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Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez
I agree 100%. Taylor will at the least make this a competitive bout.
Originally posted by SPX
I know I said I was going to bust out some old school breakdowns for this event, so let me go ahead and get this one out while it's fresh in my mind. . .
Stout vs Taylor
I originally thought that Stout was going to have the sex with Paul Taylor, but now I'm not so sure. I think I had someone else in mind when I thought about Paul Taylor. I have a problem doing that with fighters I'm not particularly familiar with and it seems that that little bit of absentmindedness has struck again.
As a striker-vs-striker match, I expect this fight to be close, just as most all of Stout's fights are close. Both fighters come from kickboxing backgrounds and both have held titles in that sport. As such, I expect this one will primarily take place on the feet. However, both fighters also have shown a tendency to go for takedowns when things aren't going their way or to try to steal a round, such as at the end of Stout's fight with Etim, and I wouldn't be terribly shocked to see either fighter attempt that here. Stout and Taylor have both shown weakness on the ground, as well as improved ground skills with each new fight, and it could possibly be either fighters' plan to exploit the other's weakness with what they may feel is their own superior grappling abilities. If that happens, flip a coin.
However, if the fight stays on the feet, I think we'll see one of two outcomes: Stout will outpoint Taylor with his technical striking and superior defense, or Taylor will outpoint Stout with his aggression, speed, and "relentless" pace. Here's a case where a fighter (Taylor) lives up to his nickname, as he always moves forward and he just doesn't quit.
The likelihood of one outcome or the other may come down to cardio. Both fighters have a good gas tank and have shown that they can go 3 rounds with no problem, keeping up a steady pace the whole way through. However, with this being Taylor's first time cutting to 155, it's a huge question mark as to how it will effect him. He could look better than ever having now found his "true" weight class, or it could turn into an embarrassing James Irvin-esque affair.
So who wins this thing? If I seem indecisive, that's because I am. There are so many factors at play here and it's difficult to know the direction this fight goes. So in my mind there are only two plays here: Taylor or stay away. For me, I think Taylor at +170 is worth a small bet and I've put .59u on him at that line.
Stout vs Taylor
I originally thought that Stout was going to have the sex with Paul Taylor, but now I'm not so sure. I think I had someone else in mind when I thought about Paul Taylor. I have a problem doing that with fighters I'm not particularly familiar with and it seems that that little bit of absentmindedness has struck again.
As a striker-vs-striker match, I expect this fight to be close, just as most all of Stout's fights are close. Both fighters come from kickboxing backgrounds and both have held titles in that sport. As such, I expect this one will primarily take place on the feet. However, both fighters also have shown a tendency to go for takedowns when things aren't going their way or to try to steal a round, such as at the end of Stout's fight with Etim, and I wouldn't be terribly shocked to see either fighter attempt that here. Stout and Taylor have both shown weakness on the ground, as well as improved ground skills with each new fight, and it could possibly be either fighters' plan to exploit the other's weakness with what they may feel is their own superior grappling abilities. If that happens, flip a coin.
However, if the fight stays on the feet, I think we'll see one of two outcomes: Stout will outpoint Taylor with his technical striking and superior defense, or Taylor will outpoint Stout with his aggression, speed, and "relentless" pace. Here's a case where a fighter (Taylor) lives up to his nickname, as he always moves forward and he just doesn't quit.
The likelihood of one outcome or the other may come down to cardio. Both fighters have a good gas tank and have shown that they can go 3 rounds with no problem, keeping up a steady pace the whole way through. However, with this being Taylor's first time cutting to 155, it's a huge question mark as to how it will effect him. He could look better than ever having now found his "true" weight class, or it could turn into an embarrassing James Irvin-esque affair.
So who wins this thing? If I seem indecisive, that's because I am. There are so many factors at play here and it's difficult to know the direction this fight goes. So in my mind there are only two plays here: Taylor or stay away. For me, I think Taylor at +170 is worth a small bet and I've put .59u on him at that line.
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