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Amount: 2 Units (Regular-sized bet)
•KC is 18-4 in their last 22 games
•Since 4/15, KC is 5-0 as road chalk of -130 or more (margin +3.2 rpg)
•Duffy owns a team record of 4-0 as chalk this season after a start in which he walked more than two batters (margin +6 rpg)
•Duffy owns a team record of 5-0 as chalk this season in night time starts (margin +4.2 rpg)
•Brian Dozier is the only Twins hitter that has had decent success against Duffy in more than a handful of at-bats
•Nolasco is making his first start since coming off the DL
•More than a handful of KC hitters have had very good success against Nolasco
•Twins are 0-13 this season when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher (margin -3.1 rpg)
•Since 4/27, Twins are 0-6 as home dogs of +130 or more (margin -4.2 rpg)
•KC bullpen more than capable of closing the door on this one tonight
Andre Gomes | MLB RunLine
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 973 Los Angeles Angels RL-1.5 (w/ G. Richards) @ -130 / 1.77 on BetOnline
We've faded the Rangers last night, and w/ tonight's pitching matchup Richards vs. Martinez I have no other choice than fading them once again.
We are dealing w/ a rested team that will face a struggling pitcher. After some rough performances, Nicholas Martinez is finally coming from a decent outing in which he allowed 2 ER's in 5IP's of work. Still, there are some red flags about that performance as his pitch count = ridiculous high 20.4 P/IP number! No wonder he couldn't pass the 5th inning even though he threw 102 pitches! He has already faced LAA lineup, so the "surprise factor" won't help him in here.
On the other end, Garrett Richards is coming from another decent performance. He has faced some potent offenses lately like DET, BAL or LAD and has been able to give his team a chance to win. With this pitching mismatch favoring LAA, I expect them to roll past the Rangers tonight.
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