UFC 146

[ctm0808]

I caught it at -160 and -195, I'd actually still take -270 in a parlay, really confident that Nelson has this easy.

[zY|]

Struve is going to tap Hunt with a quickness. I'd love to see Mark blow his doors off, though.

[poopoo333]

I'm sure you'll be able to get Varner at +440 now

I'd rather get Barboza -700

[poopoo333]

The more I look at it...Cain is not losing this fight. Hopefully the line keeps dropping

[poopoo333]

The more I look at it...Cain is not losing this fight. Hopefully the line keeps dropping

Yeah, I agree. May as well parlay him with JDS ITD.

[Luke]

The more I look at it...Cain is not losing this fight. Hopefully the line keeps dropping

Yeah, I agree. May as well parlay him with JDS ITD.

talking to yourself poopoo

[poopoo333]

talking to yourself poopoo

BOL!

Although, I really am trying to decide on a Cain/JDS parlay..will probably go pretty big on it assuming Cormier comes through. I really don't think anybody sees an out for Mir here at all. But does anybody see an out for Bigfoot? I don't see him 1 punch KOing Cain, wearing him out against the fence and outboxing him against the fence, or pulling a Fedor smash on Cain.

[poopoo333]

Also real surprised to see Struve +115

[Svino]

BOL!

Although, I really am trying to decide on a Cain/JDS parlay..will probably go pretty big on it assuming Cormier comes through. I really don't think anybody sees an out for Mir here at all. But does anybody see an out for Bigfoot? I don't see him 1 punch KOing Cain, wearing him out against the fence and outboxing him against the fence, or pulling a Fedor smash on Cain.

I do like the Cain odds more than the JDS odds. I'll probably bet that.

[poopoo333]

I do like the Cain odds more than the JDS odds. I'll probably bet that.

I know prop bets can be risky, but instead of taking JDS @-525 or whatever, it's -365 ITD. Really not sure how JDS won't be able to get Mir out of there in 5 rounds. Mir will fold by the 3rd if it even makes it out of the first imo

[Svino]

I know prop bets can be risky, but instead of taking JDS @-525 or whatever, it's -365 ITD. Really not sure how JDS won't be able to get Mir out of there in 5 rounds. Mir will fold by the 3rd if it even makes it out of the first imo

I don't know about that. Given JDS at -525, what would you rather bet:

JDS ITD at -365
or JDS by dec at +1720

Personally, I'd take the second one.

-525 has an implied win percentage of 84%, -365 an implied percentage of 78.5%, so preferring -365 ITD would suggest that JDS has less than a 5.5% chance (equivalent to about +1720) of winning by decision.

Generally, people underestimate the odds that HW fights will go the distance, which is why live betting on UFC 146 will probably either make me rich or poor.

[Luke]

Cain's chin concerns me.

[poopoo333]

Cain's chin concerns me.

Yeah, I thought of that, but I also wonder if Bigfoot has that type of 1 punch power. I mean, he punche Arlovski flush many times, and I am pretty sure six year olds have better chins than AA. I just think Cain will be too fast, and he will just get Silva down with a single leg pretty easy, if not he will get him up against the cage/win the battle there and get the TD. Silva isn't that good from his back, I think he is too big and clumsy to pull off any fancy subs/sweeps on somebody like Cain.

HOWEVER, Strikeforce HWs have been pwing UFC HWs since the crossover.

[poopoo333]

Mark Hunt Out of UFC 146; Lavar Johnson Now Meets Stefan Struve

....

[SPX]

No explanation as to why?