Strikeforce Dallas June 18th

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  • Luke
    10 year vet
    • Oct 2006
    • 30060

    #286
    Originally posted by SPX
    Don't you mean . . . -100?!?!
    you're not serious . . . . . right?
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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    • Svino
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2010
      • 3873

      #287
      Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
      The Greek and Cris the biggest offshore books in the world still have 250 Dollar limits on mma openers. You have to ask yourself why are the limits so low?
      They keep the limits low because they know their game is beatable. I mean, just look at our MMA tracker.

      Comment

      • flyinggogoplata
        Banned
        • Jun 2011
        • 1048

        #288
        Originally posted by Svino
        They keep the limits low because they know their game is beatable. I mean, just look at our MMA tracker.
        exactly, so worrying about over estimating your edge at $250 limits is a waste of time.

        Comment

        • SPX
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2009
          • 23875

          #289
          Originally posted by Svino
          LOL, SPX. Why do American bookies still use the moneyline notation. It's so dumb.
          I'm cool with it. I don't get that decimal shit.
          I heart cock

          Comment

          • SPX
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 23875

            #290
            Originally posted by Luke
            you're not serious . . . . . right?


            BOL!!!!!!!!!!!
            I heart cock

            Comment

            • SPX
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2009
              • 23875

              #291
              Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
              exactly, so worrying about over estimating your edge at $250 limits is a waste of time.
              I'll be happy when the day comes that I'm pissed off at such a "low" limit.

              It is pretty low, though.
              I heart cock

              Comment

              • flyinggogoplata
                Banned
                • Jun 2011
                • 1048

                #292
                Originally posted by Luke
                Someone find the thread I explained this is
                I know why I was trying to make a point.

                Comment

                • flyinggogoplata
                  Banned
                  • Jun 2011
                  • 1048

                  #293
                  Also with fight metric selling databases and mma becoming more popular I see math models coming in play. Lines will get way sharper almost to a point where they can't be beaten except at opening.

                  Comment

                  • SPX
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2009
                    • 23875

                    #294
                    Originally posted by Svino
                    They keep the limits low because they know their game is beatable. I mean, just look at our MMA tracker.
                    Isn't this the case with all sports, though?
                    I heart cock

                    Comment

                    • flyinggogoplata
                      Banned
                      • Jun 2011
                      • 1048

                      #295
                      Originally posted by SPX
                      Isn't this the case with all sports, though?
                      Not that low of limits. Major Markets like the NFL are very hard to beat straight up without betting steam or stale lines. So limits are much higher, pinny will take 2000-5000 on openers. 20k and higher on game day.
                      Last edited by flyinggogoplata; 06-17-2011, 10:27 PM.

                      Comment

                      • Svino
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2010
                        • 3873

                        #296
                        Originally posted by SPX
                        Isn't this the case with all sports, though?
                        To some extent, but I think MMA betting is intrinsically much more beatable than (say) baseball or football.

                        Comment

                        • Luke
                          10 year vet
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 30060

                          #297
                          Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
                          Also with fight metric selling databases and mma becoming more popular I see math models coming in play. Lines will get way sharper almost to a point where they can't be beaten except at opening.
                          There is a statistician already working on predictive algorithm fight outcome application for fightmetric
                          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                          Comment

                          • SPX
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2009
                            • 23875

                            #298
                            Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
                            Not that low of limits. Major Markets like the NFL are very hard to beat straight up without betting steam or stale lines. So limits are much higher, pinny will take 2000-5000 on openers. 20k and higher on game day.
                            I'm not talking about limits . . . I'm talking about all sports being beatable.
                            I heart cock

                            Comment

                            • SPX
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2009
                              • 23875

                              #299
                              Originally posted by Svino
                              To some extent, but I think MMA betting is intrinsically much more beatable than (say) baseball or football.
                              Why do you say that?
                              I heart cock

                              Comment

                              • SPX
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2009
                                • 23875

                                #300
                                Originally posted by Luke
                                There is a statistician already working on predictive algorithm fight outcome application for fightmetric
                                Tell us more. . .
                                I heart cock

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