10-31-15

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Norm Hitzges
COLLEGE FOOTBALL

DOUBLE PLAYS:

N. C. State +10 1/2 Clemson
San Diego State -3 1/2 Colorado State


SINGLE PLAYS:

So Florida +7 Navy
Appalachian State -24 Troy
Iowa -17 Maryland
USC -5 1/2 Cal
Temple +10 1/2 Notre Dame
Houston -12 Vanderbilt
Iowa State +5 1/2 Texas
So. Mississippi -24 1/2 UTEP
No. Texas +7 UTSA

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EZWINNERS

2* (136) NC State +10.5
2* (151) Georgia +2

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NORTHCOAST SPORTS
Early Bird – Wisconsin -19
Underdog Pow – Virginia +6
Power Plays – 4* So Mississippi -22.5
Economy Club – Marshall -19
Big Dog – Minnesota +14 +470

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SPORTS LAB

10 Units – Colorado St +3.5
10 Units – Oregon St +24
7 Units – UTEP +24.5
7 Units – Virginia +6
5 Units – Syracuse +21

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Fat Jack


#136 NORTH CAROLINA STATE +10
#151 GEORGIA +3
#164 IOWA STATE +6
#166 PENN STATE -4
#168 HOUSTON -12
#181 WESTERN KENTUCKY -24
#184 SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI -24

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Greg Dempson
Vanderbilt Commodores at Houston Cougars, (game #167 at 7:00 ET)


These teams have met but once and that was at the conclusion of the 2013 season in the Compass Bowl and I’m certain that Houston has had this date circled for quite some time as they were on the wrong end of a 41–24 score in Birmingham, Alabama on January 4, 2014. In that bowl game the Commodores utilized the skills of wide receiver Jordan Matthews who scored 2 touchdowns on 5 catches for 153 yards. Matthews is now a member of the Philadelphia Eagles and Vanderbilt is certainly lacking a playmaker of his ability as they are averaging only 14.3 PPG away from home and getting it done on defense allowing an average of 19.7 PPG.


As for Houston, ranked #18 and 7–0 this season, offense hasn’t been a problem as they are averaging 53.3 PPG vs. an average of 22 PPG as a host. On the surface it would appear that Houston is the go to play here plus they are favored by only 12 points.


As Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast my friends!” Of those 7 Cougars victories only one has been vs. a Power 5 Conference, Louisville. The Cougars might be without the services of running back Kenneth Farrow who left last Saturday’s game with concussion like symptoms. Farrow has rushed for 669 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. The Commodores have faced SEC teams the likes of Ole Miss as 27 point road dogs losing by 11 and they were getting +1.5 at South Carolina, and while they didn’t cover the spread, they only lost by 9 points. Vandy has only been blown out once this season, at home vs. Georgia.


I believe this game will stay within the number, however, if Vandy gets into a shoot-out they’ll get their butts whipped. It’s a game of offense vs. defense, plain and simple.


View From the 50 Yard Line


· When reviewing each teams’ strength of schedule I have the Commodores at 35.2 vs. 21.1 for Houston, a decided edge to the road team.


· The Commodores rank 13th nationally in points allowed per game and 22nd in total defense, yielding an average of 316.7 YPG. They are also third in third down defense, allowing foes to convert 22%. Last week in their 10–03 home win vs. the Missouri, the Tigers went 0 for 14 on third down.


· Vanderbilt is 36–19 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.


· The Commodores are 5–1 ATS in their last 6 in the first of back-to-back road games.


· From game 8 out, play against Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more games whereby they sailed over the total when they’re averaging 34 or more points per game when they are playing against a team that averages only 16-21 PPG. This system is 26–05 = 84% ATS when fading Houston and backing Vanderbilt the past decade.


· Play on all road teams, (applies to the Commodores,) after scoring and allowing 17 pts or less points and now playing against an opponent that scored 24 points or more points in the first half in their last game. This system is 53–24 = 69% ATS when playing on Vanderbilt.


College Football Pick:
My Every Edge College Game of the Week is on the Vanderbilt Commodores getting +12 points.

