UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

    Originally posted by edman5555
    I'm thinking about putting some money down on Kampmann. It's gotta be hard to get the takedown on a guy who has solid takedown D as well as good standup but he did do it to Hendo. Thats the one fight that kind of has me on the ropes.
    If that is all that is holding you back... remember Hendo damn near finished him in the first minute.

    Shields had to jump to guard on Lawler. He got him down once, but Lawler popped back up. Then he at a lot of leather and couldn't get Lawler down. Then he jumped into a guillotine. Still, he really couldn't control Lawler or take him down.

    That said, Kampmann has not shown that he has a lot of one punch power.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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    • Ludo
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2010
      • 4931

      Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

      While he doesn't have a lot of one punch KO power he is easily a more technical striker than either Hendo or Lawlor. He has a good sprawl and while it's not likely that he avoids every takedown Jake shoots for, his ground game should be good enough to keep out of submissions. Kampmann is very much capable of winning this fight.
      2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
      Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
      Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
      Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

      2012: +20.311u

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      • Svino
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2010
        • 3873

        Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

        Originally posted by edman5555
        Kampmann's defended against Paulo thiago, Volmann, and Leites..I know Leited doesn't have dynamic take downs but he is good.

        I shields Striking really that horrendous? I know everyone says it is but does he really suck that bad? Because Kampmann is pretty solid standing.
        Yeah, Shields is really bad on the feet. But IMO, he'll be able to get takedowns on Kampmann all day. Kampmann doesn't really have great takedown defense, and he won't have the strength advantage on Shields that some of his MW opponents did.

        Comment

        • edman5555
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 6628

          Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          Originally posted by edman5555
          I'm thinking about putting some money down on Kampmann. It's gotta be hard to get the takedown on a guy who has solid takedown D as well as good standup but he did do it to Hendo. Thats the one fight that kind of has me on the ropes.
          If that is all that is holding you back... remember Hendo damn near finished him in the first minute.

          Shields had to jump to guard on Lawler. He got him down once, but Lawler popped back up. Then he at a lot of leather and couldn't get Lawler down. Then he jumped into a guillotine. Still, he really couldn't control Lawler or take him down.

          That said, Kampmann has not shown that he has a lot of one punch power.

          Yeah I just rewatched the fight and I saw Hendo almost finished it in the first..but afte that Shields out wrestled/grappled him.
          1 unit = 300 $

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          • SPX
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 23875

            Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

            Originally posted by edman5555
            Yeah I just rewatched the fight and I saw Hendo almost finished it in the first..but afte that Shields out wrestled/grappled him.
            I guess Shields will probably win. So if you put money on him then you'll probably get some money back.

            But considering the question marks, and the outrageous line, I would go Kampmann or nothing. But that's just me.
            I heart cock

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            • edman5555
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2010
              • 6628

              Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

              shields dec is the best prop bet.
              1 unit = 300 $

              Comment

              • MMA_scientist
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2009
                • 9857

                Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                Yeah, I doubt Shields finishes him. Unlike Hendo, Kampmann is going to re-guard Shields when he gets passed, which he probably will. Shields has some nice passing skills.
                2012: +19.33
                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                Comment

                • edman5555
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 6628

                  Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                  I just can't see Kampmann stopping the takedown efficiently..He is no Dan Henderson, 39 years old or not, slightly gassed or not. His standup probably won't be rocking shields either. Dan hits like a TON of bricks and Shields recovered from that. Most likely Kampmann wins some ground on standup but loses a little bit more by getting taken down.

                  What do you think about Kampmann/Shields Submission ability Scientist?
                  It doesn't look like Kampmann has been submitted before and he has whipped out quite a few submissions. I noticed Jake had Hendo in some precarious situations submission wise but Hendo also had Jake in some sticky situations. I might have to watch Thales Leites/MArtin K. If they went to the ground at all it might be telling. I know Thales is a real wizard down there.

                  Final bet im considering: Shields by Dec prop if I am reasonably convinced Kampmann can defend the sub.
                  1 unit = 300 $

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                    I don't think Shields will sub him. Shields has a nice passing game and control, but his subs are not overwhelming. No way Kampmann will sub Shields. Up until recently Shields was viewed as sort of wet blanket no real finishing skills. I think he still struggles to finish decent grapplers. I mean, he had Henderson mounted for like 15 minutes and couldn't pound him out or summit him. Hendo has been subbed several times. I think Shields by decision is pretty likely.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98806

                      Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                      Cain Training with Bobby Lashley

                      http://www.heavy.com/mma/mma-videos/ufc ... -and-more/
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                      • Thewiseman
                        Senior Member
                        • Feb 2010
                        • 510

                        Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                        2u on Kampmann

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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98806

                          Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                          Dam this card looks fuckin great

                          UFC Heavyweight Championship
                          Brock Lesnar vs. Cain Velasquez

                          Jake Shields vs. Martin Kampmann
                          Paulo Thiago vs. Diego Sanchez
                          Tito Ortiz vs. Matt Hamill
                          Brendan Schaub vs. Gabriel Gonzaga
                          * Todd Duffee vs. Jon Madsen
                          * Patrick Cote vs. Tom Lawlor
                          * Court McGee vs. Ryan Jensen
                          * Dongi Yang vs. Chris Camozzi
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                          • Luke
                            10 year vet
                            • Oct 2006
                            • 30060

                            Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                            Another card that looks at good as 117
                            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18302

                              Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                              Duffee is going to murder Madsen.

                              Comment

                              • edman5555
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 6628

                                Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                                Originally posted by poopoo333
                                Duffee is going to murder Madsen.

                                Madsen isn't that bad.
                                1 unit = 300 $

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