BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

[SPX]

I thought it was interesting when he said (regarding the BJ fight and whether or not he wanted out of the GSP fight) that if there was a fight where he was going to fake an injury then the BJ fight would be the one.

[Ludo]

He definitely said all that. He seemed more interested when they asked about the triathalon training than when they mentioned if he wanted the title shot. Plus he's talking about how BJ is so good and so tough because they come from the same place(I'm not so sure what the fuck he's talking about there aside from Gracie jiu jitsu). He literally looked like a kid forced to apologize to someone though. Slouching, head down, the mumbling.

[SPX]

I agree that it seems like something is up with Diaz in that interview. Some of it was hard to hear, but did he say that he was the title holder in SF and that he's had a great career and that that's enough for him? Is he thinking about calling it quits? Is his heart not in it?

[Ludo]

It's definitely still three rounds. Dana said they they wouldn't change fights that were previously scheduled for three rounds to five rounds because it wasn't fair to the fighters who were training for three rounds already.

[edman5555]

BJ Penn interview:

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2011/10/27/2518697/ufc-137-bj-penn-challenges-cesar-gracie--hookwinked-diaz-mma-news#storyjump

He said that when he started training for the Matt Hughes fight he was getting thrown around by the welterweights and now he is holding his own. Pretty interesting. Also, it sounds like it is still a 3 round affair.

[Ludo]

Yeah but that interview was beyond what we've seen before. He almost looks like a broken man. The way he's constantly looking down and mumbling, we're not used to seeing him looking at the floor the whole time. Usually he is looking all over the place and speaking with more volume but here it looks like he's afraid to piss someone off. He's the scolded child right now.

[edman5555]

hes always in a wierd place

[poopoo333]

http://mmafighting.com/2011/10/27/25-minutes-with-nick-diaz/

and

Diaz seems like he is in a weird place right now..

[edman5555]

is the fight still going to be a 3 rounder?

[MMA_scientist]

http://espn.go.com/extra/mma/preview...t/3695/match/1

Can someone check the "staff picks" link and tell me which one is penn and which one is diaz?

What do you mean? The ESPN staff picks favors Diaz (4-3). The vegas odds favor Penn (-120)... that is all it says.


EDIT: just saw the pic was wrong. Umm.. ha?

[SPX]

BOL!

[Vandelay]

http://espn.go.com/extra/mma/preview/_/event/3695/match/1

Can someone check the "staff picks" link and tell me which one is penn and which one is diaz?

[Vandelay]

Someone over at SBR posted a vid of Diaz and said that diaz stated that he had a rough training camp. Anyways I cant watch it now, but its hard to believe that diaz would have missed the ufc 137 pre press conference and the media call had he been training every day.

[MMA_scientist]

Just looked at the no-name undercard guys.

Starks is +110, he was a d1 wrestler at ASU. He is fighting an athletic tall guy in Jacoby, but he doesn't seem to have overwhelming skills. I think Starks could be worth a wrestler-underdog play.

[MMA_scientist]

Yea, I may skip the event. Was planning on a fairly large BJ bet, but I am also having second thoughts.

I can't give a good reason, because everything points to BJ winning and he has a favorable line (IMO). I really don't think Diaz has improved much since his UFC losses 5 years. Also, he flakes out himself somewhat, and almost lost to some guy named Mike Aina. BJ should win if he takes him down some. Diaz presses forward pretty much all the time and that should allow BJ to catch him standing. I guess my concern is that BJ is going to land clean but relatively fewer shots while thinking he is winning, and allow Diaz to win a volume decision.

I don't know, I guess I should just stay with it. But I do think I will hedge my Siver bet a little, even though I think he has value, I really don't want to be dropping 5u on this event. I have been on a losing streak, another big hit could put me on tilt.