UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Yeah, but going back to our previous conversaion, a unit for is like .25% of your bankroll.

5u for me is 10%.

Just wondering, do you adjust your unit after each event? Like if you have a winning event does your unit increase and if you have a losing one does it decrease?

[SPX]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Just wondering, do you adjust your unit after each event? Like if you have a winning event does your unit increase and if you have a losing one does it decrease?

Not yet. I was going to do that if I hit a $1250 bankroll. (I started with $700.) I was almost there but it didn't happen. I'm a little over $900 right now, but using a $20 unit. So really my unit is a little more than 2%.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Just wondering, do you adjust your unit after each event? Like if you have a winning event does your unit increase and if you have a losing one does it decrease?

Not yet. I was going to do that if I hit a $1250 bankroll. (I started with $700.) I was almost there but it didn't happen. I'm a little over $900 right now, but using a $20 unit. So really my unit is a little more than 2%.

Yeah my unit is really more then 2% now as well since I haven't adjusted it. I didn't adjust it either when I was winning, then I hit that huge losing streak and am trying to work my way back up to where my unit is a real 2%

[SPX]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Hahahaaha. I love that little italian, but he is a small welterweight.

Shit, he is nigga, but that doesn't make him a fucking midget!

Plus, he's a tough test for anyone.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Yeah my unit is really more then 2% now as well since I haven't adjusted it. I didn't adjust it either when I was winning, then I hit that huge losing streak and am trying to work my way back up to where my unit is a real 2%

Word. Losing streaks have a tendency to fuck shit up.

If I hit $1250 then I'm moving to a $25 unit.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Yeah my unit is really more then 2% now as well since I haven't adjusted it. I didn't adjust it either when I was winning, then I hit that huge losing streak and am trying to work my way back up to where my unit is a real 2%

Word. Losing streaks have a tendency to fuck shit up.

If I hit $1250 then I'm moving to a $25 unit.

Yeah, my goal is to get back to where I started at in July by 2011. Then become a billionaire in 2011.

[Vandelay]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

I see machida winning by decision. Machida is very good at controlling distance and darting in and out of the pocket. I dont think ive ever seen him stand and trade with any1 for a long period of time. Also I see him being pretty cautious now that hes been knocked out and that combined with rampages knockout power and counter punching ability I really dont see him looking for a finish. So unless rampage becomes completely gassed, machida should go on to win a unanimous decision. Theres always the chane that rampage connects solid and puts machidas lights out on the ground. This is the only way I see rampage winning the fight. So machida by dec (hopefully around -130) and ramp by ko (300 or better) as insurance would be awesome.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

I have some insurance on Rampage inside distance @+400

[sbjj]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Yeah, but going back to our previous conversation, a unit for you is like .25% of your bankroll.

5u for me is 10%.

True, but it depends what your overall goal is. If I was looking at purely building a bankroll, i would bet much differently.

When i first started building a serious bankroll for MMA, i literally unloaded my entire bankroll(at the time) on GSP in the GSP-Hughes rematch. I would never do that now...different time and much different circumstances.

if i was strictly trying to build my bankroll and did not need a cashflow I would have had no problem unloading a quarter of my bank roll on cain.

I am by no means trying to get you to bet Machida large here. i do think he wins and prob. still has value. But IMO, it is not a line that truly stands out.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Penn 10u @ -120 and -130
Rampage .5u @+240
Thinking of going even heavier on Penn

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

BJ has nothing to do in the tropical paradise that we all dream of visiting and pay a month's pay to visit for 4 days

Hilo>Hillsboro, IL

[SPX]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Fuck it. Went ahead and dropped another 2.5u on Machida.

Now if he doesn't win then it's all PP's and sbjj's fault.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Fuck it. Went ahead and dropped another 2.5u on Machida.

Now if he doesn't win then it's all PP's and sbjj's fault.

Well I am with you. 7.55u on machida and like 2.5 on machida by decision

[SPX]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Well I am with you. 7.55u on machida and like 2.5 on machida by decision

We ride together. . .

And you know the rest.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Well I am with you. 7.55u on machida and like 2.5 on machida by decision

We ride together. . .

And you know the rest.

..And Machida is down to -230, great. It will probably keep dropping