10-31-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

stephen nover

cal
utah
nc st

over fla
over unlv
over wash st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence

playbook data play is on wash st

[kar261]

SkyBlue Picks

NC State +11
Cal +4
Iowa St +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI With Write-Ups

3 Unit Play. Take #111 TCU -13 over West Virginia (7:30p.m., Thursday October 29 FOX1)
A bit shocked that this number dropped from -14 to -13 overnight and I believe the Horn Frogs blow up the defense of the West Virginia Mountaineers. Sunday the first round of rankings come out and you figure TCU will want to show the committee they are a team that can be a force the rest of the season. TCU QB Trevone Boykin is having another brilliant year and I see him picking apart the WVU defense and I see the TCU Frogs winning by 20 plus points. West Virginia is 2-13 under HC Holgorsen when allowing more than 40 points and I can guarantee TCU will score more then 40 points. West Virginia is 1-5 ATS against conference opponents and TCU is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

8 Unit Play. Take #155 Over 49.5 Notre Dame at Temple (8:00p.m., Saturday October 31 NBC)
(College Football Total of the Year) Last week we hit are stressful 7-Unit OVER with LSU and Western Kentucky scoring late second half points. Hopefully this Saturday we get tons of points early so we can enjoy the game. This play is all on the offense of Notre Dame and this year the Irish is averaging 38.2ppg and throw out the rainy Clemson game and this average could be higher. Notre Dame last week scored 41 points against USC and I believe if the Irish can score 41 against the Trojans they should be able to score in the high 30's or 40's against Temple. Temple thrives on their defense but their defense hasn't faced and offense like Notre Dame and I believe this game becomes an offensive shootout and wouldn't shock me to see both teams score in the 30's. Temple's last 2 home games they scored 30 points against UCF and 49 against Tulane and I'm hoping the Temple Owls can keep up with the Notre Dame offense. Notre Dame is 5-1 O/U in their last 6 road games and the Irish are 10-3 O/U in their last 13 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #200 Minnesota +14 over Michigan (7:00p.m., Saturday October 31)
Heavy hearted Minnesota Gophers team hosts the Michigan Wolverines Saturday night and I see this game being much closer then the oddsmakers posted. Michigan looks to bounce back after a devastating loss two weeks ago at home to Michigan St while I believe every Minnesota football player will be playing to win this game for their former head coach Jerry Kill who stepped down for health reasons this week. I know Michigan is the better team on paper but with a heavy hearted team and the success of the ground game I see Minnesota hanging around and covering this double-digit number at home.

3 Unit Play. Take #205 Air Force -7 over Hawaii (10:30p.m., Saturday October 31 CBSC)
Hawaii head coach Norm Chow should be boxing up his office as we speak because after this loss he could be out of a job. Hawaii defense has been horrible and their run defense is ranked 115 against the run and I see the Force running wild Saturday night. Air Force is coming off a big home win over Fresno St and Hawaii's last home game San Diego St ran all over them. Air Force has dropped all 3 of their road games but those road games were against Colorado St, Navy, and Michigan St and I'm sorry Hawaii fans those three teams are NOT your Rainbows. Air Force wins this road game by double-digits!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eastman

4-Unit Play. Take #138 Iowa (-17) over Maryland (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)

This one has blowout written all over it! Iowa is a sleeper team to win the Big Ten and possibly make it into the national playoff. This team is flat out getting the job done. Iowa won by 30 points against a tough Northwestern team on the road last week. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games and they are 5-2 ATS so far this season. Iowa is winning with a dominating defense. They are No. 12 in total yards, No. 3 against the rush, and they are No. 10 in the country in points allowed giving up just 15.3 points per game. Maryland has four straight losses. They are coming off a heartbreaking loss against Penn State and I think that is going to carry over into this game. Maryland has been blown out by Bowling Green, West Virginia, Michigan and Ohio State. They are not in the Top 90 on the offensive or defensive sides of the ball. Iowa and its fans are getting very excited as this season goes on. I think that Ames is going to be too much for this young Maryland team. This one looks like it could get ugly and I think that the Hawkeyes will be up big at the half and coast to a win.

4-Unit Play. Take #147 San Diego State (-3) over Colorado State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)

Colorado State is struggling in its first season with a new coach. Mike Bobo is the former offensive coordinator at Georgia. This is his first head-coaching job and there are some growing pains. The Rams have lost four of their last six games and they already have three losses at home. Bobo's offense is just No. 55 in the country and not living up to last year's standards. The defense has really struggled against the run and I think that San Diego State is going to be able to control this game on the ground. The Aztecs have a Top 10 defense and a Top 10 run defense. I think that they are a big strong team and that they will push Colorado State around. The books posted the Aztecs as the favorite here for a reason. They are on a 4-0 ATS run and San Diego State is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 Mountain West games. SDSU is 5-1 ATS against teams with a losing record and Colorado State is 1-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. SDSU is 6-2 ATS in the last eight in this series and they have covered the spread in five of seven trips to Fort Collins. This will be a close game. But this is a small number and I see the Aztecs winning by a touchdown.

