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The Rangers are getting pounded night in and night out and tonight does not look good for them. Texas just lost their home series to the Rays three games to one, being outscored 25-7 along the way. The last met the Angels for a 4 game series in July where they lost all four games by a total score of 33-15! Now you have a no contest on the hill with Richards against Martinez to top it all off – this is a big bet here guys and we’ll be stunned if we do not cash this one.
PHILLIES ML +149 *3*
This line is crazy. Yes the Phillies are not a great we know but the Giants haven’t been any better of the last month plus. In fact, the Giants have lost 14 of their last 20 games. The Phillies have lost just 11 of their last 20. Now for the pitching matchup – Hamels vs Bumgarner. Hamels has been rock solid all year (2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 1.55 road ERA, 1.07 road WHIP) while Bumgarner can’t pitch at home to save his life. He has not had a quality home start since June 10th and currently owns a 5.60 home ERA paired with a 1.56 home WHIP.
NATIONALS -1 +100 *4*
We have a lot of trends we like here. The Nationals are great at home with a 34-24 record. The Pirates are terrible on the road with a 25-34 record. The Nationals have have 3 straight and 6 of 8. The Pirates have lost 2 straight. Roark has been lights out giving up 1 earned run in 5 of 6 starts and 7 of 10 overall. The Nationals have also won 5 of his last 6 and 7 of his last 10 starts. Morton has struggled giving up at least 4 earned runs in 4 of 6. The Pirates have lost his last 4 starts and 7 of his last 10.
BREWERS @ DODGERS – UNDER 7 -105 *2*
The Brewers have went under in 8 of 11 games and the Dodgers have went under in 7 of 11 games. The Brewers have went under in 4 of Nelson’s 5 starts this year. The Dodgers have went under in 6 of Greinke’s last 7 starts. He also has a WHIP under 1.00 at home this year.
ROYALS ML -140 *4*
The Royals look to continue their red hot run, after taking 3 of 4 against the best team in baseball. Duffy has been great this season with a 1.09 WHIP and a 2.57 ERA. Meanwhile Nolasco for the Twins has been atrocious with a 1.62 WHIP and a 5.90 ERA. The Twins are just 25-30 at home this season while the Royals are a solid 33-26 on the road.
RAYS ML -127 *3*
Alex Cobb has fantastic stuff and the Rays are re hot with wins in 6 of 8. The Yankees meanwhile have dropped 4 in a row losing by 2+ every game. Tampa has won the past 4 meetings between these teams as well.
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend’s major-league games:
Toronto Feeling Blue
The Toronto Blue Jays’ recent road woes continued Wednesday, as they dropped a 2-0 decision to the Seattle Mariners, to cap a demoralizing three-game sweep. The Blue Jays have scored just eight runs during a six-game road losing skid that has dropped their overall value to +273 units for the season. They begin a three-game set with at the Chicago White Sox (+129, 8.5) Friday.
Rays Rolling With the Under
The Tampa Bay Rays remain one of the strongest under plays in the league over the past 10 days as they prepare to open a three-game series against the visiting New York Yankees (+122, 7). Tampa went 1-2-1 over/under in its four-game series in Texas and went 2-6-2 O/U on its 10-game road swing.
Felix vs. Price? Take the Under
Expect a great Under play at any total Saturday when Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners visit David Price and the Detroit Tigers. Hernandez has gone seven innings while allowing two or fewer runs in 17 straight starts, while Price had a string of 13 consecutive quality starts snapped in Toronto.
Fister Flying
Washington Nationals right-hander Doug Fister has been nearly automatic over the past month and a half as he leads the Washington Nationals into Sunday’s tilt with the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates. Fister is 7-2 straight up over his last nine starts while giving up no fewer than three runs in any of those outings.
Pitching Notes
* Brandon McCarthy will look to keep the good times rolling as he leads the Yankees into St. Petersburg for the series opener against the Rays. McCarthy, who was the worst value pitcher in the majors prior to being dealt out of Arizona, is 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA in six starts with the Yankees.
* Godspeed, Milwaukee. The Brewers face a monumental task Saturday night as they square off with Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw, who is 14-2 with a 1.78 ERA and is 16-3 SU over his 19 starts so far this season.
* Oakland Athletics lefty Jon Lester will look to make it four straight wins with his new team Sunday as he takes on the host Atlanta Braves. Lester has won each of his first three starts in an Oakland uniform, posting a 2.49 ERA while allowing zero home runs over that stretch.
Hitting Notes
* Houston Astros slugger Chris Carter has been a hard man to keep down over the past week as he prepares to face Clay Buchholz and the host Boston Red Sox (-142, 8.5). Carter has swatted four home runs and racked up 10 RBIs over the past seven days – tops in the league over that stretch.
* Don’t expect many long bombs in Saturday’s Mariners-Tigers tilt – especially from the Seattle lineup. Price has allowed just one home run in 169 combined at-bats against members of the Mariners’ roster; that homer came courtesy second baseman Robinson Cano.
* Joe Mauer will face a friendly foe Sunday when the Minnesota Twins entertain Jeremy Guthrie and the Kansas City Royals. Mauer is 8-for-24 lifetime versus Guthrie, with two home runs and an OPS over 1.000.
Totals Streak
Baltimore Orioles (4-0-1 O/U): The Orioles finally settled for a push in their last game – a 5-3 victory over the Yankees – after putting together four straight overs on the strength of three double-digit scoring outbursts. The recent Over string moves Baltimore to 53-63-3 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
A heavy bet on the under for Friday’s Baltimore Orioles-Cleveland Indians game (T: 7) may be a strong one. Orioles lefty Wei-Yin Chen is 1-5 O/U over his last six starts, while Cleveland counterpart Corey Kluber has a minuscule 0.68 ERA since the All-Star break.
Injury Notes
* Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Neil Walker may be back in the lineup Friday against the host Washington Nationals (-148, 7) after missing the previous eight games with a back injury. The Pirates have gone 5-3 SU, 5-3 O/U and +195 units with Walker out of action.
* Colorado Rockies outfielder Michael Cuddyer will be activated from the disabled list in time for Saturday’s game against visiting Cincinnati. Cuddyer has missed the past 59 games with a fractured shoulder; the Rockies are 18-42 SU, 27-24-8 O/U and -2,153 units without him.
Weather Watch
* Wind at Comerica Park will blow out to left field at 7 mph for Friday’s game between host Detroit (-127, 8.5) and Seattle. Teams went 5-1-1 O/U in seven games under similar wind conditions a season ago, combining to bat .297.
* Fans at Fenway Park will see wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph when the host Boston Red Sox face Houston on Saturday night. Teams went 1-5 O/U in six games with the wind blowing out to center in 2013, averaging just 1.5 homers – well below the stadium average of 1.85.
Umpire Note of the Day
The home team is 5-1 in umpire Cory Blaser’s last six games calling balls and strikes. Blaser will be behind home plate Friday night when the Red Sox entertain the Astros.
** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 12:55 p.m. ET Friday
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