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Dave Malinsky (CFB) - Oklahoma State

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River City Sharps

They call it “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” and old friends meet once again Saturday in Jacksonville as Georgia and Florida do battle in a key SEC match up. Florida has been a real surprise this year and we will be the first ones to tell you that be misjudged McElwain’s ability to get them turned around this quickly. Even with the QB change from Will Grier to Treon Harris, the Gators continue to play well, led by a stifling defense. Florida hasn’t won the East division of the SEC since 2012, but it appears they have a great shot if they can get past the Bulldogs on Saturday. This game is a payback spot for the Bulldogs, who lost 38-20 to the Gators last season. We may go down again with our preconceived notions, but we just believe this Georgia team has more talent than Florida and like the revenge spot here for the Bulldogs. The main question will be the effectiveness of the Georgia offense and QB Grayson Lambert against a stout Gators defense. That defense did show some cracks in their last game, a 35-28 loss at LSU where the Tigers carved them up for 423 yards, including 223 rushing yards. This is the type of game that Georgia HC Mark Richt thrives (as the underdog) and believe he will have the full attention of his team in what they consider their biggest rivalry game. Both of these teams are coming off a bye week, which we believe will enable Georgia to add some wrinkles to the offense (possibly inserting some QB running options?) and we think you will a lot of Georgia RB Sony Michel setting up that offense. We like the revenge spot for the Bulldogs and think they pull the outright upset. The Sharps say…

3 Units – Georgia (+2)

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Winning Points. 10 Star Play
Ucla-23.
48-7

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Ben Burns

Breakfast club - Old Dominion
Cust app - UMASS
GOM - Temple
ESPN gow - Washington St
SEC GOY - Kentucky

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Marc lawrence 5 pack
georgia
nc st
temple
syracuse
minnesota

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WAYNE ROOT

Millionaires---Iowa St
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No Limit---Georgia
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Perfect Play---Texas Tech

Oklahoma State under head coach Mike Gundy is known for its overpowering offense, but his defense this year leads the Big 12 in yards allowed per game so don't look for the Red Raiders to be impacted from their game plan. The Red Raiders trail only TCU and Baylor nationally in total offense, averaging 600.3 yards per game. Texas Tech enters Saturday’s game with the conference’s third-ranked scoring offense. Texas Tech has scored more than 50 points in four games this season and average 46 points per game. The emotional burden that accompanies last Saturday’s tragedy for Oklahoma State may have propelled them in last weeks game but will show that the emotions and distractions have taken their toll this week. It was homecoming last week and four lost their lives in that tragedy. They were meant to play well that day but that will not be the case today against a very worthy opponent. Playing as a favorite on the road will be their downfall after a 7 day highly emotional week where the focus was not as intense as normal and the distraction were overwhelming. TAKE TEXAS TECH

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Inner Circle---NC State
ACC Upset of the Month

This game is known as the Textile Bowl. It is a huge rivalry game. At least to NC State. It is their most important game of the season. But like many games, it is also about scheduling and not taking the opponent one is facing at the moment seriously because of next weeks upcoming game. Next week is Clemson's season as they play Florida St. Clemson has beat up on the Wolfpack so many times, they may come into this contest unfocused and lackadaisical. On the other hand, NC State lost to the Tigers 41-0 last year. They would like nothing better than to avenge that game. Look for ball control as the Wolfpack have their own ground gainer in Matthew Dayes. He's already provided them with 800 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns this year. And QB Jacoby Brissett can get outside and rush the ball to keep the chains moving. Running the ball and clock management could disrupt Clemsons QB, Deshawn Watson normal game plan. Additionally, it's doubtful that Clemson will show anything that they are saving for their date with Florida St. NC State does offer a solid defense and this is their number 1 weapon as playing at home is so important to intensify the defensive efforts generated by the crowd. This game needs a solid hold on defense and 160 yards of Matthew Dayes rushing for the upset. If they fall short of that task, the Wolfpack may lose the contest but cover the double digit pointspread offered by the oddsmakers. TAKE NC STATE


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Pinnacle---California
NCAA Upset of the Year

Was last weeks outstanding play by USC an anomaly or a renewed sense of self confidence and new leadership by the intern coaching staff. The USC coach and staff have simplified their offense down to 5 guys. That may be a blessing to defensive coaches in their game plans as it allows more "spys" to fucus on Cody Kessler, UCS's outstanding QB. Injuries and to many complicated offensive schemes seemed to have players not knowing their role; so the coach thinks. Turning to the best quarterback in the country, Cal has it in Jared Goff. This guy is great with a strong arm and an intelligent factor times (X). He will set back the USC secondary to the Trojan dark ages. He can place passes where few have ever done. The Golden Bears have an offense and a quarterback built to destroy any team determined to sit back and defend. Last week against Utah, USC's Cam Smith had 3 interceptions and that put away the game. This week is a much better passer. The Trojans have injuries on both sides of the line and that will be their final straw. Laying points at this venue is at best difficult. This is the a statement game for the Golden Bears in terms of recruiting SoCal players. They will put the Trojans to the vertical test in their secondary and will get the upset. TAKE CAL

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Vegas Sports Informer
Ralph Esparza
8* Irish over 49'
4* Minnesota +14
3* Air Force -7

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Strike Point Sports
7* Oklahoma State -2'
3* App State -24

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Doc Sports
4*: nc st +10
4*: wash st +11
4*: Temple over 49.5
7*: va tech -2.5