UFC 117

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

So... Your not going to shine are you?

Shine, i done already burnt out. Proved my point, and was on the right side of the deal. You keep hanging on to the theory that I am SouthBay.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

Please, this is now the second time I am posting these write ups. Cotto-Foreman

OK, I just watched MOST of the Foreman-Santos bout(Foremans last bout) and best win. Even though IMO Santos looked like complete shit, and really is not that great anyways. Also made a call, and checked some of the predictions of some guys I respect(at least the ones that have made one so far). And I am absolutely shocked. It seems like everyone is picking Yuri.

I do not get it, the Yuri i saw fight Santos gets mugged by cotto IMO. Granted, Cotto is moving up to 154(which might actually be good). But Jesus, is Yuri really going to knock Cotto out? i keep hearing it...Cotto is damaged goods. Well, maybe to a certain extent, but damn, I just do not get the hype on yuri. Cotto has problems with guys that can take his shots and spit it right back at him, not guys who try to box him. And keep in mind, the last time Cotto fought a good fighter, but not elite was Gomez, and he damn near killed him.

I say wait for the line to improve if you like Cotto, because everyone seems to be on Yuris nuts. Maybe we can get Cotto at -160 or -150. I just think Cotto is going to give Foreman fits.

Full disclosure must be made, I have not been a big fan of Yuri for some time, I thought he barely beat some fighters he should have easily beat, and I think he has been protected for quite some time. Some of his earlier fights were painful to watch....hit, grab, run.
sbjj
Heavyweight

Posts: 2784
Joined: Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:18 pm

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

his is a fight where I think the line is just off. Hall is a somewhat untested fighter, but that does not mean he is no good. While Napa is the more seasoned fighter, but has a style that makes this fight dangerous for him IMO.

Ian will more than likely have to beat Hall by decision on his home turf. And i think Hall is good enough to make it competitive. If Hall wins just 3 clear rounds, and a few more are close, I can see him getting the nod in this one. Keep in mind, Ian has no punching power, and Hall will at the least go after him and try to win. this could make it very hard for the judges to score these rounds.

Keep in mind, this is more of a value play...not like the Marquez-Vasquez fight, where I was really confident. But i give Hall at least a 40% chance here, if not an even chance. So the price is just right IMO.

1 unit on Hall @ +235.

Hall won.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 117

Eh... We've been past that part for like 5 hours now, bra.

Again, I knew ya'll were two different people when I posted the link to the other forum. It has this nifty feature where you can search for authors of posts there. I did one for southbaysurf and then I did one for sbjj and guess what. Both searches returned hits! *in my best goldmember voice* isn't zat vierd? So you can pick something else if your capable of it to continue with, otherwise I would suggest just ignoring this post because you clearly have nothing left in the tank.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

OK, the line has already flipped. Opening with Marquez as the +130 dog, and now the -130 fave. Which is exactly what I thought would happen. I like Marquez here alot. He still has the goods(to an extent) While I think Israel is almost beyond damaged. Waiting for the Marquez by stoppage prop also, as I suspect he might get him out of their sooner than many think.

Money is coming in on Marquez, and for good reason.

Marquez-Vazquez 4

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

I took Salido @ +155.

A few things...Cruz won their first fight by split decision.

The fight is in Salidos backyard. So he may get the close rounds.

This fight will most certainly be close. I think Salido has value @ +155.
sbjj
Heavyweight

Posts: 2784
Joined: Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:18 pm

Another dog winner.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

God damn. Williams weighed 275 lbs., and he trained himself for this fight. I think he is simply cashing a check at this point.

I got the under 6 1/2 rnds @ +135.
sbjj
Heavyweight

Posts: 2784
Joined: Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:18 pm


Ko in 2nd round. +135 winner.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

Alright, the weigh ins actually did it for me. Sergio looked rock solid at 159 1/2, and that was my only concern(him moving up).

I think there is a solid chance that he makes Kelly look plain silly in there.

graham also has a nice write up.

I got both Martinez straight @ +150 and by decision @ +320.
sbjj
Heavyweight

Posts: 2784
Joined: Mon Aug 04, 2008 10:18 pm


Both winning wagers @ +150 and +320.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 117

[Luke]

Re: UFC 117

whats your overall record SBJJ?

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

Those are some of the write ups, pretty sure we are like 9-3 over there on boxing. But many winners, as you saw are damn nice sized dogs. Including a double play on Martinez that paid +150 and +320. A fight that many people thought Pavlik had in the bag.

So , i am #1 not Southbay, and #2 not a fraud. BTW, Southbay does know his shit when it comes to the numbers game, and i am pretty sure he makes good money finding the right lines.

My biggest downfall as of late is believing that my knowledge of boxing would easily translate to MMA. I have not had a good run with MMA lately, but boxing has saved me.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

whats your overall record SBJJ?

I really have no idea Luke, i do know it is very good(boxing). Most of my bets are done in vegas(at least the bigger ones). But I do not keep a log.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 117

Those are some of the write ups, pretty sure we are like 9-3 over there on boxing. But many winners, as you saw are damn nice sized dogs. Including a double play on Martinez that paid +150 and +320. A fight that many people thought Pavlik had in the bag.

So , i am #1 not Southbay, and #2 not a fraud. BTW, Southbay does know his shit when it comes to the numbers game, and i am pretty sure he makes good money finding the right lines.

My biggest downfall as of late is believing that my knowledge of boxing would easily translate to MMA. I have not had a good run with MMA lately, but boxing has saved me.

Same for me I struggle a little but in MMA.I've bet boxing for 10 years and MMA for 2 so that could be why.I'm 11-9 in MMA and 8-2 in boxing so far this year with one boxing parlay pending on Ward

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 117

sbjj, you should post all of your upcoming boxing plays. They interest me because I like making money.

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 117

Those are some of the write ups, pretty sure we are like 9-3 over there on boxing. But many winners, as you saw are damn nice sized dogs. Including a double play on Martinez that paid +150 and +320. A fight that many people thought Pavlik had in the bag.

So , i am #1 not Southbay, and #2 not a fraud. BTW, Southbay does know his shit when it comes to the numbers game, and i am pretty sure he makes good money finding the right lines.

My biggest downfall as of late is believing that my knowledge of boxing would easily translate to MMA. I have not had a good run with MMA lately, but boxing has saved me.

Same for me I struggle a little but in MMA.I've bet boxing for 10 years and MMA for 2 so that could be why.I'm 11-9 in MMA and 8-2 in boxing so far this year with one boxing parlay pending on Ward

I would count that parlay won. Ward is the real deal. that was another pick i got right. I had Ward over Kessler at decent dog odds. Ward is gonna win the tourney IMO.