8-6-10

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Re: 8-6-10

WUNDERDOG (HORSES)

SARATOGA Race #3 (THE LOUDONVILLE) at 2:05 PM Eastern
Top pick: #4 (FUNNY FEELING) - Talented and lightly-raced daughter of "Distorted Humor" had a rough and wide trip at Belmont in the "Prioress"(G1) on the July 4. Stalker has a "bullet" drill here July 29 and her stalking style fits the contest as there's a lot of speed signed-up. Can run them down late.

2nd pick: #1 (Stormandaprayer) - Speaking of speed, this filly has plenty of it, is working fast for this, draws the rail and she's the only one entered who has been competitive on this surface in the past. Win candidate.

3rd pick: #3 (Simply Spiteful) - Speed/stalker comes off her best race to date, a wire-to-wire win at Belmont July 11. Working nicely at Fair Hill in Maryland since that win and her trainer (Mike Trombetta) wins wherever he races. Stretch threat

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Re: 8-6-10

TheSportsCapper FREE PLAYS

Play Kansas City (-155) over Seattle (TOP MLB FREE PLAY)

Play New York Yankees (-145) over Boston (BONUS MLB FREE PLAY)

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Re: 8-6-10

INSIDER ANGLES
Colorado (56-52) vs. Pittsburgh (38-70) 7:05pm ET
Zach Duke of the Pittsburgh Pirates and Jason Hammel of the Colorado Rockies both have shaky numbers over their last three starts, but there is a reason the total on this game is only 8, and it is because both hurlers are better than they have looked and both have reason to return to their good form here.

Duke has a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts but to be fair, that is entirely due to one bad outing last time out vs. St. Louis where he gave up sic earned runs in five innings. He had allowed two earned runs or less in each of his previous five starts though, and we see no reason why the southpaw should not bounce back well here vs. a Colorado offense that is batting just .225 vs. left-handers on the road away from the altitude this season.

Yes, the Rockies are batting an impressive .303 in the last 10 games, but keep in mind that stretch includes an eight-game home stand. Remember also that Duke allowed only two runs and three hits in six innings in his only start vs. the Rockies this year, and that outing came in Colorado last week. He should have continues success vs. the Rocks here at sea level.

Now, Hammel has a 5.85 ERA in his last three starts with none of those outings being Quality Starts. However, he allowed three runs or less in nine of his previous 10 starts right before this three-game stretch, and like with most pitchers, facing the Pirates may be all that Hammel needs to cure his ills. After all, Pittsburgh has now fallen to dead last in the National League in batting with their .241 team batting average, with only Seattle having a lower average in the majors.

Look for the pitchers to dominate on Friday night at PNC Park.

MLB Pick: Rockies, Pirates Under 8

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Re: 8-6-10

VEGAS EXPERTS

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics
Friday, August 6th, 10:05 ET
In left-hander Cliff Lee’s start against Oakland last week he went nine innings of without allowing an earned run and the Rangers won the game in extra innings without him getting the decision. He gets to face them once again tonight and should get the backing from his offense. He will be opposed by Dallas Braden who is 1-3 with a 4.36 ERA in his career against the Rangers. Oakland is averaging just 3.9 runs per game against left-handers this season. The Rangers are 3-0 when they are a road favorite of -150 to -175. Go with the Rangers here.

Play on: Texas Rangers

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Re: 8-6-10

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM ƒ

triple-dime bet 907 STL (-145) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis: St Louis & Wainwright - 140 on the road game at 7:10!!

60- 48 St Louis and 15-6 over all hurler The rock Adam Wainwright gets our call & he comes into the ball game tonight on fire as he is 3-1 lifetime vs. the Marlins and a smooth 2.61 era as of late.The Fish will send out a poor R. Nolasco who is a terrible 0-3 in 24 + innings and close to a 6 ERA. The Cards are the sharp side here as R Nolasco is actually better on the road than @ home. The Cards have put up close to 5 runs a game since the break and are a smooth 13-7 since the All-Star break. The Cards are the Power play side here as they are a 3+ run difference tonight

ST. LOUIS CARDS BABY

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Re: 8-6-10

Tony George | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 907 STL (-145) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis:
St. Louis -145

The Cards are 23-8 on Friday openers their last 31 series. They get out of the gate fast. I know Nolasco has been hot and at home he is solid, but have a feeling Wainwright gets it done with a hotter team right now. The Marlins have dropped 4 straight and St Louis is a better team. Although the bullpen has been weak as of late for the Cards, Wainwright is a 5 or 7 inning pitcher and I like their chancews with him against a team who are back on their heels tonight. Trap line for Florida, stats say you should take them, but stats are not playing, Cards a better team.

