11-10-13

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Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior November 10, 2013 6:31 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football

207 Buffalo Bills +3: EJ Manuel is slated to start at QB for the Bills. That changes everything. Steelers in a world of hurt defensively.

224 San Diego Chargers +7: This is the season for the Chargers, who should also be boosted by the Sunday night showcase with Denver.

NBA Basketball

501 San Antonio Spurs -2½: The Spurs and all their depth should take advantage of a Knicks team without their best defensive player Tyson Chandler.

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Raiders at Giants: What bettors need to know

Oakland Raiders at New York Giants (-9.5, 44)

The New York Giants are rather shockingly still alive in the NFC East, where a two-game winning streak is cause for much celebration. The Giants will look to turn that into a three-game run when they host the Oakland Raiders on Sunday. New York is in last place in the East after its 0-6 start but is beginning a three-game homestand and has three divisional games remaining against the Washington Redskins (two) and the Dallas Cowboys (one).

The big change during the Giants’ two wins came on the defensive side of the ball, where they held Minnesota and Philadelphia to seven points apiece after surrendering an average of 34.8 during the 0-6 start. New York’s strength is in stopping the run while the Raiders do their best work on the ground with Terrelle Pryor and Darren McFadden. Oakland had plenty of trouble stropping the pass against its last NFC East opponent, the Philadelphia Eagles, who threw for seven touchdowns in a 49-20 shellacking last week.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The Giants are -9.5 home favorites. The total opened at 43.5 and moved up to 44.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid 50s with a 15 mph wind blowing across the field.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Raiders (+6.0) - Giants (+2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Giants -6.5

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-5): Pryor leads the team in rushing with 485 yards and is 45 yards shy of passing Rich Gannon for the club record for a quarterback. Where Pryor struggles is in the passing game, with four interceptions and no touchdowns in the past two contests, and he could have his running attempts limited due to a knee sprain. Oakland is trying to move on from its terrible effort against the Eagles. “Absolutely, there’s no question there’s a bad taste in our mouth right now, but that one’s over with,” head coach Dennis Allen said. “That one’s done and I can promise you we’ll have a bunch of guys who will be ready to get back to work.”

ABOUT THE GIANTS (2-6): One of the reasons the defense was able to be so effective the last two games is because Eli Manning and the offense weren’t putting it into bad positions with turnovers. The former Super Bowl MVP threw 15 interceptions in the first six weeks but was not picked off in either of the two victories while focusing on shorter passing attempts. New York is ranked 30th in the league in rushing at an average of 69.9 yards but is expecting Andre Brown to make his season debut in the backfield after sitting out the first eight games with a broken leg.

TRENDS:

* Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games with a losing record.
* Under is 8-1 in Raiders last nine games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Giants RB David Wilson (neck) was placed on season-ending injured reserve while RB Brandon Jacobs (hamstring) is questionable.

2. McFadden (hamstring) was limited to five carries against the Eagles and is questionable for Sunday.

3. New York WR Victor Cruz, who has 18 catches for 282 yards in two games against AFC opponents this season, sat out practice on Wednesday with a neck injury but expects to play Sunday.

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Tale of the Tape: Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints

Two teams with shaky leads in their respective divisions face off Sunday night when the New Orleans Saints entertain the Dallas Cowboys.

This game features the second-highest total of the week, and with good reason - both offenses can put up points in bunches. The Cowboys come in with a one-game lead over the Philadelphia Eagles in the mediocre NFC East, while the Saints are up a game on hard-charging Carolina in the NFC South.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

The Cowboys find themselves in the middle of the pack in terms of total yards per game (342.8, 17th) thanks to a largely one-dimensional attack. Led by polarizing quarterback Tony Romo, Dallas is ninth in the NFL in average passing yards (267.1) while its 20 touchdowns through the air are third-most in the league. The run game has been far less successful, ranked 27th overall in yards per contest (75.7) with just five touchdowns and 3.7 yards per attempt.

The Saints have had one of the league's premier pass attacks for years - and that trend has continued through the first half of this season. New Orleans ranks third in the NFL with 315.6 passing yards per game - a fraction behind the second-place Detroit Lions - and has the second-most TDs in the NFL (21). Like Dallas, the Saints have had trouble generating much offense on the ground, ranking one spot ahead of the Cowboys at 79.8 yards per game.

