If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
My thoughts: Munoz is on a roll and has only lost once, to Hamill, via head kick KO. He has good wrestling and obviously his credentials in that department exceed Okami's. His striking is not particularly sophisticated, but it's obvious that he has the proverbial "heavy hands" and he usually lands at least some of his shots in all of his match-ups, and, at least in his UFC fights, he seems to like to finish by getting on top of his opponent and just wailing away. It worked against Jensen and it worked against Grove.
The question is: Will it work against Okami?
Okami, while not having the wrestling pedigree that Munoz does, will come into this fight with a wrestling and judo background. More importantly, however, he has a consistently successful record utilizing these skills in the Octagon, with the only fighter that I've seen who has been able to control him being Super Sonnen. It is perhaps true that Munoz is a better wrestler than Franklin, Macdonald, Tanner and, of course, Linhares, but I would argue that he's no Sonnen. So what does this mean for Okami? It's hard to tell for sure, but I'm at least confident enough to not arb out of my bet that either the grappling will cancel out, or Okami will prevail. On the feet, Munoz possibly has more power, but Okami is more technical. He did well striking against Macdonald and Tanner, and destroyed Linhares. The Franklin fight was relatively uneventful, but Franklin did clearly win the standup in the first two rounds, with Okami nearly finishing the fight via kimura on the ground in the third. Still, Munoz is no Franklin.
It's rare that I say "yeah, this fighter will definitely win" and I'm not going to do it now. Both guys have ways to win. But I don't think I see Munoz winning via control (Jensen was able to scramble back to his feet and Grove definitely was not much phased by his wrestling until the last bit of the fight) and I doubt he'll (T)KO Okami, who has only lost a fight by knockout once in 29 fights, and that was in his very first loss in 2003.
Forced to make a decision, I say Okami wins via either superior grappling, or by keeping this on the feet and picking Munoz apart with more technical striking.
I put 0.25u on Stann. Mike Massenzio hasn't fought since UFC 92. This was kind of a gamble on my part, but @+140 I liked it. It basically comes down to: Stann avoiding a grappling match, possible ring rust, and how Stann does @185 in his first middleweight fight.
Comment