Play 1 Unit on St. Louis.

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Re: 8-6-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:35 PM

dime bet 904 PHI (-130) Bookmaker.com vs 903 NYM
Analysis: Dorky Winner Play for August 6, 2010





Niese is coming off a disastrous 4.1IP, 6ER, 7H outing v Arz. Though he pitched extremely well v Phi earlier this season, holding the Phillies to just 1ER on 4H in 7IP back in April, opponents are hitting .271 off of him this season and he has a 1.40WHIP (26th worst in MLB). He does have a perfectly average 4.36FIP and 4.14xFIP with a slightly unlucky .316BABIP. Blanton sports an equally unremarkable resume. He has a 4.66FIP, 4.47xFIP, and an even unluckier .332BABIP. If he had enough innings to qualify, his 1.47WHIP would be even worse than Niese's and opponents are raking him at a .301 clip. Bottom line, neither of these starters inspires a great deal of confidence. But, the naked eye will easily tell you that these appear to be clubs going in different directions and the numbers corroborate it. The Phillies have won 12 of 14 overall and the Mets have lost 11 of their last 14 on the road. And one last look at Blanton reveals one last interesting tidbit. Between the 2nd and 5th innings, Blanton has a 3.36ERA. Pretty good. In the 1st inning, however, he has a 7.94ERA and from the 6th inning on, he has a 11.86ERA. So what does that mean? Simply, that if he can get throu—gh the 1st, our advantage increases big time in this matchup, as Charlie Manuel will more than likely have a quick hook on him late anyway. So, delving deeper, Jeff Francoeur and Luis Castillo hit a combined 13-for-25 (.520) v Blanton, but they usually hit 7th and 8th or 6th and 8th, respectively, in the Mets lineup. That won't apply to Blanton's shaky opening frame. As for Reyes, Beltran, and Wright who hit 1st, 3rd, and 4th, ,respectively, in the NYM lineup? They're a combined 4-for-28 (.143) lifetime v Blanton. Conclusion: Blanton will get through that 1st inning and pitch us one helluva ballgame. Yes, it's only the 1st inning, but with Blanton on the hill, that minutiae might very well be the difference between our winning wager and a losing one. I'm betting that it is.





gill alexander | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 907 STL (-135) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis: In 38 lifetime IP v Fla, Wainwright has 37SO, 10BB, and a 2.61ERA. Though he had a poor outing v NYM 2 starts ago in which he gave up 6ER in 5IP, Wainwright posted a 0.43ERA in his 5 starts preceding that ballgame and his 1 start following that outing combined. He has a 1.02WHIP (4th best in MLB), a 0.62 HR/9IP rate (24th best in MLB), a 2.98 FIP (6th best in MLB), and a 3.22xFIP (4th best in MLB). While his .272BABIP is a bit fortunate, his 52.2% ground ball rate (15th best in MLB) mitigates any alarming regression to the mean. Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla, arguably the two toughest bats in the Marlins lineup are a combined 4-for-31 (.129) v Wainwright. Though quality in 6 out of his last 7 outings, Nolasco has a lifetime 5.92ERA v StL. Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday are a combined 13-for-23 (.565) v Nolasco. Though he has formidable metrics in a 3.99FIP and a 3.64xFIP, his 1.43 HR/9IP rate is the 12th worst in MLB (not to mention 19th worst ground ball rate of 38.6%) accentuates the inherent advantage for the Cards in this matchup from the long ball standpoint. This line is muted because of Nolasco's recent stellar play. Let's not forget about the slew of numbers in front of us, and recognize value when it stares us in the face. That, and the fact that the Red Birds have won 16 of their last 22 at Florida. I expect it to be 17 of 23 after tonight.

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Re: 8-6-10

SMART MONEY SPORTS
Cincinnati Reds -120

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Re: 8-6-10

CAPRI'S-THE PLAYERS PARADISE
3 UNIT PARADISE PLAY Detroit Tigers -114

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Re: 8-6-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in NY Yankees vs Boston @ 7:05 ET: Vazquez vs Buchholz – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


The last time these teams met they combined for 33 runs in just two games. The Yankees were without Posada, Granderson, and Swisher in those games back in mid-May. They’ve all returned now. Even though the Red Sox are the ones that are currently dealing with injury issues, note that they have been battling through it quite well. Boston is on an 7-3 run in their last 10 games and they’ve averaged a solid 4.6 runs per game during this stretch. Even though Youkilis is now on the disabled list the Red Sox now have Lowell back in the lineup. Certainly they will miss Youkilis but coach Francona feels much better about it than he otherwise would if Lowell was still unavailable. Lowell is a solid veteran stick that the Red Sox are happy to have back. This is especially true with a big series like this getting underway. Note that the Yankees have been pounding the ball and that is also what is helping to lead us to the over here. The Yanks are averaging a solid 5 runs per game in their last 13 games and they’ve been especially strong at the plate when at home this season.

