UFC 131 JDS vs Carwin

[SPX]

JDS just hit -158 on Pinnacle. I hope it's the start of a new trend.

[Thewisemann]

Einimo +200, thoughts scientist

[MMA_scientist]

Einimo +200, thoughts scientist

Pass. He hasn't fought in 5 years and hasn't competed in bjj (as far as I know) in 8 years. The bet to make on that fight is that it doesn't go the distance. I have no idea what Einemo is going to look like... he could be a beast or he could just get his head taken off. My guess is he gasses out in round 2 and gets KOd.

I think he has the potential to beat just about any heavyweight just based on his ADCC win alone, but without having seen him fight, it is pure guesswork. If he was fighting someone less imposing physically, I would consider it, but Herman is a big experienced guy that packs a lot of power.

[Thewisemann]

OK, ill pass.

[poopoo333]

I think Maia is going to win. Munoz will probably even get out struck here, I am not sure if he is going to be throwing those huge shots like he usually does since he will leave himself open and will more than likely want to avoid the clinch. I doubt Munoz will shoot, and I think it's probably obvious that Munoz will want to "sprawl and brawl". Munoz didn't show the best TDD against Simpson either and put himself in some bad positions against Grove, Simpson, and Okami. I think in the clinch Maia will have the advantage and will get Munoz down and do his thing.

Any thoughts?

[Ludo]

I think Maia is going to win. Munoz will probably even get out struck here, I am not sure if he is going to be throwing those huge shots like he usually does since he will leave himself open and will more than likely want to avoid the clinch. I doubt Munoz will shoot, and I think it's probably obvious that Munoz will want to "sprawl and brawl". Munoz didn't show the best TDD against Simpson either and put himself in some bad positions against Grove, Simpson, and Okami. I think in the clinch Maia will have the advantage and will get Munoz down and do his thing.

Any thoughts?

I think Maia is the all around better fighter as far as technical skill goes. The only thing that worries Me is the fact that Munoz is super strong.

[SPX]

The only thing that worries Me is the fact that Munoz is super strong.

What makes you think so? Hamill shrugged him off with ease.

[poopoo333]

I think K Sos will beat Pokrajac pretty easily. K Sos will bring the fight down and get on top where he will have the advantage. Vladdy and Bonnar were both able to neutralize and dominate him down there.

[Vandelay]

Is everyone just assuming that Maia has a huge grappling advantage and will automatically tap munoz withing a minute or two of being on the ground? Lets not forget that Munoz is training with the nogs and jacare. I'm sure he's improved on the ground in the last 2 years and can probably survive if he's on top and win a decision that way.

[SPX]

I don't know how much he's improved over the last several months, but I remember Grove came very close to locking up a choke on him. And if Kendall Grove can do it, Demian Maia can definitely do it.

[Svino]

Is everyone just assuming that Maia has a huge grappling advantage and will automatically tap munoz withing a minute or two of being on the ground? Lets not forget that Munoz is training with the nogs and jacare. I'm sure he's improved on the ground in the last 2 years and can probably survive if he's on top and win a decision that way.

I could see the fight ending up a little more like Maia / Miranda, or Souza / Villasenor with Maia winning a control-based grappling match w/o a sub. But yeah, I do think Munoz's likely to get swept or submitted if he's on top.

[MMA_scientist]

Is everyone just assuming that Maia has a huge grappling advantage and will automatically tap munoz withing a minute or two of being on the ground? Lets not forget that Munoz is training with the nogs and jacare. I'm sure he's improved on the ground in the last 2 years and can probably survive if he's on top and win a decision that way.

I think you are vastly underestimating Maia's grappling chops as well as the skill difference between Maia and Munoz (or even Nog) on the mat. I am not saying he will tap Munoz, in fact, I don't think he will. But the odds of Munoz being able to just hang out in Maia's guard for 15 minutes are very slim. There is more to Maia's game than guard submissions. Coming in with gnp gameplan is a surefire way to lose against a top grappler. Munoz has to win on his feet, and maybe mix in a few takedowns with no extended time on the mat. I think Maia would lock up a triangle within 2 minutes if he didn't get a sweep first. Maia has been gassing in round 3 since he got on the roids, so Munoz may be able to top control him in round 3, but I still doubt it. That said, Munoz had a good chance in this fight IMO because Maia comes in and engages. He will probably walk straight forward the entire time like he always does. Munoz hits like a truck and could definitely catch him.

[Mr. IWS]

Maia has been gassing in round 3 since he got on the roids,

This cracked me up.

But I do agree, Maia is fuckin nasty on the ground.

[Luke]

Lets not forget that Munoz is training with the nogs and jacare. I'm sure he's improved on the ground in the last 2 years and can probably survive if he's on top and win a decision that way.

That idea worked out real well in the Okami fight huh?

[Luke]

More lines out