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San Antonio at Phoenix
The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games. San Antonio is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 9. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+10). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, AUGUST 6
Game 651-652: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.641; Indiana 118.491
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 165
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 162
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6); Over
Game 653-654: Washington at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.528; New York 116.260
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 146
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2); Under
Game 655-656: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.337; Phoenix 117.228
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 190
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+10); Over
Game 657-658: Tulsa at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 99.894; Los Angeles 107.080
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8; 162
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8); Under
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San Francisco at Atlanta
The Giants look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games following a loss. San Francisco is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, AUGUST 6
Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.660; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 13.620
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); N/A
Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 13.762; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.538
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Over
Game 905-906: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.173; Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.773
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-145); Over
Game 907-908: St. Louis at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.309; Florida (Nolasco) 14.998
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under
Game 909-910: San Francisco at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 16.099; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.298
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Under
Game 911-912: Houston at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 16.339; Milwaukee (Bush) 13.397
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Over
Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Garland) 15.833; Arizona (Hudson) 15.452
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under
Game 915-916: Washington at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 15.121; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.223
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-250); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+210); Over
Game 917-918: LA Angels at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 13.835; Detroit (Verlander) 14.825
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Under
Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 16.296; Baltimore (Bergesen) 14.215
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-165); Over
Game 921-922: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 17.529; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.164
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-165); Over
Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.995; Toronto (Cecil) 17.177
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Under
Game 925-926: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.156; NY Yankees (Vazquez) 14.903
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+130); Over
Game 927-928: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 15.379; Oakland (Braden) 16.294
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Under
Game 929-930: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 13.467; Seattle (French) 14.321
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Under
JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM Ć’
triple-dime bet 907 STL (-145) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis: St Louis & Wainwright - 140 on the road game at 7:10!!
60- 48 St Louis and 15-6 over all hurler The rock Adam Wainwright gets our call & he comes into the ball game tonight on fire as he is 3-1 lifetime vs. the Marlins and a smooth 2.61 era as of late.The Fish will send out a poor R. Nolasco who is a terrible 0-3 in 24 + innings and close to a 6 ERA. The Cards are the sharp side here as R Nolasco is actually better on the road than @ home. The Cards have put up close to 5 runs a game since the break and are a smooth 13-7 since the All-Star break. The Cards are the Power play side here as they are a 3+ run difference tonight
Tony George | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM
dime bet 907 STL (-145) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis:
St. Louis -145
The Cards are 23-8 on Friday openers their last 31 series. They get out of the gate fast. I know Nolasco has been hot and at home he is solid, but have a feeling Wainwright gets it done with a hotter team right now. The Marlins have dropped 4 straight and St Louis is a better team. Although the bullpen has been weak as of late for the Cards, Wainwright is a 5 or 7 inning pitcher and I like their chancews with him against a team who are back on their heels tonight. Trap line for Florida, stats say you should take them, but stats are not playing, Cards a better team.
gill alexander | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:35 PM
dime bet 904 PHI (-130) Bookmaker.com vs 903 NYM
Analysis: Dorky Winner Play for August 6, 2010
Niese is coming off a disastrous 4.1IP, 6ER, 7H outing v Arz. Though he pitched extremely well v Phi earlier this season, holding the Phillies to just 1ER on 4H in 7IP back in April, opponents are hitting .271 off of him this season and he has a 1.40WHIP (26th worst in MLB). He does have a perfectly average 4.36FIP and 4.14xFIP with a slightly unlucky .316BABIP. Blanton sports an equally unremarkable resume. He has a 4.66FIP, 4.47xFIP, and an even unluckier .332BABIP. If he had enough innings to qualify, his 1.47WHIP would be even worse than Niese's and opponents are raking him at a .301 clip. Bottom line, neither of these starters inspires a great deal of confidence. But, the naked eye will easily tell you that these appear to be clubs going in different directions and the numbers corroborate it. The Phillies have won 12 of 14 overall and the Mets have lost 11 of their last 14 on the road. And one last look at Blanton reveals one last interesting tidbit. Between the 2nd and 5th innings, Blanton has a 3.36ERA. Pretty good. In the 1st inning, however, he has a 7.94ERA and from the 6th inning on, he has a 11.86ERA. So what does that mean? Simply, that if he can get throu—gh the 1st, our advantage increases big time in this matchup, as Charlie Manuel will more than likely have a quick hook on him late anyway. So, delving deeper, Jeff Francoeur and Luis Castillo hit a combined 13-for-25 (.520) v Blanton, but they usually hit 7th and 8th or 6th and 8th, respectively, in the Mets lineup. That won't apply to Blanton's shaky opening frame. As for Reyes, Beltran, and Wright who hit 1st, 3rd, and 4th, ,respectively, in the NYM lineup? They're a combined 4-for-28 (.143) lifetime v Blanton. Conclusion: Blanton will get through that 1st inning and pitch us one helluva ballgame. Yes, it's only the 1st inning, but with Blanton on the hill, that minutiae might very well be the difference between our winning wager and a losing one. I'm betting that it is.
gill alexander | MLB Money Line Fri, 08/06/10 - 7:10 PM
double-dime bet 907 STL (-135) BetUS vs 908 FLA
Analysis: In 38 lifetime IP v Fla, Wainwright has 37SO, 10BB, and a 2.61ERA. Though he had a poor outing v NYM 2 starts ago in which he gave up 6ER in 5IP, Wainwright posted a 0.43ERA in his 5 starts preceding that ballgame and his 1 start following that outing combined. He has a 1.02WHIP (4th best in MLB), a 0.62 HR/9IP rate (24th best in MLB), a 2.98 FIP (6th best in MLB), and a 3.22xFIP (4th best in MLB). While his .272BABIP is a bit fortunate, his 52.2% ground ball rate (15th best in MLB) mitigates any alarming regression to the mean. Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla, arguably the two toughest bats in the Marlins lineup are a combined 4-for-31 (.129) v Wainwright. Though quality in 6 out of his last 7 outings, Nolasco has a lifetime 5.92ERA v StL. Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday are a combined 13-for-23 (.565) v Nolasco. Though he has formidable metrics in a 3.99FIP and a 3.64xFIP, his 1.43 HR/9IP rate is the 12th worst in MLB (not to mention 19th worst ground ball rate of 38.6%) accentuates the inherent advantage for the Cards in this matchup from the long ball standpoint. This line is muted because of Nolasco's recent stellar play. Let's not forget about the slew of numbers in front of us, and recognize value when it stares us in the face. That, and the fact that the Red Birds have won 16 of their last 22 at Florida. I expect it to be 17 of 23 after tonight.
SIDES
Take #913 San Diego (-115) over Arizona (9:40 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
Take #905 Colorado (-135) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
TOTALS
Take Under 8.0 Colorado at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
Take Under 7.5 San Francisco at Atlanta (7:30 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
Take Under 9.0 Boston at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
Take Under 9.5 San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m., Friday, Aug. 6)
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