Even though Clay Buchholz of the Red Sox certainly has impressive full season numbers this year, the right-hander is winless in his four career starts against the Yankees and he’s compiled a 6.53 ERA in those outings! The Yanks were off yesterday and they’re 9-3 to the over after an off day this season. Also, the Yankees are 24-15 to the over in divisional games this season. Also, as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this year, the Yanks are 6-2 to the over. The Yankees are most impressive 11-2-1 to the over in their last 14 games and we look for their long-term success against Buchholz to continue in this match-up. The Yanks send Javier Vazquez to the mound for this one and he’s 3-7 with a 4.21 ERA in his career against the Red Sox. Boston is 9-5 to the over on Fridays this season and they’re 24-16 to the over in divisional games this season. Vazquez has a 4.87 ERA in home games this season and he’s recently been rocked over the last two weeks. In his last three starts Vazquez allowed 11 earned runs on 22 hits (including 4 homers) in 18.1 innings of work. He’s given up six homers in his last four home starts and the Red Sox should enjoy plenty of success against him this evening as the long ball continues to be an issue for Vazquez in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as a *10* Top Play selection.








Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baltimore vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET: Bergesen vs Danks – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Baltimore has won three straight games and they’ve scored 20 runs in the process. Also, the Orioles have averaged 5.4 runs per game in their last 7 games. In that stretch the O’s have averaged 10 hits per game. As you can see, the Orioles sticks have been “in the zone” of late and the winning they’ve had since Buck Showalter took over as manager has led to a positive vibe in a clubhouse that hadn’t felt that in a long, long time. Look for the Orioles to feed off of that vibe and have another big day at the plate. The only trouble for Baltimore is that the White Sox are likely to enjoy plenty of success at the plate tonight too. Chicago has won 9 of their last 11 games and they’ve averaged 6 runs per game during this 9-2 run. The ChiSox have also averaged nearly 11 hits per game during this solid 11 game stretch. The point is that we have two confident lineups going at it tonight and both clubs (thanks to their recent winning streaks) bring plenty of confidence to the plate tonight.

The pitching match-up is also conducive to an over tonight. John Danks gets the start for the White Sox and he’s allowed at least five earned runs in four of his last seven starts. In his career, Danks has a 3.15 ERA in day games but a 4.42 ERA at night. This season, the southpaw has a 2.87 ERA at home but a 4.20 ERA in road games. Danks has had solid success against the Orioles in his career but, the way Baltimore is swinging the bats right now we just don’t foresee Danks shutting down the O’s. Additionally, the White Sox bullpen is hurting as Bobby Jenks continues to get rocked in the closer’s role. As for the O’s pitching situation, their bullpen has been a trouble spot for much of the season and that issues could raise its ugly head again tonight as Brad Bergesen may not last long tonight. Bergesen gets the start this evening and the Baltimore right-hander is 0-7 with a 7.26 ERA in his last 11 starts. Bergesen faced the White Sox twice last season and don’t be fooled by his low ERA in those starts, Bergesen got hit at a .304 clip by the ChiSox. Also, though he’s off of a solid outing in his most recent start, Bergesen had previously given up 39 hits in his last 22.1 innings of work. The right-hander has allowed 9 homers in his last 6 starts and he’s facing a White Sox team that has seen their games go over the total in 9 of their last 13 games. As for the Orioles, they’ve recorded just 4 unders in their last 12 games! Play OVER the total in Baltimore as an *8* Regular Play selection.

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Re: 8-6-10

ATS LOCK CLUB
12 UNIT* MLB* LOCK OF THE YEAR TOTAL* San Francisco Giants Under 7.5
4 UNIT* MLB* Tampa Bay Devil Rays -120 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Detroit Tigers -120 ML

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Re: 8-6-10

KELSO
10 UNIT* MLB* Chicago White Sox -165 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Colorado Rockies Over 8
25 UNIT* MLB* Kansas City Royals -155 ML

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Re: 8-6-10

Pimikes pod
cws

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Re: 8-6-10

Week 18

Good Friday afternoon to all at the mall.

Ben lee lost bolth games the Tigers -$140/W Sox and the Dodgers -$150/Padres
on Thursday.

For Friday in all his chalkeness "Mr Chalk" has his signeture 'Pure Chalk" play on the Dodgers -$240/Nationals.

"Mr Chalk" is 71-51 -$1240 for the 2010 MLB season.

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Re: 8-6-10

NY SPORTS ADVISORS

Chicago White Sox-162