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triple-dime bet 911 HOU / 912 MIL Under 8 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting HOUSTON/MILWAUKEE UNDER today. Stan notes that both teams have been involved in high scoring games lately but today Stan expects a low scoring game. Rodriguez has been on fire in last 2 starts and is a left hander. Milwaukee struggles vs lefties. Milwaukee starter Dave Bush pitches so much better at home than on the road. Stan also notes that this line was brought out at 8 today instead instead of 8.5 which signals that Vegas wants Over action and that is just the way the sugars are betting this game. Stan says look for 6 or 7 runs to be scored at most in this match up.
TAKE HOUSTON/MILWAUKEE UNDER as STAN'S RARE TRIPLE DIME GAME
Saskatchewan (4-1) @ Montreal (4-1)-- Roughriders (+3) were down by two TDs at half in season opener vs Montreal, rallied for 54-51 OT win that didn't quite avenge 28-27 loss in LY's Grey Cup. Als won last four games, scoring 37-41 points in last two, their only two home games this year. Last three Montreal games stayed unde; four of five Rider games went over. Saskatchewan is allowing average of 463.2 ypg.
Toronto (3-2) @ Edmonton (1-4)-- Argos' three wins are by total of nine points; they're 1-2 on road, losing 30-16 at Calgary, 41-10 at Montreal- they scored 24+ points in all three wins. Eskimos allowed 28.3 ppg in losing first four games, then got their first win 28-25 at home vs BC last week- they allowed average of 179.3 rushing yards in last three games. Three of Edmonton's four losses are by 10+ points.
Reds at Cubs: Total is off the board pending the wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.
Lines to keep an eye on
White Sox at Orioles: Total opened at 8.5 but has climbed to 9 at most books.
Mets at Phillies: Total opened at 9 but has slipped to 8.5 at some books.
Roughriders at Alouttes (CFL): Alouttes opened as -5 faves but have been bet up to -7. Total opened at 60.5 but has fallen to 60.
Argonauts at Eskimos (CFL): Eskimos opened as -6 favorites but have slipped to -5.
Mystics at Liberty (WNBA): Liberty opened at -2 but have been bet to -3.5 at most books. Total opened at 146 and has soared to 149.5.
Silver Stars at Mercury (WNBA): Total opened at 189 but has jumped to 190.5 at most books.
Weather to watch
Giants at Braves: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Cardinals at Marlins: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Who's hot
Rays are 10-3 in their last 13.
Astros are 7-1 in their last eight.
White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11.
Twins are 12-3 in their last 15.
Padres have won six in a row over Diamondbacks.
Rockies are 5-1 in their last six.
Who's not
Cubs are 1-7 in their last eight.
Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven.
Angels are 3-13 in their last 16 on the road.
Tigers are 5-18 in their last 23.
Red Sox are 1-8 in their last nine in N.Y.
Mariners are 1-7 in their last nine.
Key stat
49-10 - Combined score of the last six meetings between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs. The Reds scored 14 twice and 12 once in those games.
Injury that shouldn't be overlooked
Boston Red Sox first baseman Kevin Youkilis will undergo season-ending surgery on his right thumb, making his team's battle for a playoff spot even more of an uphill battle. Youkilils will be in a cast for up to six weeks after the surgery but won't be ready to play until the start of next season. Youkilis was batting .307 with 19 home runs and 62 RBIs in 362. The Red Sox have a healthy Mike Lowell ready to fill in but he can't produce at the level of his predecessor.
Game of the day
Red Sox at Yankees (-145, 9)
Notable quotable
"It pretty much can't happen any place but here. I know it works both ways but to lose a game in a pennant situation like that because of a roof indicates why there's a crying need for a new ballpark."
Tampa Bay Rays manager Joe Maddon said Thursday after Minnesota Twins outfielder Jason Kubel's ninth-inning pop-up hit the catwalk at Tropicana Field for the game-winning RBI single.
Tips and notes
Last-minute trades aren't "Dunn" just yet. An unidentified team has claimed Washington Nationals outfielder Adam Dunn off waivers, FOXSports.com reported Thursday. The Nationals are only permitted to deal with the team that made the waiver claim until Monday. Had Dunn cleared waivers, the Nationals could have discussed a trade with all 29 major-league teams. Washington would like to move Dunn, who is set to make $4 million the rest of the season. The 30-year-old is hitting .277 with 28 home runs and 71 RBIs in 386 at-bats so far this season.
Washington Nationals may be losing a big bat in Dunn but they are regaining a golden arm. Rookie phenom Stephen Strasburg looked strong in a simulated game Thursday as he continues rehabbing a shoulder injury. Strasburg faced nine hitters and threw approximately 40 pitches. He reported no pain in his injured shoulder, which has landed him on the 15-day disabled list. Strasburg, 22, is eligible to return from the DL Tuesday against the Florida Marlins. The righthander is 5-2 with a 2.32 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings.
Real Madrid standout Kaka had surgery on his left knee Thursday and may miss up to four months of action. The Brazilian midfielder had long-standing meniscus damage that was revealed after meeting a Belgian knee specialist. Kaka, who joined Real from AC Milan last year for a $85.3 million transfer fee, scored eight goals in 25 Liga appearances last season, but had a disappointing World Cup for Brazil, which lost in the semifinals to the Netherlands.
Whether as a Mariner or a Ranger, lefthanded ace Cliff Lee has enjoyed his best days against the Oakland A's - both this season and in his career.
Lee is 4-2 with a 2.26 ERA vs. the A's - his lowest ERA against any team in baseball - but that number is inflated compared to his last outing against Oakland.
Lee settled for a no-decision last week against the A's despite allowing no earned runs over nine innings of work and throwing 13 strikeouts to no walks.
"That game was all Cliff Lee," teammate Michael Young said. "You can't say enough about the job he did. Their starting pitcher threw the ball really well, but Cliff dealt for nine innings."
Lee will be out for revenge in this one and will face off with fellow lefty Dallas Braden, who is back on track with back-to-back wins. But he is just 1-3 lifetime against the Rangers with a 3.86 ERA.
Pick: Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals at Florida Marlins (130, 6.5)
Cardinals righthander Adam Wainwright should consider a career in deep-sea fishing after baseball because he's always had a knack for hooking the Marlins.
Wainwright is 3-1 lifetime with a 2.61 ERA against the Fish. His lone loss to Florida came in his last meeting - a 2-1 pitchers' duel in which he lasted seven innings.
Wainwright had eight strikeouts to only one walk in that one, bring his career total against the Marlins to 37 Ks and 10 Ws over 38 innings. In his last six starts, he has 33 Ks to only three Ws.
Wainwright faces an equally hot righty in Ricky Nolasco, who has won three straight starts in impressive fashion. But he hasn't been as lucky against the Cards, going 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA.
The Cards have won 19 of their last 28 against the Marlins, who are batting just .233 against righties over their last 10. Look for the Cards to squish the Fish.
The easy pick here would be to side with the Brewers, returning home to avenge a three-game sweep at Houston last weekend. That isn't the smart way to go, as the Astros have been fantastic over the last eight games, winning seven times. Coincidentally, six of those wins have come since the trades of Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman, as the losses of those veterans have clearly not affected the Astros. Wandy Rodriguez has been terrific since the end of June, as Houston has won six of his last seven starts, including two over the Brewers. Dave Bush has been on the losing end of those two defeats to Rodriguez and the Astros, while Milwaukee is 2-5 his previous seven outings. I'll take the hotter pitcher at plus money and side with the Astros.
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