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Tuesday 8/13/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' 8 (-105) between Pittsburgh and San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday.
The Padres have been red hot at the plate for weeks while the Pirates have also shown some progress offensively in recent weeks as well. While Petco Park is without a doubt a pitcher-friendly venue, I'm anticipating plenty of runs on the board on Tuesday night.
Luis Ortiz will take the ball for Pittsburgh. Current Padres hitters have gone a modest 11-for-41 (.268) but with an .879 OPS against him. Ortiz checks in on a downturn having allowed 10 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings of work in August.
Michael King will counter for San Diego. He has already reached a career-high in terms of innings pitched. Just last week he faced these same Pirates, allowing three earned runs on six hits over five innings in an eventual 9-8 extra innings victory. King has recorded an ERA just shy of 1.5 runs higher at home compared to on the road this season. Take the over.
(Pirates +1.5 -115) — We are leaning toward the underdog in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider how the Pirates are 25-12 against the runline as underdogs on the road and Luis Ortiz's 3-1 record to go with a 2.70 ERA in his road starts.
This is a 1% free play on the Pirates on the runline.
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS-103 for our Tuesday Free Play. Atlanta won a pitcher's duel series opening 1-0 in 10 innings to take a one-game lead over the Mets for the final spot in the National League Wild Card. The Braves are now 8-4 in extra-inning games this season so they have been on the fortunate side in that regard and they are now 2-2 on this roadtrip following a series loss in Colorado as they remain right at .500 on the road at 30-30. They opened as a -115 favorite but that has come down and even flipped in some spots. The Giants fell 2.5 games behind Atlanta in the Wild Card standings and this is a big opportunity with two more elite starters on deck to close this series so they have a chance to overtake the Braves. San Francisco is now 35-25 at home despite two straight losses here and based on name, it does not have the advantage in the pitching matchup but we feel the opposite. Kyle Harrison has had a decent season with a 4.08 ERA through 20 starts and he has been much better at home with a 3.47 ERA in 10 outings. He has allowed four runs or more five times but four of those were on the highway, three against some very elite offenses. Atlanta may be considered elite but it remains banged up and the Braves are 21-13 against left-handed starters but they are ranked No. 14, including No. 8 in the National League in OPS at .747. Charlie Morton is coming off a horrible start as he allowed eight runs in just 2.2 innings against the Brewers and he has been all over the place this season. He has a 4.47 ERA and is pitching to a 4.60 xERA, both of which are his worst full season ERAs since 2015 and age seems to be creeping in. After allowing 28 home runs in 2022, he seemed to have solved that problem last season by giving up just 14 in almost the same inning count but he has already allowed 18 in 2024 in close to 50 fewer innings than last season. Play (912) San Francisco Giants
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