9-24-11

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GREAT LAKES SPORTS

College Football

4* (342) West Virginia Mountaineers 8:00est
4* (381) Oregon Ducks 10:15est
3* (368) Baylor Bears 7:00est
3* (371) Oklahoma State Cowboys 3:30est
3* (373) Nebraska Cornhuskers 7:30est


Major League Baseball

4* (907) Cincinnati Reds (with Wood) 7:05est
3* (910) Houston Astros (with Happ) 7:05est
3* (915) LA Dodgers (with Billingsley) 8:35est

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SuperSportsGroup

Notre Dame v. Pittsbutgh 12pm
PICK: Pittsburgh +7 Game
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Georgia v. Ole Miss 12:20pm

PICK: Ole Miss +10 game best bet of the day
PICK: Ole Miss +5.5 1H
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New Mexico St v. San Jose St 4pm

PICK: San Jose St -10.5 Game best bet of the day #2
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Tulsa v. Boise St 8pm

PICK: Boise St -28 game

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Derek Mancini

50 dime Nebraska -21

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APPLE HANDICAPPERS
Eddie Rambo
3* Marshall+20.5
3* Idaho+2.5
4* Southcarolina/Vandy Under 50

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SPORTS WAGERS

Arkansas +11 over ALABAMA

There are a lot of smart football people who insist that the Crimson Tide cannot be beat. Year five is the peak of the Nick Saban/Kirby Smart defensive player development machine. Elite coaching, elite talent and a full recruiting cycle worth of teaching and development in a program that spares no resource plus 10 starters back from what was still a top-five defense in a rebuilding year adds up not only to one of the nation's best defenses this year but to one of the best in recent memory. That said, Bobby Petrino is an elite coach. He went 41-9 at Louisville, just the 88th-winningest FBS program, and will win at least one SEC championship at Arkansas. The Razorbacks have beaten LSU three times out of four and are on the verge of overtaking the Tigers as the biggest obstacle for Alabama in the SEC West. This year's bunch features what might be the nation's best receiving corps, along with a capable quarterback and a constantly improving upperclassman-laden defense that is no longer -- by any means -- out of place in the SEC. Outside of beating a couple of cupcakes, the Tide beat Penn State by 16 but the Nittany Lions are nothing this season and things get a whole lot tougher here. The Razorbacks haven’t beaten anyone either. They even had a scare last week versus Troy but that scare has this line inflated. Arkansas had Alabama on their minds last week so pay no attention to the 38-28 win. The Razorbacks are an offensive juggernaut. They can play with the Tide and while they will be hard-pressed to win at this venue, they do have a shot and they have a huge shot of keeping it well within this range Play: #337 Arkansas +11 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).


Notre Dame –7 over PITTSBURGH

The Irish are 1-2 while Pitt is 2-1. That’s pretty funny unless you’re a member of the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame lost to South Florida in the first game of the year and followed that up with one of the more bizarre losses in years. Not only were the Irish the better team in both losses, they moved up and down the field at will in both losses. Turnovers did them in. In a desperation game last week against a very talented Spartans club, Notre Dame dominated play again and won 31-13. This is by far its easiest assignment and is a huge mismatch. Pittsburgh is 2-1 after beating Buffalo and Maine and losing in Iowa last week. Against Maine, Pitt won by six points, 35-29 and outgained Maine by 10 yards, 381-371. That’s right, Maine. A team that 90% of us didn’t even know existed. A weak Iowa team also beat the Panthers last Saturday. The only way Notre Dame doesn’t win this game by four TD’s is if they turn the ball over six times. It’s not like they’re 3-0 and are in a letdown spot. The Irish have to keep their foot on the pedal and put this marshmallow away early and not let them back in it. On their worst day the Irish should easily handle this feeble group from Pittsburgh. Play: #349 Notre Dame –7 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).


ARIZONA ST –2½ over Southern Cal

What we have here is the classic unranked v. ranked with the unranked being favored. That alone should tell you something. The Trojans come in with a 3-0 record and a #23 ranking to go along with it. As a 20-point favorite to open the year against Minnesota, the Trojans won by two. They have yet to play a road game and they’ll start seven freshmen here at key positions. In the three games that the Trojans have played this season against weak competition, Minnesota, Utah and Syracuse, USC has looked good in two quarters out of 12. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils beat Missouri in OT and lost at Illinois last week by just three against a tough Illini squad. ASU is sick of losing to the Trojans. They’ve been losing to this team for years and that’s because USC was a juggernaut for years. This is the Sun Devils “bowl” game. They want this one more than any other on their schedule. Arizona State’s defense is one of the top two in the conference and they should really make life miserable for a fragile USC offensive line. The Trojans are not the 23rd best team in the country. They’re not better than the Sun Devils and there are at least 40 teams better than them in Division 1. The Sun Devils take out years of frustration here. Play: #384 Arizona State –2½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

BOOKIEKILLER
5 UNIT* CFB* Temple +8.5
5 UNIT* CFB* Toledo +2
5 UNIT* CFB* San Diego State +10.5
5 UNIT* CFB* Ohio +4
5 UNIT* CFB* Arkansas +11
5 UNIT* CFB* West Virginia +6

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 80 Dime winner is Louisiana State on the road to cover against West Virginia. At 1 a.m., the sports boaks in Las Vegas have LSU a 5 1/2 point favordite. The 30 Dime Line Buster is Notre Dame to cover against Pittsburgh. The Books have the Irish a 7-point favorcte.


