10-31-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Synergy:
FOOTBALL PLAYS
4% MINNESOTA -1 (-110)
4% SOUTH FLORIDA 8 (-115)
4% BOSTON COLLEGE 2 (-115)
4% COLORADO STATE 3.5 (-115)
4% VANDERBILT 11 (-110)
4% NORTH TEXAS 8.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wepicksports

NHL

Dallas (-130) 2* 3:00 ET


MLB

New York Mets (-130) 3* 8:05 ET


NCAAF

Wisconsin -19 (-110) 6* 12:00 ET

Colorado State +3.5 (-110) 3* 3:30 ET

Utah -27 (-110) 5* 7:00 ET


NBA

New Orleans +4.5 (-110) 7* 7:30 ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATSwins Lockclub GOY

30 Memphis -32 GOY
8 Minn +13.5
7 Hawaii +7.5
6 Rutgers +19.5
5 Virg Tech -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS


Added


NCAAF


5* ML PARLAY (147) San Diego State Aztecs (-$155) & (155) Notre Dame Fighting Irish -$440


2* (164) Iowa State Cyclones +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREDICTION MACHINE
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS

Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
155 8:00 PM ND @ TEMPLE -10 16.2 60.5% $85
STRAIGHT-UP PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
155 8:00 PM ND @ TEMPLE 33.3 17.2 91.5%
OVER/UNDER PICKS
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
156 8:00 PM ND @ TEMPLE 49.5 50.5 Over 51.5% $0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al
underdog goy New Mexico State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Line Drive Sports

*4 Georgia
*4 SanDiego St.
*3' Oklahoma St.
*3 Syracuse
*3 California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Feringo

1-Unit Play. Take #124 Navy (-7) over South Florida (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
South Florida has won three straight and is riding high right now. This is the best they've played this decade and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. However, I expect somewhat of a letdown this week against a dangerous Navy team. The Middies have gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven and this is a group that is still really geeked up about being in a conference. They haven't lost a league game yet and they will be focused on not doing so here. South Florida hasn't played well on the road this year, losing to a bad Maryland team and beating UConn despite being outgained by 70 yards. In fact, South Florida has been outgained in back-to-back games but they've won (and covered) both games. That signals to me a team running out of gas a bit. Navy played Notre Dame tough two games ago, had a bye week, then had a little letdown against Tulane last week in a 31-14 win in which they didn't play that great. But I think the Midshipmen will bounce back up this week and maintain their home dominance. Their four home wins have come by an average of 25 points per game. I think they will frustrate a beat-up USF team during a two-touchdown win.

1-Unit Play. Take #125 Marshall (-17) over Charlotte (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
I feel as if I've had a clear read on Charlotte: they are the worst team in college football. They are pathetic. They were bad when they were in the FCS and they have no business playing at this level right now. But that's really what it is - business. Charlotte's just cashing checks. Which is good for them. But they aren't here to play competitive football. They lost by 34 to Southern Miss last week. They lost to a bad ODU team the week before. They have losses by 34 (Temple) and 59 (Middle Tennessee) this year. They are 1-4 ATS and it is because people haven't fully wrapped their arms around how pathetic this team. Marshall is a big boy football team. They have the ability to lay into people, like beating that same Southern Miss team by three touchdowns just a few weeks ago. This line is dropping. That's the only reason this isn't a bigger play. I know the ?sharp money? is coming in on the 49ers. That's fine. The sharps can have this bunch of losers. I'll lay the points against them until I see any reason not to.

3-Unit Play. Take #136 N.C. State (+10) over Clemson (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
I'm taking a shot with the home underdog here. I know that everyone is ga-ga about Clemson. And they should be. But the Tigers are ripe for a letdown after what I like to call a ?peak performance? last week against Miami. The Tigers won 58-0 and simply can't play better than that. They are unbeaten and they are in the national championship discussion - and they have a monster game with Florida State coming up next week. That makes this the perfect letdown/look ahead situation against a very dangerous team. This is more of a macro-play for me, though, as the Tigers were a team that I wanted to bet against this year. I don't see how they can be as god as they were last year and I don't think that they are. And I think it will come back to bite them here. This is a ton of points to be laying on the road against an N.C. State team that I really like and think is pretty decent. Clemson is just 2-3 ATS in its last five games, and one of its wins (though they didn't cover) was in that game against Notre Dame in which they were outgained by 140 yards. They also fluked out their win at Louisville last month and I honestly think that this is a game they could lose outright. State also has a revenge motivation after getting shutout in this matchup in 2014 and they are 2-0 ATS at home against the Tigers. State nearly beat Florida State at home last year (they were up 24-7 early and 38-28 late in the third), they pulled a monster upset over national title contender FSU at home in 2012 (17-16 win), and they upset a really good Clemson team 37-13 at home in 2011. So N.C. State has been known to spring an upset or two at home these last few years. I think they can do it here.

