Griggs is going to beat Oldereem. Oldereem sucks. 6.25u on Griggs @-125
Strikeforce Dallas June 18th
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Don't think anyone mentioned it but don't you have to factor elbows into the equation as well? Submissions are a bit harder with elbows even if the reem is dumb and decides to go down with werdum.
In the first fight Overeem seemed to have no problem avoiding takedowns and was taking Werdum down almost at will. Have to factor in that Werdum also had the ten minute opening round which gives you a lot more time to work on the ground. He's going to have to get Overeem down and submit him in five minutes and the fight starts on the feet. With how long it took last time I don't think that's a likely scenario, I believe the sub came around the 12 minute mark of the fight. And I don't see Overeem going for takedowns this time, though I guess it's possible. There was also a lot of clinching in the last fight and I think the more physically imposing overeem will throw Werdum around in the clinch now.
I agree with most everyone it's Overeem's fight to lose, but I don't like the current line much either. Might just pass. Overeem under -250 I'd take in a heartbeat but I missed the line.
Pretty much agree with the breakdown on most of the other fights.Comment
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JZ-Wilcox- I think JZ is better at everything except wrestling. Wilcox can probably force a standup fight for at least much of the fight, or he may be able to hold JZ down. I think JZ could definitely submit him though and will probably be better standing. I favor JZ to win, but Wilcox could definitely steal it with a few takdeowns near the ends of rounds.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Cormier/Barnett is probably my play as well... just can't seem to pull the trigger on Barnett for some reason though.
JZ-Wilcox- I think JZ is better at everything except wrestling. Wilcox can probably force a standup fight for at least much of the fight, or he may be able to hold JZ down. I think JZ could definitely submit him though and will probably be better standing. I favor JZ to win, but Wilcox could definitely steal it with a few takdeowns near the ends of rounds.Comment
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I'll probably make the corm/barnett/reem parlay as well. I don't think reem should be that big of a fav, but I just don't think Werdum is that great. He was losing to big foot b4 he gassed and fedor decided to jump into his guard and payed for it. Mayb he's just resilient, but overeem should take this. I've never really been impressed with barnett either. He's just a slow, unathletic fighter. But he usually finds a way to win. It's more a play against Rogers than it is on Barnett. And Corm is a pretty damn good striker who should be really tough to take down. Cormier's own takedowns aren't nearly as good as they should be for an olympic level wrestler, but they aren't bad either. Monson's best years are behind him.Comment
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Someone please go to 5d and try to do a parlay on "not overeem by submission/not rogers by submission" for over $100. I am pretty sure 5d just lowered my motherfuckin limits.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Someone plz check if this is just me or if it is everyone.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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