Edge: New Orleans

Defense

If Saints quarterback Drew Brees isn't harassed by the Dallas pass rush, it could be a long day for the Cowboys. The NFC East leaders boast one of the worst pass defenses in football, allowing the second-highest average yard total (305.2) while surrendering a whopping 16 touchdowns. Dallas does have two things working for it: one of the highest interception totals in the NFL (12) and a decent run defense (114 yards against per game, 17th).

For all the grief New Orleans has taken over its past defensive struggles, the critics have rightfully fallen silent so far in 2013. The Saints have allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards in the league (1,695) while limiting opponents to eight touchdowns against nine interceptions. New Orleans is also among the NFL leaders with 26 sacks, but remains relatively easy to run against - the Saints are allowing the eight-most yards per game on the ground (121.3).

Edge: New Orleans

Special Teams

Dallas has the best kickoff return average in the NFL at 31.1 yards per attempt, and sits tied with the Chicago Bears for third in punt-return average (14.3). The Cowboys also excel in the return game, ranked 12th in average kickoff yardage (21.5) and 13th in yards per punt return (7.6). Veteran kicker Dan Bailey has had a strong year to date - going 16-for-18 on field-goal attempts - and connected from 41 and 44 yards out in last week's narrow victory over Minnesota.

New Orleans' return team pales in comparison to that of the Cowboys, averaging the third-fewest yards per kick return (20.4) while ranking 18th in punt return average (7.8). The Saints haven't defended kick returns well - allowing a whopping 26.4 yards per attempt - but have limited foes to just 5.9 yards per punt return on 12 opportunities. Kicker Garrett Hartley has struggled from long-range, making just 7-of-11 attempts from at least 40 yards out.

Edge: Dallas

Notable Quotable

"They're probably pretty similar. Calvin's probably a bit faster but Graham is probably better at using his body, shielding you off because he is so big. He's a tough matchup because of his size and his speed. He can jump and run and he's got some shiftiness to him. So we're going to have to find him before the play and play accordingly." - Cowboys S Jeff Heath, comparing Saints TE Jimmy Graham to Detroit Lions star WR Calvin Johnson

"It's frustrating ... and it's everybody. On one play, it's not blocked correctly, on the next one it's not hitting the right hole ... it's obviously frustrating, especially as a lineman, protecting a guy like Drew Brees and becoming one-dimensional. That's not a good situation for us." - Saints T Zach Strief on his team's struggles running the ball

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Triple Threat Sports Handicapper Selection
Date: 11/10/2013
This gets your our entire day of plays - three in all - and that of course includes our Top NFL Play of the Week! Full reasoning is of course included so you know WHY you are going to win, and part of that reasoning is combined team/series trends that add up to 89%! We have two favs in the mix as well as one very live dog, and we are looking for a great day. You know what to do...Join Us! 11/10/2013


(210) 2* NY Giants (-) over Oakland [1pm] Giants seem to have gotten their act together in the two weeks before the bye, notching two wins and allowing only 14 points in those two contests, which included a 15-7 win over a Philadelphia team that just dropped 49 on Oakland last week. Also, as mentioned above they are off a bye, which is notable for most veteran teams and has been especially so for Big Blue of late as they are 5-0 SU and 3-1 ATS post bye most recently. As for the Raiders, this is just their second road game since SEPTEMBER 29th, and they have dropped their previous two road tilts by 16 and 17 points, respectively. We will lay the points in this one.

(211) 3* St Louis (+) Indianapolis [1pm] The Colts were, simply, damn lucky to win last week against Houston, and that puts them in a Go Against situation for this week's game. Note that the Texans led that game 21-3 at one point, and it also cannot be ignored that Houston was - understandably - distracted by what happened to Head Coach Kubiak on the sidelines at halftime; making it not a coincidence that the Colts staged a second half comeback. However, even with all of that Houston still outgained Indy by 169 yards last week, and now the Colts are heavy chalk - notable since favs of nine or more that are off a big time yardage deficit the previous week are covering at just a 40% clip of late in the NFL. Those are some reasons to not take the Colts, but there are reasons TO take the Rams as well. Note that St Louis easily could have won each of their last two games and thus been a far cry from 3-6. Also, cannot be ignored that Jeff Fisher - who coached in this division for years while with Tennessee - has his team 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this season against AFC South teams. Finally, note that the Colts are 0-2 ATS this season as home chalk. We expect this to be a reasonably close game, so we are taking the points.

