If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Minnesota has won 29 of the last 40 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have also won 29 of the last 43 games when playing on a Friday. Francisco Liriano has won 7 of the last 8 games after not allowing an earned run in his last outing and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA 0.00.
50* Play Chicago White Sox (-160) over Baltimore
Baltimore has lost 76 of the last 102 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 25 of the last 35 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Bradley Bergesen has lost 20 of the last 24 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.79.
50* Play Texas (-160) over Oakland
Texas pitcher, Cliff Lee has won 6 of the last 7 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has also won 9 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of August. Cliff Lee is 4-2 vs. Oakland over his career with an ERA of 2.33 and he has an ERA of 2.51 in all starts this season.
100* Play Montreal (-7) over Saskatchewan
Montreal has won 13 of the last 15 games vs. Saskatchewan at home and they have also won 11 of the last 13 games coming off an UNDER the total. Montreal has won 14 of the last 16 games coming off a win by 20 points or more and they are only allowing an average of 12 points a game on defense this season.
Friday's Play ...
15 DIME seleation on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Orioles in the opener of a three-game series at Camden Yards. As I publish today’s plays at about 10:30 a.m. Eastern time, the White Sox are ranging from a -105 to -120 favorite, so make sure you shop around and get the best number out there. Note that both pitching probables – Chicago’s John Danks and Baltimore’s Brad Bergesen – must start. If either does not pitch, this play is void.
White Sox (-1½ runs)
I know the Orioles have been playing inspired baseball this week with new manager Buck Showalter looking on from the dugout, sweeping a three-game series from the Angels. But Showalter isn’t some miracle worker, and the fact remains that this team’s 32-73 record prior to Showalter’s arrival had very little to do with the team’s skipper. In fact, manaaerial ineptitude probably ranks 99th out of 100 on the list of reasons why Baltimore stinks.
Ranking closer to #1 on that list of 100 reasons is Brad Bergesen. The Orioles’ right-hander has been atrocieous this season, going 3-9 with a 6.63 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. Baltimore’s record in Bergesen’s last 13 appearances (11 starts)? 1-12. That includes six losses in his last six trips to the mound. For the season, the O’s are just 4-13 when Bergesen starts.
On the other hand, the White Sox are 7-3 in John Danks’ last 10 starts, including 3-1 on the road. In seven of those 10 contests, Danks gave up a total of eight earned runs in 52 2/3 innings (1.37 ERA), and he went 6-1 in those seven games (with five of the six being by more than one run). Also, Danks went 3-0 with a 2.46 ERA in three starts against the Orioles last season, and the final scores in those games were as follows: 8-2, 12-8, 4-1, all easily covering the run line!
While the Orioles dererve kudos for winning three in a row, the fact is the Angels are an ice-cold baseball team right now. Conversely, the White Sox have been on fire for two solid months. Chicago is 39-14 in its last 53 games overall, including 9-2 in the last 11. Those nine victories were by margins of 5, 11, 1, 4, 5, 3, 10, 3 and 2 runs.
Two final points: 1) The O’s have won four straight games just twice all season (they haven’t won more than four in a row); and 2) 36 of Baltimore’s last 42 losses have been by more than one run.
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, August 06, 2010$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring another BOOKIE BUSTING BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a 81-38 GUARANTEED WINNING RUN! 8/6/2010
BOOKIE BUSTING BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER
UNDER 7 Kansas City and Seattle 10:10 EST
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, August 06, 2010$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring another BOOKIE BUSTING BASEBALL RUN LINE WINNER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a 81-38 GUARANTEED WINNING RUN! 8/6/2010
BOOKIE BUSTING BASEBALL RUN LINE WINNER
Minnesota w/Liriano -1.5 -107 7:05 EST
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is the Dodgers on the "run line":
John Lannan heads to the hill for the visitors; Lannan threw five frames on Sunday vs. the Phillies and received a no decision.
That was his first start since being recalled from the minors; he's just 2-5 on the year with a 5.63 ERA.
It's important to point out that Washington is in fact 6-17 its last 23 on the road overall; also just 8-15 its last 23 vs. LA.
In the other dugout: Clayton Kershaw gets the nod for the home side; Kershaw threw seven strong on Sunday vs. the Giants; he had six K's and walked four, but picked up the loss due to lack of run support.
He's 10-6 on the year with a very respectable 2.94 ERA.
Keep in mind that the Dodgers are in fact 4-2 their last six in front of the home town crowd; 10-1 their last 11 at Dodger Stadium vs. the Nats.
Bottom line: Coming off a shutout loss, and after struggling at the plate of late, I look for the home side to come out and play with an extremely concerted effort; when taking into account the rest of the above stats and trends, and when considering the discrepancy of talent of the starting pitchers;
We lost with the Tigers yesterday, but we’re coming back with them again tonight against the hapless Angels. LA came from Baltimore where they were swept by the O’s, that’s right I said swept by the O’s. The Tigers haven’t been playing very good baseball slipping under the .500 mark, but their last 3 series have been versus Tampa Bay, Boston, and the White Sox, three pretty good teams. Good pitching matchup tonight has Weaver versus Verlander. The Angels starter has struggled this season on the road posting a 4.38 ERA and 5-7 team start record. Meanwhile, Verlander has been very tough at home posting a 8-2 team start record and impressive 2.65 ERA. The Tiger righty has been almost unbeatable at home versus losing teams like the Angels posting a 29-5 team start record. Weaver comes off a game in which he didn’t allow an earned run, and that’s not a good sign as Weaver is 2-9 over the last two years after allowing no runs in his last start. Tigers get this opening game tonight.
A battle of division leaders takes place in the opener of this three games series when the Braves send Tommy Hanson to the hill against the Giants at Turner Field in Atlanta. Hanson enters tonight contest with a sparkling 2.17 ERA in his last six starts. He's also 3-0 at home in his career team starts during the month of August. With that, look for Hanson to improve to 2-0 in his career team starts against San Francisco this evening. We recommend a 3-unit play on Atlanta
Comment