4-Unit Play. Take #157 Georgia Tech (-6) over Virginia (3 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)

Georgia Tech is riding high after a big upset win over Florida State last week. I think that momentum will carry over into this week's game against rival Virginia. Remember that Georgia Tech was a team that started the season inside the Top 25 and was an ACC favorite. They have had one of the toughest schedules in the country. They are not as bad as their record suggests. This is the same team that the books had favored on the road in Notre Dame and at Duke. Virginia is not a strong team at all. They have lost three of their last four games. Their only win came in overtime against lowly Syracuse. This team is really struggling offensively. They have scored fewer than 20 points in three of their last four. They won't be able to keep up with this high scoring Georgia Tech offense. The Cavaliers are No. 67 in rushing defense and they allow 34.7 points per game. Georgia Tech has won three straight over Virginia and five of the last six. They are 5-1 ATS in those games. Georgia Tech has not played well in Charlottesville. But the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five and I think Tech will get the job done.

3-Unit Play. Take #176 Cincinnati (-27) over Central Florida (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 31)

This one should be a major blowout. Central Florida's head coach George O'Leary abruptly retired this week. He quit on a Knights team that is 0-8 and coming off an ugly blowout loss to Houston. The coach just quit on the season and I expect the players to do the same. This is a terrible situation for the players as they are going on the road to face one of the best teams in the conference. The Bearcats are 3-1 ATS in their last four games and they are coming off a 24-point blowout over a decent Connecticut team. It will be worse this week. Cincinnati is No. 7 in the country in total offense and is averaging around 560 yards per game. Central Florida's defense has allowed 174 points in the last four games alone! That is almost 44 points per game! The UCF offense is only scoring around 16 points per game during that time. This is the same UCF team that has gone 1-8 ATS going back to last year and they have losses to Florida International and FCS team Furman this year. This is an ugly season. It is going to get even uglier with another bad blowout loss at Cincinnati this weekend in a game where the Bearcats can run up the score if they want to.

6-Unit Play. Take #195 Idaho (-7) over New Mexico State (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 31)

This is my top play of the week and I see a mismatch here. Idaho is coming off a blowout win over Louisiana-Monroe last week and they will take that momentum on the road with them. They have won back-to-back games and are 3-0 ATS in their last three games. The Vandals are 4-1 ATS in their last four games and this is a team with its sights set on getting to six wins under Paul Petrino. In order to do that they will have to beat this bad New Mexico State team. NMSU has one of the worst defenses in the country. They are allowing 559 yards per game and opponents are averaging 49 points per game. The Aggies are giving up almost 50 points per game! New Mexico has not won a game all year and they are coming off a 52-7 blowout loss to Troy. That is the same Troy team that Idaho beat just two weeks ago. And that tells me how much of a difference there is between these two teams. New Mexico State lost to lowly Georgia State in Las Cruces already this year and I don't think that NMSU is going to win more than one game the rest of the way. It is not going to be this one. The Aggies are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 conference games and they are just 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games following a loss. The Aggies are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi


CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK

UL Lafayette -11.5


This regional rivalry has been hard fought with narrow results. Seven of the last 8 games in the series have been decided by fewer than 10 points. UL Monroe is 8-1 ATS at this site. But, all that history must take a backseat to the current realities. UL Monroe is having a horrible year, as suggested by their 1-6 SU, 2-4 ATS record, in which they have a (-52) net AFP. This includes 0-3 SU ATS in Sun Belt play. It has certainly not helped their mental that 2nd string QB Fitzwater died in October. Nor, is it helpful that their best receiver Caeser (ankle) will miss yet another game. Monroe was worn down by an early season schedule against Georgia, Alabama, GA Southern and App St. Yet, at 1-5 SU, they had a chance to salvage their season at lowly Idaho last week. They fell flat on their face against the inept Vandals, being outgained 489-243 in a (27-13) loss, despite a (+3) net TO margin. Shortly into this game, they will understand they are doomed for their 7th loss with no opportunity to reach a Bowl. As such, it will be time to toss the towel. Main reason why they will get STEAMROLLED is a 200 Club defense that allows 253/5.1 overland. Rival UL Lafayette will be happy to comply. The Cajuns are used to success with 4 consecutive 9-win seasons under 5th year HC Hudspeth. This year, however, the Cajuns are just 2-4 SU after the first half of their schedule. They come off a (37-27) loss at Arkansas St., despite 200 Club numbers and a yardage advantage of 485-435. With 11 days to prepare and a schedule which will have them comfortably favored in 5 of their 6 games, there is still ample hope for a 9-win season once again. Look for UL Lafayette to use their balanced-explosive offense to dominate the point of attack and record a rare STEAMROLLING victory in this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Missanelli

Iowa st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris adrews / against the number


139 mississippi -7

152 florida -3

154 california +6

156 temple +10.5

164 iowa state +6.6

185 florida int’l -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* Virginia tech under 38

2* stanford over 62

1* Michigan under 38.5

1* usc over 68.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pauly howard

1* notre dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen nover

3* stanford / Washington st over 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

3* Washington st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEST Football - 10* NCAA Biggie - Saturday, Oct. 31
10* #165 Illinois +5 over Penn State 11:00 AM CT


BEST Football - Saturday 20* AAC GOY - Oct. 31
20* #191 Tulsa -3 over SMU 3:00 PM CT


BEST Football - 10* NFL Biggie - Nov. 1
10* #272 Dallas Cowboys +6 over Seattle Seahawks 3:25 PM CT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Point Train's CFB Best Bet - Saturday, October 31
7-Unit - #149 Stanford (-11) over Washington State – 9:30 PM CST


Point Train's NFL Best Bet - Sunday, November 1
8-Unit - #273 Green Bay (-3) over Denver – 7:30 PM CST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maximum Football - Sunday NFL Over/Under Game of the Week - Nov. 1
3* #253/254 OVER 42 Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears 12:00 PM CT