System.
The Packers have just far exceeded the Bears. I know that these teams played three close games last year but I think that Green Bay just keeps improving and I do not think that Chicago is as good as they were in 2010. The Bears are off a blowout loss in New Orleans last weekend and the Packers are a team that can put the same type of pressure on with their passing agme and with their blitzing. Chicago's offensive line can't block and can't protect the quarterback. The last time they faced the Packers Jay Cutler was knocked out of the game and I could see the same thing happening. Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 trips to Chicago and they are 5-2 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings. This number is short and you need to jump on it now. Because it will be 4.0 by Saturday and should be up to 4.5 by kickoff. Great value on the better team and I think that the Packers win this one going away.

$$$Play. Take #410 Carolina (-3.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
Jacksonville will be starting rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert this weekend in Carolina. The Panthers now have the edge at the QB position because Cam Newton has already gotten the jitters out after two games and he has been brilliant in those pair of games against Arizona and Green Bay. Carolina looked great last week while building a 13-0 lead over Carolina. If the Panthers are good enough to take it to the defending Super Bowl champions like that they should have more than enough here to dominate a bad Jaguars team. Newton will keep it going against the worst defense that he has faced yet and I like the home team to win this one big.

$$$Play. Take #398 Buffalo (+9.5) over New England (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Bills are ready to compete! After getting blown out many times over the last several years the Bills have their best team yet and they are ready to compete with the Patriots. Orchard Park will be rocking this weekend when Tom Brady comes to town. That extra energy will help to keep the momentum from last weekend's last-second win over Oakland. The Patriots will be taking all of the action in this game but I will side with the books on this one. Buffalo may not win but I expect them to hang around in the fourth quarter and they will take advantage of a weak New England secondary to get some points on the board. This one stays within the number. Take the points.

$$$$. Take #396 Cincinnati (-2.5) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Bengals have quietly put themselves in a position to earn a tie for the AFC North lead after three weeks. This team was able to get rid of a lot of guys with bad attitudes during the offseason and I think that they have better chemistry in the locker room. After two straight road games I think that the Bengals will get a big boost from being at home. San Francisco has to travel across the country and is playing in a big letdown spot. They had Dallas beaten and could have gone to 2-0. But they gave that game away late and now they have no motivation for this game here against the Bengals. I like the home team to win by a touchdown.

$$Play. Take #413 New York Jets (-3) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Jets defense looks the best that it has in three years. I think that they are going to shut down the Oakland running game just like it was able to shut down Jacksonville's strong running game last week. This Jets team is physical and won't have a problem pushing the Raiders around. Oakland has gotten outgained in both of its games and was fortunate to get a win in Denver in Week 1. They should be 0-2. This team collaposed last week in Buffalo and gave away that game in the second half. If they can be outplayed like that and shoot themselves in the foot like that against a bad Buffalo team they will get beaten by a good Jets team. The Jets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games and this team is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Raiders have been one of the worst bets in football for a decade and I don't think anything has changed. The Raiders are just 5-21-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less.


NFL ARIZONA AND GREEN BAY ARE 411 PLAYS AKA 99 SYSTEM PLAYS