ANALYSIS

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Saturday's Action

100 Dime college football underdog seleation on Wyoming as the home underddog. At the time I release this play, the line is right around Wyoming +21-points and that’s dog agaicst Nebraska.both here in Vegas and offshore.

ANALYSIS

For a coach that prides himself on defense, Bo Pelini's team sure hasn't showed much of that prideful defense this season, as the Cornhuskers were gouged for 29-points at home agaanst Fresno State, and they just surrendered 38-points last weekend in Lincoln to the Washington Huskies.





I think Nebraska is simply laying too many points this afternoon in Laramie against a Wyoming team that is off to their first 3-0 start in over a decdade. Cowboys coach Dave Christensen is 13-7 against the spread in the role of underdog since taking over the reins in Wyoming in 2009, and they will have the added benefit of playing this game in some colder temperatures and at altitude to boot!





Of course the Huskers simply have too much pedigree for the Cowboys at the end of the day, but getting right around three full scores at War Memorial Stadium versus a Nebraska team that no doubt will have one eye looking ahead to next week's Big 10 conferecce debut at Wisconsin is the way to go in this game.





Nebraska is a medicore 6-5 against the spread the past two seasons when listed as the road favorite, and the way their defense has been springing leaks, they will not be able to pull away from the upstart home underdog tonight in Laramie. Take the points straight to the bank as the Big Play Specialist comes through once again.

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
2500♦ Blowout of the Year - Winner # 3 in a Row
East Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
300,000♦
Stone Cold Lock
Winner # 4 in a Row
Ohio Bobcats

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck Obrien
60 DIME
Blowout of the Year
Texas Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler GOM
North Texas

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Norm Hitzges

NCAA
Double Plays

· Nebraska -23 vs Wyoming

· Utah State -6.5 vs Colorado State

· California +3 vs Washington

· South Florida -28 vs UTEP

· Notre Dame -6.5 vs Pitt


Single Plays

· UCF +2.5 vs BYU

· Alabama -12.5 vs Arkansas

· Ohio +4 vs Rutgers

· Toledo +3 vs Syracuse

· Georgia -10 vs Mississippi

· SMU -22.5 vs Memphis

· Fresno -6 vs Idaho

· Auburn -33 vs Florida Atlantic

· VaTech -18.5 vs Marshall

· Texas A&M -3 vs Oklahoma State

· Baylor -20.5 vs Rice

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Los Angeles –103 over SAN DIEGO Pinnacle
What the hell happened to Chad Billingsley this season? Here’s a guy whose skills were compared to that of teammate Clayton Kershaw. Billingsley was primed for a breakout season but instead he comes into this start with a pedestrian 4.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. The big problem for Billingsley is control. He’s walked 81 batters in 183 innings and that’s too many. However, he’s also whiffed 149, he’s been downright dominating the first time through line-ups and he has something to prove. Billingsley is having a bad year but his stuff is something that Aaron Harang only dreams about possessing. The Padres have lost four of Harang’s last five starts. He has a BAA of .276 on the year pitching mostly at extreme pitchers parks. Harang is an “old” 33 years of age with 134 days on the DL over the past three years. Over the past month his strand rate of 85% is what has kept him afloat. He’s been in more jams the past five weeks than most and he’s barely escaped. The line here is essentially a pick-em but in no way are Harang and Billingsley equal and in no way are the Padres equal to the Dodgers. Play: Los Angeles –103 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

Kansas City +124 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
The finish line can’t get here soon enough for the White Sox. After a couple of unlikely wins in Cleveland, the South Side has now gotten back to its losing ways. They’ve been outscored the past two games by a combined 22-3. The Royals took the opener last night 11-1 and what we have here is two teams with a complete different frame of mind. The Royals are having fun and they’re enjoying coming to the park. They wish the season was just starting. The White Sox have been this season’s most disappointing team. The players are miserable and frustrated, the fans are frustrated and everyone just wants to call it a year already. Everett Teaford is a guy to keep on your radar for next year. He’s had two excellent starts in two tries since being inserted into the rotation. Teaford has a good strikeout rate, a strong groundball bias profile and a 2.54 ERA over 25 appearances. John Danks is like the rest of the White Sox. He just wants to go home. Play: Kansas City +124 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin
PHILADELPHIA CREW

25 DIME
ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE OF THE YEAR
Texas Tech