UFC 131 JDS vs Carwin

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    #331
    Hey BJJ guy, do you know anything about Vagner Rocha?

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    • MMA_scientist
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2009
      • 9857

      #332
      Originally posted by poopoo333
      Hey BJJ guy, do you know anything about Vagner Rocha?
      Yeah, I looked into it. He is a blackbelt under Pablo Popovitch, got some regional grappling titles. Not a world class guy or anything bet definitely good, better than Cerrone. I really don't think Cerrone's grappling is that good. He has a dangerous triangle... but that's really it. His takedown defense is pretty good though. He will probably blow the Rocha guy away, but I am not willing to go against him when I think he has a clear advantage in one area. I stay away from favorites where the dog has a clear edge in an area. That said, I don't know what his takedowns are like or his standup. He may not have the ability to get it down.
      2012: +19.33
      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #333
        Originally posted by MMA_scientist

        How in gods name does Garcia ever win a fight with punches like that ? I honestly think IF I could get down to 155 with a 6 week training camp I could beat him
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99906

          #334
          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          Also:

          LOL at Jenny, trying to squeeze through the holes in the cage backing up.
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          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #335
            Originally posted by IWS Zak
            LOL at Jenny, trying to squeeze through the holes in the cage backing up.
            Lol.......Zaks on a roll
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              #336
              Originally posted by SPX
              Anyone else think the Mexecutioner might be a good play at +155?
              Yes. Beltran will probably turn this into an ugly brawl and win. Beltran has a way better camp. Rosa is still working (I think full time), is only training part time, and he is a fat HW that used to fight at LHW. I think a lot of this will be spent against the cage.

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              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                #337
                Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                Pass. He hasn't fought in 5 years and hasn't competed in bjj (as far as I know) in 8 years. The bet to make on that fight is that it doesn't go the distance. I have no idea what Einemo is going to look like... he could be a beast or he could just get his head taken off. My guess is he gasses out in round 2 and gets KOd.

                I think he has the potential to beat just about any heavyweight just based on his ADCC win alone, but without having seen him fight, it is pure guesswork. If he was fighting someone less imposing physically, I would consider it, but Herman is a big experienced guy that packs a lot of power.
                Dave Herman has a shit gas tank as well. If it is competitive in round 1, I think Herman will gas bad. I don't think Herman should be -250 at all

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                • SPX
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 23875

                  #338
                  Originally posted by poopoo333
                  Yes. Beltran will probably turn this into an ugly brawl and win. Beltran has a way better camp. Rosa is still working (I think full time), is only training part time, and he is a fat HW that used to fight at LHW. I think a lot of this will be spent against the cage.
                  Word. Well I'm glad we agree. Like I said, I already put half a unit on Beltran.
                  I heart cock

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                  • poopoo333
                    MMA *********
                    • Jan 2010
                    • 18302

                    #339
                    I put 2u on Beltran, the line is off imo

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                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      #340

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                      • poopoo333
                        MMA *********
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 18302

                        #341
                        ^^lmfao. Carwin is one awkward actor. Good job Paul Heyman.

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                        • Luke
                          10 year vet
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 30060

                          #342
                          I just cant bet JDS,if it was close to even then maybe but Carwin is the better wrestler and hits like a train
                          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                          • MMA_scientist
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2009
                            • 9857

                            #343
                            Yeah, this is a definite no bet for me... though I do think JDS will win.
                            2012: +19.33
                            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              #344
                              I thought Brock might take it before because of his wrestling but I don't think Carwin is quite as good at that. Carwin has dropped to about 250 pounds though so we might see something new from him. I wouldn't be suprised to see him win.
                              1 unit = 300 $

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                              • MMA_scientist
                                Senior Member
                                • Nov 2009
                                • 9857

                                #345
                                I don't think Carwin is as good at offensive wrestling as Brock, actually getting takedowns. But yeah, I could see this going either way. I really hope JDS just obliterates that steroid cheat though...
                                2012: +19.33
                                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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