BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

[edman5555]

Siver seems to have landed more power punches in MMA but Cerrone is an accomplished Muay Thai fighter.

[SPX]

I think it goes to a decision and those are good odds. Seems that whenever I'm just sure a fight goes to a decision that some crazy shit happens,though.

[edman5555]

yeah i think cerrone will have some trouble knocking out Siver but he could get him down and sub him. Siver on the other hand..he has some knockout power and sub ability. He latches those chokes on really hard and really quick.

[sbjj]

I think it goes to a decision and those are good odds. Seems that whenever I'm just sure a fight goes to a decision that some crazy shit happens,though.

Totally the truth. Hopkins-Dawson over was like -500 if I recall, maybe higher. And we all saw what happened there.

Why does it always seem like crazy shit works against you...never for you.

[SPX]

That's a damn good question.

Two fights that I got burned pretty bad on for the decision prop was Stout/Edwards and Rashad/Tito. I've backed off a lot on those props since then, basically only betting them if they're at + odds.

[edman5555]

yeah + odds is a good idea or any fight with dominic cruz/gsp.

[trotterz]

Not to mention hioki beat sandro pretty handily as well.

have you ever seen the scorecard for that fight?
I can'T beleive that a judge would see the fight with 2 10-8 round for hioki, and another one gave the same rounds to sandro

Hioki defeated Sandro via unanimous decision (49–48, 48–47, 50–43) to become the new SRC Featherweight Champion.

[Vandelay]

Japanese judging is about as shady as bellator. Hioki-Sandro was close the first round or two, then Hioki took over. Sandro hit him with some bombs in the first or second round and Hioki just shook em off.

[SPX]

So is Hioki going to actually do Japan proud over here in the States?

[Vandelay]

you guys are getting lazy. I guess the full props came out around noon.

[poopoo333]

Magic Prop parlay ideas?

[Vandelay]

dont feel really comfortable with any of the bets except for not roop and not cro cop by sub. I might parlay them with bama, oklahoma, nebraska, and virginia tech this weekend. comest out to -500

[poopoo333]

Yeah there doesn't seem like any good "lock" parlays for this card.

[MMA_scientist]

Magic Prop parlay ideas?

I tried to come up with something, but nothing came in better than -700. "Not Diaz, CroCop, Roop, Kongo, Bart by sub" is -748, that is the best I could do. If you add Cerrone or Siver in there, it would probably be less than -500... but I think anything could happen in Cerrone/Siver.

I added "not cro cop by sub" to the 2011 parlay. I feel pretty strongly that Roop won't sub Hioki too.


I think I am going to bet Siver straight up though.

[edman5555]

I think Siver might win as well..It is at least in the area of 50/50. Siver has been really impressive thus far. I don't know why he never gets any respect. He always comes in as the dog. He damn near killed Sotirpopodopolous. Held off Wiman, arguably. Cerrone is coming off a big win + win streak though. I don't think CC subs Nelson either, frankly I don't think he has much of a chance to knock him out either. Never know though, he has knocked out a lot of men in his career. I am not sure whether or not Nelson can muscle him around the cage. I also don't know what happens if he gets CC down and gets in his guard. That might spell trouble for CC. I might take the fight to go the distance if I can get a good line on it.

Any news on BJ/Diaz being a 3 rounder or a 5 rounder?

I saw a video of CC driving around with Pat Barry singing to the radio. It looks like CC is hanging out in America. Maybe he is training with an American camp. That might help..

Kongos line went up to +130 then came back down. I am not happy with that. I'd like to pick it up again around there. I might throw 5u on him. I watched an Interview with Mitrione and he seems super confident..that said I have to go with my personal calculations and bet Kongo.

I pray they keep BJ/Diaz 3 rounds. We already lost GSP by 5 round decision. I don't need to be robbed of anymore plays.

B Vera - I am thinking he will be the better play. I have to watch some more tape on his opponent though. I just see Vera being hard to take down and much better on the feet. This could be a decent sized play for me.