BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

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  • SPX
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2009
    • 23875

    #406
    Well . . . welcome, MMABuddha.

    Thanks for that write-up.

    And I agree with you. I was hoping to get Jorgensen at -300 or better. I won't take him at his current line.
    I heart cock

    Comment

    • MMA_scientist
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2009
      • 9857

      #407
      I don't think Curran has a clear path to victory. I expect Scotty to force a standup fight and shoot a few takedowns near the end of the round to win a decision. Curran has won a couple of fights against no-names, but the fact that he has gone to a decision in all of those fights doesn't bode well for him here. I don't think he can win a decision unless he just surprises Jorg with massively improved wrestling.
      2012: +19.33
      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #408
        Originally posted by SPX
        GodDAMN!

        Vera -450?

        And here I was hoping to get him at under -200. . .

        negged for even thinking about betting that bum
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


        Comment

        • Luke
          10 year vet
          • Oct 2006
          • 30060

          #409
          Originally posted by SPX
          Marshall has some quality wins.

          ...........................................
          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


          Comment

          • Ludo
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2010
            • 4931

            #410
            Originally posted by MMABuddha
            Jorgensen has always been overrated in my view, a supposed 'world class' wrestler who fell for the same kneetap a million times against Cruz. I understand Cruz is arguably the best wrestler in the division but you can tell the difference in wrestling skill between him and DJ because DJ made Cruz work for it constantly with different tries while Jorgensen couldn't figure out the kneetap to save his life.
            I wouldn't overthink the kneetap thing with Cruz. He gets it at least once on everyone, he even got Faber down with it a time or two. Fact is Jorgensen wasn't ready for that title shot and Cruz mixes things up so well that the same knee tap works because of how he wades in for strikes. It's hard to react to it as opposed to a jab or a four strike combo. While Johnson may have been better against the kneetap he couldn't defend the single to save his life. I don't know that I would chalk it up so much to a great difference in wrestling skill as I would a difference in speed between Jorgensen and Johnson.
            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

            2012: +20.311u

            Comment

            • Ludo
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2010
              • 4931

              #411
              Originally posted by SPX
              That's some crazy ass shit. Marshall has some quality wins.
              Like that moral victory in lasting so long against Cane.
              2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
              Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
              Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
              Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

              2012: +20.311u

              Comment

              • Vandelay
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2010
                • 1934

                #412
                jorgensen, vera, askren, not cc by sub, not roop by sub pays out at about even odds in case anyone was interested.

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  #413
                  Originally posted by Vandelay
                  jorgensen, vera, askren, not cc by sub, not roop by sub pays out at about even odds in case anyone was interested.
                  That's a good one... I think I will play that

                  Comment

                  • Vandelay
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2010
                    • 1934

                    #414
                    wish i woulda caught the askren opener. Hieron's chin is pretty weak, hes not really a power puncher, and i doubt he can stuff askrens takedowns enough to win a decision. Can always hedge out if jorgensen and vera win too.

                    Comment

                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      #415
                      Originally posted by Vandelay
                      wish i woulda caught the askren opener. Hieron's chin is pretty weak, hes not really a power puncher, and i doubt he can stuff askrens takedowns enough to win a decision. Can always hedge out if jorgensen and vera win too.
                      Yeah, Askren is the riskiest one in that parlay...but I still like it.

                      Comment

                      • Ludo
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 4931

                        #416
                        I'm actually tempted to take Heiron at those odds. But this is the wrong thread for that.
                        2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                        Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                        Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                        Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                        2012: +20.311u

                        Comment

                        • SPX
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2009
                          • 23875

                          #417
                          Originally posted by Luke
                          ...........................................
                          Originally posted by Ludo
                          Like that moral victory in lasting so long against Cane.

                          How about Jason Brilz?
                          I heart cock

                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            #418
                            Originally posted by SPX
                            How about Jason Brilz?
                            Aside from almost pulling it off against Minotoro what has Jason Brilz ever done in his entire career worth mentioning? Literally half of his opponents to date have been Wikipedia red names.
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              #419
                              wrong thread but Heiron has a good shot against Askren. Line is wayy off.
                              1 unit = 300 $

                              Comment

                              • SPX
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2009
                                • 23875

                                #420
                                Originally posted by Ludo
                                Aside from almost pulling it off against Minotoro what has Jason Brilz ever done in his entire career worth mentioning? Literally half of his opponents to date have been Wikipedia red names.
                                Well be beat Tim Boetsch. I hope we can at least agree that that is "worth mentioning" even if Boetsch isn't a top fighter.

                                Marshall also beat Vinny Magahlaes, which I don't consider to be a GREAT win, but still noteworthy.
                                I heart cock

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