1-Unit Play. Take #139 Mississippi (-7.5) over Auburn (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)
The Rebels got some of their mojo back by laying into A&M last week. In the meantime Auburn lost a heartbreaker in overtime at Arkansas. These are two teams with two different trajectories right now and I don't know that playing at home is going to be that much of an advantage for this sagging Auburn team. The natives are ready to turn against the Tigers and Ole Miss has the talent to lay the wood. Mississippi has revenge for that brutal 35-31 loss to Auburn last year that knocked them out of the SEC race. Auburn already lost at home to Mississippi State by eight and they nearly lost at home to Jacksonville State. Auburn stinks this year - plain and simple. Ole Miss has as much talent as anyone and they won't give away a game here.

2-Unit Play. Take #142 Arkansas State (-18.5) over Georgia State (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
Georgia State is one of the worst programs in the country. They are awful. And when they lose they normally get buried. Six of their last eight losses have come by at least 23 points. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. But kind of like my play on South Carolina, I think all that week off did was give people time to forget how bad this team is. Arkansas State has won three straight, all by double-digits and all against better teams than Georgia State. GSU's last time out saw them pull a shocking upset over a bad Ball State team. That's a rare win and I don't expect them to follow it up with anything good. This same team lost to Liberty at home and was blasted 37-3 on its home turf by Appalachian State. Arkansas State will be able to pick its score in this one. They won 70-7 as a 22.5-point favorite earlier this year. It won't be nearly that ugly in this one but it at least shows me that ASU has it in them. I have this one at 52-24 for the home team.

5-Unit Play. Take #152 Florida (-3) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
I'm going with the Gators in this matchup at the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Georgia is still getting used to the fact that it was woefully overrated to start the season. Every year there is a team that starts the season inside the Top 10 that ends up unranked at the end of the year. This year I think that will be Georgia. Their quarterbacks are bad. Their star running back is hurt. Their defense is a hodgepodge. They've lost two of their last three games and were completely unimpressive in their 9-6 win over Missouri. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and the one cover was against hapless South Carolina. This UGA team is a dud. Florida, on the other hand, is surging. They are basically the equivalent of Michigan in the Big Ten: the talent has been there the last two years, mainly in a Top 20 defense, and now the new coach has everyone working in unison and playing up to its potential. The results have spoken for themselves. Florida beat the Tennessee team that handled Georgia. Florida hammered the Missouri team that Georgia struggled with. And Florida's blowout win over Ole Miss and even its tight loss to LSU is more impressive than literally anything that Georgia has done this year. A worse Florida team throttled a better Georgia team 38-20 as an 11-point underdog in this game last year. Florida is 5-2 ATS in the last seven, and after a brief three-game winning streak in this matchup (against inept Will Muschamp) I expect Florida to resume its domination of the Bulldogs in this series and that includes a win here this weekend.

2-Unit Play. Take #166 Penn State (-4.5) over Illinois (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)
Somehow Penn State couldn't come through for me last week against a garbage Maryland team. But if the Nittany Lions have shown anything it is that they are different team in Happy Valley. I think the Nittany Lions are a little underrated at 6-2. Their only losses have come against Temple (a Top 25 team in a game PSU was on the road and had the lead) and against Ohio State (no shame there). Last week was a bit of a letdown spot and Penn State fell into that trap. But now they are back home, where they routed Indiana, San Diego State and Rutgers this year. Illinois is a vastly improved squad compared to what we've seen from them the past several years. But they still got lit up 48-14 on the road and lost at Iowa in a game where they were pushed around and outgained by 230 yards on the ground. Illinois is coming off a tough loss to Wisconsin in a game they really thought they could get. And if you go back through Illinois' schedule you start to see that apart from a win over super-shaky Nebraska (a one-point win at that) the Illini have had their resurgent season against a bunch of nobodies. I don't think they are good enough to go on the road and win this game. So I think if Penn State wins here the odds are incredibly strong that they can cover this short line.

3-Unit Play. Take #170 Texas A&M (-16) over South Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)
This is a really bad spot for South Carolina. They are barely holding on now that Steve Spurrier quit on them. They were able to rally around their interim coach and gut out a win at Vanderbilt two weeks ago. But this is a completely different beast here, going on the road to tangle with a very good A&M team that is coming off two straight losses. South Carolina has gotten wrecked at Georgia (52-20) and Missouri (24-10) so far this year and A&M is better than both of those teams. Texas A&M needs something positive after two tough losses to Alabama and Ole Miss. The Aggies score points and score points quickly. And if they get up in this game or it looks like USC can't slow them down then I expect the Gamecocks to fold. Essentially this same Aggies group went down to South Carolina last season and beat a better, more stable Gamecocks group by 24 points (52-28) and I expect something similar this time around. A&M rolled Arizona State by 21 and Miss State by 13. Again, both of those teams are better than the Gamecocks. Kevin Sumlin won't hold back here.

