10-31-15

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Nelly's Football - Saturday 3* Top Play - Oct. 31
3* #160 Texas Tech +2.5 over Oklahoma State 2:30 PM CT

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | UTAH at INDIANA
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record, after 1 or more consecutive losses
55-24 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 28.6 units )

NBA | SACRAMENTO at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts
129-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% | 56.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 0.0 units )

NBA | UTAH at INDIANA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses
97-51 since 1997. ( 65.5% | 40.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | UCF at CINCINNATI
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

CFB | MASSACHUSETTS at BALL ST
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (BALL ST) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season
87-50 over the last 10 seasons. ( 63.5% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | IDAHO at NEW MEXICO ST
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (IDAHO) in a game involving two poor rushing teams - both outrushed by opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at NY METS
Play On - Any team (NY METS) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts
81-52 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.9% | 36.7 units )
23-20 this year. ( 53.5% | 5.9 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at NY METS
NY METS are 36-15 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (5.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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Alan Boston

Arkansas St. -17

Auburn +7'

Minnesota +13

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Mets on Friday and likes the Mets and Georgia on Saturday.

The deficit is 1081 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo joins up with Navy

Hondo plunged deeper into debt Friday night when Louisville came up well short of the cover against Wake Forest, causing the negative number to rise to 2,609 bellinos.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch hopes an investment on Navy will be ship-shape — 20 units. Also, he is chomping at the bit for a win by the Gators — 20 units on Florida.

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Maddux

Added

20* Minnesota +14
10* Georgia +3

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SaberHockey NHL Play for 10/31
Devils ML

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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle
All Regular One Unit Plays

#152 Florida Pick/-125
#136 NC State +13/-145
#180 Washington State +13/-145
#184 Southern Miss -23/-125
#155 Temple/Notre Dame Over 49/-125
#159 Oklahoma State Cowboys Money Line -125

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Alex Smith from Sports Memo (won with Boston yesterday)

Member Play Winnipeg Jets

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CFB WEEK 9
ECONOMY CLUB
By: Joe Gavazzi, Winning Sports Advice

Saturday, October 31, 2015
CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK …UL Lafayette (-11-)
UL Monroe at UL Lafayette (-11-) 5:00 ET
This is our Economy Club STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK. In the ensuing analysis, you will see why the fundamentals clearly overcome the series history for it to qualify as such. But, it is NOT our 6% STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE YEAR, which will be released to ALL NOVEMBER NOCKOUT clients on Saturday morning at 11 am ET. To refresh your memory, this is our 27th Annual NOVEMBER NOCKOUT. It will feature at least 6 (6%) PLAYS WHICH ARE CURRENTLY 52-10 ATS! THESE 10 PLAYS ARE GUARANTEED TO WIN AT LEAST 70% AGAINST YOUR LINE or my entire Executive Service through the Super Bowl is FREE! As a special bonus, you receive the entire month (5 weeks) of Executive Service for FREE with this package. As an Economy Club member, I invite you to call me at 724-715-7186 for a reduced price on this package. I will still honor the guarantee at this reduced price. Now, back to football! This regional rivalry has been hard fought with narrow results. Seven of the last 8 games in the series have been decided by fewer than 10 points. UL Monroe is 8-1 ATS at this site. But, all that history must take a backseat to the current realities. UL Monroe is having a horrible year, as suggested by their 1-6 SU, 2-4 ATS record, in which they have a (-52) net AFP. This includes 0-3 SU ATS in Sun Belt play. It has certainly not helped their mental that 2nd string QB Fitzwater died in October. Nor, is it helpful that their best receiver Caeser (ankle) will miss yet another game. Monroe was worn down by an early season schedule against Georgia, Alabama, GA Southern and App St. Yet, at 1-5SU, they had a chance to salvage their season at lowly Idaho last week. They fell flat on their face against the inept Vandals, being outgained 489-243 in a (27-13) loss, despite a (+3) net TO margin. Shortly into this game, they will understand they are doomed for their 7th loss with no opportunity to reach a Bowl. As such, it will be time to toss the towel. Main reason why they will get STEAMROLLED is a 200 Club defense that allows 253/5.1 overland. Rival UL Lafayette will be happy to comply. The Cajuns are used to success with 4 consecutive 9-win seasons under 5th year HC Hudspeth. This year, however, the Cajuns are just 2-4 SU after the first half of their schedule. They come off a (37-27) loss at Arkansas St., despite 200 Club numbers and a yardage advantage of 485-435. With 11 days to prepare and a schedule which will have them comfortably favored in 5 of their 6 games, there is still ample hope for a 9-win season once again. Look for UL Lafayette to use their balanced-explosive offense to dominate the point of attack and record a rare STEAMROLLING victory in this series.
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PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME OF THE WEEK …Oklahoma St. (-3)
Oklahoma St. (-3) at Texas Tech 3:30 ET ESPN
The PERCEPTION here is that the explosive offense of Texas Tech which averages 47 PPG and 601 YPG makes them a competitive team against this level of competition. The REALITY is when stepping up in class, in the last month, they have lost to Oklahoma (63-27) and to Baylor (63-35). Oklahoma St. may not quite be in the class of those two, but they are certainly not far behind with victories in Big 12 play against Texas, Kansas St. and WVU. That’s all part of a mark that shows them to be an undefeated 7-0 SU with a (+33) net AFP. YET THEY ARE FAVORED BY AT LEAST 10 POINTS LESS THAN WHERE THEY WOULD HAVE BEEN OPENING WEEK. The REALITY is that Oklahoma St. (who has a 40/479 offense) HAS THE FAR SUPERIOR DEFENSE. While the Red Raiders are allowing 40 PPG and at least 280 YPG BOTH running AND passing, Oklahoma St. has a defense that allows just 19 PPG, 316 YPG and 4.5 YP play. Defense the difference in a series that has seen the Cowboys cover 5/6, including the last 3 trips to this site.

UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK … Syracuse (+20-)
Syracuse at Florida St. (-20-) NOON ET ABC TV
Despite underachieving against the number for the last 2 seasons, Florida St. was 19-1 SU in that timeframe when they entered their game at GA Tech last week. On numerous occasions, the Sems roared from behind for victory or squeezed out narrow wins. As a result, they were just 6-13 ATS in that timeframe. Last week, the chickens came home to roost! You can only survive so many close games before random variance begins to work against you. Such was the case last week, when GA Tech (mired in a 0-5 SU ATS losing streak) trailed Florida St. in the closing minute. But, the Yellow Jackets blocked a Florida St. field goal and returned it 68 yards for the game winning TD. Just like that, the Florida St. undefeated bubble had burst and they had lost their first ACC game in 29 starts! With an opportunity for salvation next week against Clemson, it is tough to see how the Sems bounce back big in the face of undefeated letdown. Syracuse suffered their own heartbreak last week, when in consecutive weeks they lost a close game to Pitt. But, behind QB Dungey, who completes 65% of their passes with a 11/3 ratio and with his big target, WR Ishmal, the Orangemen have enough to come in comfortably under this number against a Florida St. team who is just 2-8 ATS laying double digits. Make your UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK PLAY on Syracuse.

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Brad Wilton

75 DIME Winner # 2 in a Row
Non-Conference Game of the Year

Houston -10

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Scott Delaney

30 Dime Bank Builder

UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Bailout Pup Off The Late Card

wash st +10.5

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Pointwise Phone Service




4* San Diego St. Cincinnati
3* Southern ,Miss ,Michigan ,Houston ,Iowa
2* Miss, Georgia ,Clemson