(220) 4* San Francisco (-) over Carolina [4:05pm] Panthers have been quietly playing good ball, having won four in row, and now find themselves in the national spotlight for this one against the defending NFC champs. Often team that fly under the radar and then have a coming out party struggle with the extra attention, especially when their foe is entirely used to it, and that is the case today as San Fran is certainly no stranger to national TV games and heavy media coverage. That is a factor here, but the big reasons to like San Fran lie with an examination of recent results. Note that the Niners have won five in a row since back to back losses in September, and those wins have come by 24-31-12-14-32 points! A couple of the foes have been less than stellar to be sure, but San Fran did win by 12 and 14 against the two playoff contenders in that stretch. Finally, a look at Carolina's four game winning streak shows that they have beaten an Atlanta team that was incredibly banged up, a winless Bucs team with Mike Glennon, the Rams with Kellen Clemens playing a lot after and injury to Sam Bradford, and the Vikings with Matt Cassel. Now they get Kaepernick and a Niner offense that is getting healthy, especially off a bye. We look for San Fran to get a solid win and cover here. Thanks, and Good Luck!

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Totals 4 You NFL Selections for Early Sunday, November 10th

2013 AFC North Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Cincinnati/Baltimore under 44 1/2
You Win or we'll email you Tonight's NFL Winner Free of Charge!!!Early NFL Best Bets
Philadelphia/Green Bay over 47
Buffalo/Pittsburgh over 43 1/2
St Louis/Indianapolis over 43 1/2
Seattle/Atlanta under 45

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

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Pro Football Play of the Day November 10, 2013 6:18 AM by GT Staff

Oakland Raiders +6½ at New York Giants at 10 a.m. PST

The Giants have won two in a row after a 0-6 start, but have struggled at home as a favorite of this number. Terrelle Pryor should keep this one close.

209 Oakland Raiders +6½

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GamingToday's Consensus Picks November 10, 2013 6:24 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

207 Buffalo Bills +3: The hard luck Bills should have beat KC last week but have a good shot in this game to win straight up against an old Pittsburgh team that has gone 1-9 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points in the first of back-to-back home games and note the Bills out stated the Chiefs last week 470 to 210.

211 St. Louis Rams +10: Must take the points in this game as the Rams come off a solid try last week against the Titans and catch Indy off a miracle win in Houston, the Rams have gone 8-0 ATS when facing a team off a win that has a record of over 66 percent wins.

216 Baltimore Ravens +1½: The Bengals have gone 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS when favored on the road against a division foe.

226 New Orleans Saints -6½: The Saints will be in a nasty mood in this game coming off last weeks loss, they have gone 10-1 ATS when playing a non-division team in this situation off a loss and 6-0 ATS at home.

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Ats Insiders Club

Seattle/Atlanta under 45
Jacksonville +13
Carolina /San Fran over 43

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA NEW ORLEANS at PHOENIX
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, team that had a losing record last season
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )

NBA SAN ANTONIO at NEW YORK
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) off a road win by 10 points or more, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
68-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.3% 35.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

NBA WASHINGTON at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season
60-27 since 1997. ( 69.0% 30.3 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL NY ISLANDERS at MONTREAL
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, playing with 2 days rest
36-17 since 1997. ( 67.9% 33.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.4 units )

NHL NY ISLANDERS at MONTREAL
Play Against - Any team against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, in November games
69-36 since 1997. ( 65.7% 42.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

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Kelso 50 Arizona,50 Dallas, 15 titans,10 giants, 10 under packers

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Playersbet:

6 unit Game Of The Month: San Francisco 49'ers over Carolina Panthers

4 units: New York Giants (-7) over Oakland Raiders

3 units: Denver Broncos (-7) over San Diego Chargers

3 units:Cincinnati Bengals (PK) over Baltimore Ravens

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BANKROLL SPORTS
10* San Francisco 49ers -5.5 (NFL) / 4:05pm
5* Oakland Raiders +7.5 (NFL) / 1:00pm
5* Dallas Cowoys +6 (NFL) / 8:30pm
4* Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (NFL) / 1:00pm
4* San Diego Chargers +7 (NFL) / 4:25pm
3* Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 (NBA) / 9:35pm
2* Iowa State Cyclones -20 (CBB) / Noon

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Diamond Dog Sports

Spurs / Kicks Under 195.5

UNC Wilmington +20.5

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Paul Leiner

100* Thunder/Wizards Over 204

100* Cardinals -3

50* Raiders +7