1-Unit Play. Take #178 Florida State (-20) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 53.5 Syracuse at Florida State (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)
Syracuse suffered a heartbreaker last week against Pittsburgh. They had that game won, but turnovers and a fake punt did them in. It's been another lost year for the Orange. And I don't know how much fight they will bring with them down to Tallahassee. These two played last year and the Orange managed to scum out a cover in a game they should've lost by about 35 points. They won't be so lucky this time around. Florida State is going to be absolutely pissed after their loss at Georgia Tech last week. I don't think they letdown. I think they have a lot of frustration to take out and I think Syracuse will feel the wrath. SU is just 2-5 ATS after a loss so they can let these things linger. And Florida State is just 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games overall, so eventually the market is going to swing back the other way for them and they will start covering some spreads again. I also really like the 'over' in this game. Syracuse has dumped four in a row, they've given up at least 44 points in both road games, and they lost 45-24 in their last trip to Florida - to face South Florida. I don't see any good coming from this trip.

1-Unit Play. Take #193 Virginia Tech (-2.5) over Boston College (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
I've been spitting into the wind with Virginia Tech all season long; why stop now? The Hokies have been fantastic losers and I don't think that there is any doubt that it is time for Beamer Ball to come to an end after this season. But in the meantime they still have more talent than Boston College, who by some Act of God actually covered a spread of less than 10 points last week despite gaining just 76 yards. (Yes, I had Louisville. Yes, I have mentioned what a crock that game was twice. I am not happy about it.) Boston College stinks. They play a tough, physical style of football. But they've gone to that well too many times. This team is worn out and broken down. They haven't had a bye week yet this year and this team is just out of gas. They have lost four straight, including an ugly 3-0 loss to lowly Wake Forest, and they've been outgained by nearly 600 yards in their last two games (yet miraculously covered the spread in both). I don't see Tech losing to B.C. three years in a row, especially since the Hokies have outgained the Eagles each of the last two losses.

1-Unit Play. Take #200 Minnesota (+14) over Michigan (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
This is a lot of points for the Wolverines to be laying out on the road. I think that these two teams are really similar in terms of the type of game they want this to be. Both teams win with defense and discipline, and I still don't trust Michigan's quarterback play enough to lay heave points with them on the road. I mean, is Michigan going to come out and win this game by 20 or 30 points? Is that realistic to expect? Minnesota nearly took down TCU at home earlier this season and they are a very solid underdog. Michigan has had to sit around and dwell on that soul-crushing loss to Michigan State for two weeks. There is no way that's not lingering. It wouldn't stun me to see the Wolverines come out and lay the wood here because of their defense. But that doesn't mean that this isn't a bad line (it should've been around 8.5) and it is worth a dabble.

1-Unit Play. Take #201 Boise State (-20) over UNLV (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)
UNLV is awful. They really are. That fact has been masked by their weak schedule over the last month. But they are not a good team. They've been outgained by Nevada, San Jose and Fresno State - three bad teams in their own right. And I don't really expect Boise State to hold back in this one. Boise won by 42 at Virginia, by 52 against Idaho State, by 55 over Hawaii, and by 31 at Colorado State. So they have that extra gear to incite a blowout. Boise State only won by 20 last week against Wyoming. But they were still suffering some hangover effects from their ugly loss at Utah State. That game is out of Boise's system. Now they are refocused on putting themselves in position for a Mountain West title. That means winning this game. These two teams are just on different wavelengths and I think Boise State can unload in this spot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

Top play – Marshall
Top play – Notre Dame
Georgia
Appalachian St.
Mississippi
Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
South Florida +7 over Navy
(System Record: 21-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 21-20-1

Rest of the Plays
San Diego State -150 over Colorado State
Syracuse +16.5 over Florida State
Illinois +5 over Penn State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Pittsburgh Penguins + Toronto Maple Leafs OVER 5
(System Record: 10-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 10-10-3

Rest of the Plays
Dallas Stars -140 over San Jose Sharks
Winnipeg Jets -116 over Columbus Blue Jackets
Calgary Flames + Edmonton Oilers OVER 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Utah Jazz +3 over Indiana Pacers
(System Record: 1-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 1-3

Rest of the Plays
Washington Wizards -7.5 over New York Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Union + San Martin de San Juan OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 843-26, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 843-677-132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams




For Saturday, 1500♦ Raise the Bar release is Central Michigan over Akron. At 10:05 pm eastern time on Friday night, Central Michigan is -2 1/2 points both in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

50 Dime Winner for Saturday is Syracuse as the road underdog at Florida State. At 6:30 am eastern time, the Orange are the +16 1/2 point underdogs in Vegas and offshore.