I favor Cerrone, but I think he should be like -150 not no crazy ass -225. I will be on Siver here. He may not get it done, but he has a much better chance than the line indicates. Like you say, he has won a lot of fights in the past that he was expected to lose.
Also, Cerrone is just kind of hot or cold in his striking. He did great against Oliveira on the feet, but was getting beat by Paul Kelly before he took it to the ground. He destroyed Varner in their last fight, but was getting outstruck by Varner in their fight before that. So you never know what you're going to get.
I'll probably be on Vera too as long as the line is decent. He should win. But Marshall has done better than expected in the past and Vera has certainly disappointed in the past.
Also, Cerrone is just kind of hot or cold in his striking. He did great against Oliveira on the feet, but was getting beat by Paul Kelly before he took it to the ground. He destroyed Varner in their last fight, but was getting outstruck by Varner in their fight before that. So you never know what you're going to get.
I'll probably be on Vera too as long as the line is decent. He should win. But Marshall has done better than expected in the past and Vera has certainly disappointed in the past.

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