UFC 131 JDS vs Carwin
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5d still has not opened up all the props. The only fight they have all props is Carwin/JDS. 5D shutting me down here.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Sorry man I wasn't talking shit on your parlays. I just think parlaying large moneylines over the long haul, say a 1000 plays is -ev. All your winnings could be wiped away with two or three loses in a row. I've seen similar systems in college football (parlaying large moneylines) one guy hit 90% over three years but a couple upsets completely sank him. Now I know mma may be different but there is a reason Tony at 5dimes allows you to play these. He knows the math is on his side. Tony's shop isn't known to be pro friendly and he limits winners making +ev plays very quickly to a hundred dollars or less per bet. May be your system can work, but I don't think 5dimes is the kind of shop that would take that action if they didn't know the risk of failure was high.Comment
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Do you know aabout Tony doing this first hand? What books do you use?Sorry man I wasn't talking shit on your parlays. I just think parlaying large moneylines over the long haul, say a 1000 plays is -ev. All your winnings could be wiped away with two or three loses in a row. I've seen similar systems in college football (parlaying large moneylines) one guy hit 90% over three years but a couple upsets completely sank him. Now I know mma may be different but there is a reason Tony at 5dimes allows you to play these. He knows the math is on his side. Tony's shop isn't known to be pro friendly and he limits winners making +ev plays very quickly to a hundred dollars or less per bet. May be your system can work, but I don't think 5dimes is the kind of shop that would take that action if they didn't know the risk of failure was high.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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many more threads about it.
the greek and Bookmaker accept pro action.Comment
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I would bet Massenzio @ +325. I just don't like how he is coming in on less than a weeks notice/a weight class higher then usual. But K Sos said in an interview with Helwani he hasn't been preparing/has prepared for a wrestler in a long time, so if the size advantage isn't too much, I can see K Sos having a hard time.Comment
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