BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

[poopoo333]

Anybody like Palaszewski in this fight?

[Vandelay]

same old shit he always says.

[edman5555]

Just read a cc interview. Cc claims he has been training six months for this fight. He sounds motivated.

[MMA_scientist]

I think it will be 1u for me.

[edman5555]

Maybe siver for a unit and siver by dec for half a unit

[edman5555]

Siver for a unit or two

[poopoo333]

I kind of like Siver at these odds as well. His boxing is crisp and he might be about to outbox Cerrone/avoid getting taken down. Cerrone was outboxed by Horodecki and Kelly in round 1 of those fights.

[SPX]

I think Siver might win as well..It is at least in the area of 50/50. Siver has been really impressive thus far. I don't know why he never gets any respect. He always comes in as the dog. He damn near killed Sotirpopodopolous. Held off Wiman, arguably. Cerrone is coming off a big win + win streak though.

I favor Cerrone, but I think he should be like -150 not no crazy ass -225. I will be on Siver here. He may not get it done, but he has a much better chance than the line indicates. Like you say, he has won a lot of fights in the past that he was expected to lose.

Also, Cerrone is just kind of hot or cold in his striking. He did great against Oliveira on the feet, but was getting beat by Paul Kelly before he took it to the ground. He destroyed Varner in their last fight, but was getting outstruck by Varner in their fight before that. So you never know what you're going to get.

B Vera - I am thinking he will be the better play. I have to watch some more tape on his opponent though. I just see Vera being hard to take down and much better on the feet. This could be a decent sized play for me.

I'll probably be on Vera too as long as the line is decent. He should win. But Marshall has done better than expected in the past and Vera has certainly disappointed in the past.

It looks like CC is hanging out in America. Maybe he is training with an American camp. That might help.

[edman5555]

I think Siver might win as well..It is at least in the area of 50/50. Siver has been really impressive thus far. I don't know why he never gets any respect. He always comes in as the dog. He damn near killed Sotirpopodopolous. Held off Wiman, arguably. Cerrone is coming off a big win + win streak though. I don't think CC subs Nelson either, frankly I don't think he has much of a chance to knock him out either. Never know though, he has knocked out a lot of men in his career. I am not sure whether or not Nelson can muscle him around the cage. I also don't know what happens if he gets CC down and gets in his guard. That might spell trouble for CC. I might take the fight to go the distance if I can get a good line on it.

Any news on BJ/Diaz being a 3 rounder or a 5 rounder?

I saw a video of CC driving around with Pat Barry singing to the radio. It looks like CC is hanging out in America. Maybe he is training with an American camp. That might help..

Kongos line went up to +130 then came back down. I am not happy with that. I'd like to pick it up again around there. I might throw 5u on him. I watched an Interview with Mitrione and he seems super confident..that said I have to go with my personal calculations and bet Kongo.

I pray they keep BJ/Diaz 3 rounds. We already lost GSP by 5 round decision. I don't need to be robbed of anymore plays.

B Vera - I am thinking he will be the better play. I have to watch some more tape on his opponent though. I just see Vera being hard to take down and much better on the feet. This could be a decent sized play for me.

[MMA_scientist]

Magic Prop parlay ideas?

I tried to come up with something, but nothing came in better than -700. "Not Diaz, CroCop, Roop, Kongo, Bart by sub" is -748, that is the best I could do. If you add Cerrone or Siver in there, it would probably be less than -500... but I think anything could happen in Cerrone/Siver.

I added "not cro cop by sub" to the 2011 parlay. I feel pretty strongly that Roop won't sub Hioki too.


I think I am going to bet Siver straight up though.

[poopoo333]

Yeah there doesn't seem like any good "lock" parlays for this card.

[Vandelay]

dont feel really comfortable with any of the bets except for not roop and not cro cop by sub. I might parlay them with bama, oklahoma, nebraska, and virginia tech this weekend. comest out to -500

[poopoo333]

Magic Prop parlay ideas?

[Vandelay]

you guys are getting lazy. I guess the full props came out around noon.

[SPX]

So is Hioki going to actually do Japan proud over here in the States?